Bufab AB (BUFAB) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · SE · Market cap 23.9B SEK
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Share price +9.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 58% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 73.64). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (kr 29.39 to kr 73.64) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 36.90 – kr 139.40 · fair‑value band kr 29.39 – kr 73.64 · the kr 135.40 price screens above the kr 56.21 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
Bufab AB (BUFAB) currently trades at kr 135.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 56.21, implying the stock looks roughly 58.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Bufab AB generated revenue of 8.1B SEK at a net margin of 8.0%. Revenue grew 1.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.0%. Net debt stands at 3.4B SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 29.39 (bear case) to kr 73.64 (bull case); at kr 135.40, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 64% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -58%, BUFAB screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 68.86) versus Asset-Based (kr 14.22). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Bufab AB (publ), a trading company, provides solutions for procurement, quality assurance, and logistics for c-parts and technical components in Sweden, Denmark, Finland, Norway, Germany, the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally.
Full company description
Bufab AB (publ), a trading company, provides solutions for procurement, quality assurance, and logistics for c-parts and technical components in Sweden, Denmark, Finland, Norway, Germany, the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company offers C-parts, such as bolts, screws, nails, pins, clamps, rivets, nuts and washers, as well as other small metal and rubber or plastic parts, including cables, springs, and electronic fasteners. It also provides machining, turning, cold-formed parts, hot-forged parts; access hardware comprising hinges, locks, and latches; casted parts; magnets; sheet metal; tools and equipment; and wire products. In addition, the company is involved in the provision of security labels, industrial labels, masking and insulators, foams and gaskets, polyamide labels for SMT, labels for wires and cables, decal and membrane, and adhesive transfer tapes services; and magnet services, such as magnetization, assembly, bonding of magnets, and packaging. Further, it provides stainless steel fasteners under the BUMAX brand. The company serves aerospace, agricultural, automotive, construction, defense, energy, furniture and interior, general, pharma and biopharma, and railway industries. The company was formerly known as Bufab Holding AB (publ) and changed its name to Bufab AB (publ) in June 2015. Bufab AB (publ) was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Värnamo, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Bufab AB reported revenue of kr 8.1B in FY2025 versus kr 5.9B in FY2021, a compound +8.3%/yr. Reported net income was kr 626M in FY2025, compounding +7.4%/yr from FY2021.
BUFAB screens 58% overvalued. Compare with W.W. Grainger, Inc →
Peer Group
Industrial Distribution · 104 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Industrial Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Industrial Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| W.W. Grainger, Inc GWW | $1,376 | $625.61 | -55% |
| Fastenal Company FAST | $45.49 | $20.64 | -55% |
| Ferguson Enterprises Inc FERG | $232.02 | $151.92 | -35% |
| WESCO International, Inc WCC | $326.71 | $213.01 | -35% |
| Watsco, Inc WSO | $385.16 | $268.10 | -30% |
| Toromont Industries Ltd TIH | C$232.22 | C$127.90 | -45% |
| Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc AIT | $329.35 | $191.65 | -42% |
| Finning International Inc FTT | C$102.50 | C$76.38 | -25% |
| Addtech AB ADDTB | kr 329.20 | kr 156.35 | -53% |
| Core & Main, Inc CNM | $44.66 | $49.47 | +11% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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