Bufab Holding AB (BUFAB) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Bufab Holding AB stock SEK 134, price SEK 131, upside +2.5%, quality 58 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 36.90 – kr 145.40 · fair‑value band kr 80.78 – kr 173.72 · the kr 131.00 price screens below the kr 134.28 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
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Bufab AB (publ), a trading company, provides solutions for procurement, quality assurance, and logistics for c-parts and technical components in Sweden, Denmark, Finland, Norway, Germany, the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally.
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The company offers C-parts, such as bolts, screws, nails, pins, clamps, rivets, nuts and washers, as well as other small metal and rubber or plastic parts, including cables, springs, and electronic fasteners.
It also provides machining, turning, cold-formed parts, hot-forged parts; access hardware comprising hinges, locks, and latches; casted parts; magnets; sheet metal; tools and equipment; and wire products.
In addition, the company is involved in the provision of security labels, industrial labels, masking and insulators, foams and gaskets, polyamide labels for SMT, labels for wires and cables, decal and membrane, and adhesive transfer tapes services; and magnet services, such as magnetization, assembly, bonding of magnets, and packaging.
Further, it provides stainless steel fasteners under the BUMAX brand. The company serves aerospace, agricultural, automotive, construction, defense, energy, furniture and interior, general, pharma and biopharma, and railway industries.
The company was formerly known as Bufab Holding AB (publ) and changed its name to Bufab AB (publ) in June 2015. Bufab AB (publ) was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Värnamo, Sweden.
Stock analysis
Bufab Holding AB (BUFAB) currently trades at kr 131.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 134.28, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 2.4%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of kr 72.07 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the kr 131.00 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at kr 15.50, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: kr 80.78 (bear) to kr 173.72 (bull), the price of kr 131.00 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Bufab Holding AB reported revenue of 8.1B SEK in FY2025 versus 5.9B SEK in FY2021, a compound +8.3%/yr. Reported net income was 626M SEK in FY2025, compounding +7.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 24.8B SEK (≈ $2.5B) Mid · P/E ratio 32.0 · P/S ratio 2.87 · EPS (TTM) kr 4.10 · Dividend yield 1.0% · Net margin 9.0% · Return on equity 18.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.2% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 56 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at 3%, BUFAB screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bearkr 80.78Fair Value kr 134.28Bullkr 173.72
Price kr 131.00 · Upside +2.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (kr 2.39 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.89/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.6% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−15.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−16.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−16.2% vs 0.0%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 12%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+20.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+8.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Sweden: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +18.1% a year for the price and +6.1% for the forecasts.
AI conclusion: Bufab drives stable organic growth and higher margins through sharper customer-product mix, selective pricing and niche bolt-ons, yet lacks confirmed durable advantages with only thin evidence available.
Main risk: Patchy and hard-to-predict broader industrial demand remains the biggest risk to Bufab and would directly hit organic growth and margin gains from its mix and acquisition efforts.
Bufab keeps delivering stable organic growth and higher margins by sharpening its customer and product mix, raising prices selectively and adding niche acquisitions like the recent UK bolt-on. Broader industrial demand however stays patchy and hard to predict. Will its focus on controllable levers like full-service solutions and cost discipline keep lifting results faster than market weakness can pull them back?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Industrial Distribution · 107 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score58 · Above median
Fair Value upside+2.5% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)18.3% · Top 25%
Return on assets6.7% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)9.0% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)15.1% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)16.6% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)1.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.83× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Industrial Distribution median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bufab Holding AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BUFAB
Frequently asked questions
Is Bufab Holding AB (BUFAB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 134.28 versus a price of kr 131.00, about +3% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of BUFAB?
Our model-based fair value for Bufab Holding AB is kr 134.28 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 131.00.
What is the quality score of BUFAB?
Bufab Holding AB has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bufab Holding AB (BUFAB)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 134.28 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 80.78, optimistic scenario kr 173.72. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bufab Holding AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 134.28, about +3% upside versus a price of kr 131.00 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario kr 80.78, optimistic scenario kr 173.72. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bufab Holding AB (BUFAB)?
Bufab Holding AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 8.7B SEK (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Bufab Holding AB pay a dividend?
Bufab Holding AB currently shows a dividend yield of 0.99% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Bufab Holding AB (BUFAB) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Bufab Holding AB pays a dividend of kr 1.30 per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.0%. The last ex-dividend date was Apr 24, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2021. The payout ratio is 31.7% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 3.45 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Bufab Holding AB (BUFAB)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Bufab Holding AB would have to grow free cash flow by +20.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +11.2 % per year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BUFAB use?
Our models discount Bufab Holding AB at 10.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.31, country premium for Sweden. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Bufab Holding AB that is +20.4 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Bufab Holding AB (BUFAB) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Bufab Holding AB grew +11.2 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +20.4 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Bufab Holding AB (BUFAB) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Bufab Holding AB (+20.4 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Bufab Holding AB (BUFAB)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.42 %: that much free cash flow Bufab Holding AB produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Bufab Holding AB (BUFAB)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bufab Holding AB it is kr 134.28 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of kr 131.00. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Bufab Holding AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, BUFAB trades below its calculated fair value: price kr 131.00, fair value kr 134.28, a gap of about +3% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BUFAB?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 131.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 134.28). For Bufab Holding AB the two are kr 3.28 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bufab Holding AB worth?
The market values Bufab Holding AB at about 24.8B SEK (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is kr 131.00; our models calculate a fair value of kr 134.28 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BUFAB?
Our models span a range for Bufab Holding AB: cautious scenario kr 80.78, base kr 134.28, optimistic kr 173.72 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price kr 131.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BUFAB?
Bufab Holding AB trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 32.0 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of kr 134.28 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.5, P/B 6.2, P/S 2.9, EV/EBITDA 21.5.
What is the PEG ratio of BUFAB?
The PEG ratio of Bufab Holding AB is 2.48 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 8, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bufab Holding AB (BUFAB)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bufab Holding AB (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 18.3%, debt of 0.83 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BUFAB from its 52-week high?
Bufab Holding AB trades at kr 131.00, about 10% below its 52-week high of kr 145.40 and 41% above the low of kr 93.03 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 134.28 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bufab Holding AB?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value W.W. Grainger, Inc, Fastenal Company, Ferguson Enterprises Inc, WESCO International, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bufab Holding AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price kr 131.00, calculated fair value kr 134.28 (+3%), Quality Score 58/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BUFAB calculated?
We run Bufab Holding AB through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of kr 134.28 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Bufab Holding AB currently trades 2% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bufab Holding AB (BUFAB)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was kr 131.00. Our model-based fair value is kr 134.28, about +3% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bufab Holding AB right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (kr 80.78 to kr 173.72) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Bufab Holding AB (BUFAB) come from?
Earnings per share at Bufab Holding AB grew +7.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.9 %, EBIT margin +3.2 %, tax rate +1.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Bufab Holding AB
How large is the market capitalisation of Bufab Holding AB (BUFAB)?
The market capitalisation of Bufab Holding AB is 24.8B SEK (≈ $2.5B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bufab Holding AB (BUFAB)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bufab Holding AB is 2.87 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bufab Holding AB (BUFAB)?
Earnings per share at Bufab Holding AB are kr 4.10 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 32.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Bufab Holding AB (BUFAB)?
The dividend yield of Bufab Holding AB is 1.0% (payout 31.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Bufab Holding AB (BUFAB)?
The net margin of Bufab Holding AB is 9.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bufab Holding AB (BUFAB)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bufab Holding AB is 18.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bufab Holding AB (BUFAB)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bufab Holding AB is 10.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bufab Holding AB (BUFAB)?
The operating margin of Bufab Holding AB is 15.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bufab Holding AB (BUFAB)?
Revenue at Bufab Holding AB is growing +16.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Bufab Holding AB (BUFAB)?
Earnings per share at Bufab Holding AB are growing +54.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Bufab Holding AB (BUFAB) carry?
The net debt of Bufab Holding AB is 3.4B SEK (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 8, 2026