Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation stock $86.22, price $140, that is 38.5% below the price, quality 30 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $81.16 – $141.70 · fair‑value band $57.61 – $112.09 · the $140.28 price screens above the $86.22 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
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Chesapeake Utilities Corporation operates as an energy delivery company in the United States. It operates through two segments: Regulated Energy and Unregulated Energy.
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The Regulated Energy segment engages in the natural gas distribution operations in central and southern Delaware, Maryland's eastern shore, and Florida; regulated natural gas transmission in the Delmarva Peninsula, Ohio, and Florida; and regulated electric distribution in northeast and northwest Florida.
Its Unregulated Energy segment is involved in the propane operations in the Mid-Atlantic region, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Florida; unregulated natural gas transmission/supply operation in central and eastern Ohio; generation of electricity and steam; provision of compressed natural gas, liquefied natural gas, and renewable natural gas transportation and pipeline solutions primarily to utilities and pipelines in the United States; and sustainable energy investments.
This segment also engages in the provision of other unregulated energy services, such as energy-related merchandise sale and heating, ventilation and air conditioning, and plumbing and electrical services. Chesapeake Utilities Corporation was founded in 1859 and is headquartered in Dover, Delaware.
Stock analysis
Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK) currently trades at $140.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $86.22, 39% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $86.22 per share, and 1 of the 16 models we run sit above the $140.28 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $28.59, and 15 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $57.61 (bear) to $112.09 (bull), the price of $140.28 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Chesapeake Utilities Corporation reported revenue of $930M in FY2025 versus $570M in FY2021, a compound +13.0%/yr. Reported net income was $140M in FY2025, compounding +13.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $3.4B Mid · P/E ratio 22.1 · P/S ratio 3.36 · EPS (TTM) $6.34 · Dividend yield 2.0% · Net margin 15.1% · Return on equity 9.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.0% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 58 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −39%, CPK screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$57.61Fair Value $86.22Bull$112.09
Price $140.28 · Downside -38.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($3.00 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, 2 officers or directors sold shares worth $1.5M and none bought.
SaleJeffry M HouseholderPresident & CEO, Director4× since Dec 16, 2025: 35,000 shares, avg. $126.84$4.4MMay 21, 2026
SaleKevin J WebberSr VP & Chief Dev Officer2,000 shares at $127.37$254,740May 20, 2026
SaleJeffery S SylvesterSenior VP & COO1,000 shares at $137.08$137,080Nov 20, 2025
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.57/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+18.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.3% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+10.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+8.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.7.0% vs 8.2%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.23% → 28%
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (91 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
AI conclusion: The regulated gas utility delivers stable but constrained returns as its core strength while its main weakness remains the limited durable moat and negative free cash flow.
Main risk: Regulatory caps on returns could limit earnings growth from added infrastructure and rate base expansion in this capital-intensive regulated gas model.
Chesapeake Utilities set up an at-the-market equity program to fund capital projects and infrastructure. In this regulated gas business the move can grow the rate base in high-demand areas yet also increases shares outstanding. Our models see the stock as overvalued. Will the added projects lift earnings per share enough to make up for the dilution?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Gas · 107 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−38.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)9.5% · Above median
Return on assets3.5% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)15.1% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)24.8% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)9.0% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)2.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.83× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Gas median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)22.1× · Priciest 25%
P/B2.12× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)3.36× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA12.3× · Priciest 25%
PEG2.20× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 31
FUTURE (revenue growth)45· sector 16
PAST (return on equity)38· sector 34
HEALTH (low debt)59· sector 82
DIVIDEND (yield)40· sector 69
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $86.22 versus a price of $140.28, about 39% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CPK?
Our model-based fair value for Chesapeake Utilities Corporation is $86.22 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $140.28.
What is the quality score of CPK?
Chesapeake Utilities Corporation has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $86.22 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario $57.61, optimistic scenario $112.09. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Chesapeake Utilities Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $86.22, about 39% lower versus a price of $140.28 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $57.61, optimistic scenario $112.09. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK)?
Chesapeake Utilities Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.0B (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Chesapeake Utilities Corporation pay a dividend?
Chesapeake Utilities Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of 2.02% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Chesapeake Utilities Corporation pays a dividend of $2.84 per share a year, a dividend yield of 2.0%. The next ex-dividend date is Dec 15, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 1984. The payout ratio is 44.8% of earnings. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Chesapeake Utilities Corporation it is $86.22 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of $140.28. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Chesapeake Utilities Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, CPK trades above its calculated fair value: price $140.28, fair value $86.22, a gap of about −39% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CPK?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($140.28); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($86.22). For Chesapeake Utilities Corporation the two are $54.06 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Chesapeake Utilities Corporation worth?
The market values Chesapeake Utilities Corporation at about $3.4B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is $140.28; our models calculate a fair value of $86.22 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CPK?
Our models span a range for Chesapeake Utilities Corporation: cautious scenario $57.61, base $86.22, optimistic $112.09 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price $140.28). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CPK?
Chesapeake Utilities Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 22.1 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $86.22 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, 4 of the years ex one-offs: 23.4. Other multiples: PEG 2.2, P/B 2.1, P/S 3.4, EV/EBITDA 12.3.
What is the PEG ratio of CPK?
The PEG ratio of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation is 2.20 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 8, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK)?
Balance-sheet figures for Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 9.5%, debt of 0.83 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CPK from its 52-week high?
Chesapeake Utilities Corporation trades at $140.28, about 1% below its 52-week high of $141.70 and 19% above the low of $118.30 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $86.22 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Chesapeake Utilities Corporation?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value Naturgy Energy Group, Atmos Energy Corporation, Snam S.p.A, NiSource Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Chesapeake Utilities Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price $140.28, calculated fair value $86.22 (−39%), Quality Score 30/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CPK calculated?
We run Chesapeake Utilities Corporation through 16 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $86.22 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Chesapeake Utilities Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $140.28. Our model-based fair value is $86.22, about 39% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Chesapeake Utilities Corporation right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($112.09). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range ($57.61 to $112.09) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK) come from?
Earnings per share at Chesapeake Utilities Corporation grew +8.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.6 %, EBIT margin +6.3 %, tax rate +2.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK)?
The market capitalisation of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation is $3.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation is 3.36 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK)?
Earnings per share at Chesapeake Utilities Corporation are $6.34 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 22.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK)?
The dividend yield of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation is 2.0% (payout 44.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK)?
The net margin of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation is 15.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation is 9.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation is 6.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK)?
The operating margin of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation is 24.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK)?
Revenue at Chesapeake Utilities Corporation is growing +9.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK)?
Earnings per share at Chesapeake Utilities Corporation are growing +8.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK) generate?
The free cash flow of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation is −$215M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK) carry?
The net debt of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation is $1.6B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 8, 2026