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Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation $90.71, price $130, upside -30.0%, quality 28 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Utilities · US · ISIN US1653031088

CU Chesapeake Utilities Corporation logo Broad data Sep 23, 2026

Chesapeake Utilities Corporation

CPK · US

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value $90.71 · Overvalued (−30%)
!Quality 28/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +13.8 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 15.1% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
·2.11% dividend yield
!Trails peers (5/14)
!Moderate moat 61/100
!Insider activity 35/100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$137.92 $81.62 Fair Value $90.71 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $81.62 – $137.92 · fair‑value band $52.57 – $117.92 · the $129.64 price screens above the $90.71 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Chesapeake Utilities Corporation operates as an energy delivery company in the United States. It operates through two segments: Regulated Energy and Unregulated Energy.

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Chesapeake Utilities Corporation operates as an energy delivery company in the United States. It operates through two segments: Regulated Energy and Unregulated Energy. The Regulated Energy segment engages in the natural gas distribution operations in central and southern Delaware, Maryland's eastern shore, and Florida; regulated natural gas transmission in the Delmarva Peninsula, Ohio, and Florida; and regulated electric distribution in northeast and northwest Florida. Its Unregulated Energy segment is involved in the propane operations in the Mid-Atlantic region, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Florida; unregulated natural gas transmission/supply operation in central and eastern Ohio; generation of electricity and steam; provision of compressed natural gas, liquefied natural gas, and renewable natural gas transportation and pipeline solutions primarily to utilities and pipelines in the United States; and sustainable energy investments. This segment also engages in the provision of other unregulated energy services, such as energy-related merchandise sale and heating, ventilation and air conditioning, and plumbing and electrical services. Chesapeake Utilities Corporation was founded in 1859 and is headquartered in Dover, Delaware.

Stock analysis

Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK) currently trades at $129.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $90.71, implying the stock looks roughly 42.9% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $96.93 per share, and 1 of the 16 models we run sit above the $129.64 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $34.64, and 15 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $52.57 (bear) to $117.92 (bull), the price of $129.64 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Chesapeake Utilities Corporation reported revenue of $930M in FY2025 versus $570M in FY2021, a compound +13.0%/yr. Reported net income was $140M in FY2025, compounding +13.9%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $3.0B · P/E ratio 20.8 · P/S ratio 3.13 · EPS (TTM) $6.24 · Dividend yield 2.1% · Net margin 15.1% · Return on equity 9.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at −30%, CPK screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $52.57 Fair Value $90.71 Bull $117.92
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($2.56 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income $55.93 $60.50 $72.82 76
EPV $22.39 $34.64 $45.21 72
ROIC Compounder $22.39 $34.64 $45.21 71
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $39.74 $158.64 $215.62 64
Lynch FV $39.40 $56.28 $73.17 61
PEG = 1.0 $39.40 $56.28 $73.17 57
EPV $22.39 $34.64 $45.21 72
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $22.21 $44.25 $67.01 67
DDM Multi-Stage $22.21 $38.24 $46.71 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $78.90 $105.20 $131.51 63
P/S Multiple $72.64 $96.86 $121.07 58
P/B Multiple $74.52 $99.36 $124.20 55
EV/EBIT $65.52 $105.76 $146.00 64
EV/EBITDA $58.89 $96.93 $134.96 65
EV/Revenue $12.59 $41.65 $70.70 49
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $33.30 $44.62 $66.59 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $55.93 $60.50 $72.82 76
ROIC Compounder $22.39 $34.64 $45.21 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $63.50 $90.71 $117.92 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 28/100

Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 41
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 28
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 87
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 47
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 46
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 19
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 57/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+18.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.3% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+10.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+8.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.7% vs 8%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.23% → 28%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

CPK screens 43% overvalued. Compare with Naturgy Energy Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Gas · 107 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −30% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 28% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 18% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.83× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Gas median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.90× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.09× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 11.6× · Pricier than median
PEG 2.38× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 36
FUTURE (revenue growth)91 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)38 · sector 35
HEALTH (low debt)59 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)42 · sector 72

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Naturgy Energy Group NTGY €29.48 €32.79 +11%
Atmos Energy Corporation ATO $157.34 $77.92 −50%
NiSource Inc NI $39.88 $19.90 −50%
Uniper SE UN0 €48.45 €45.97 −5%
The Hong Kong and China Gas Company 0003 HK$7.12 HK$4.79 −33%
GAIL (India) Limited GAIL ₹172.95 ₹132.19 −24%
Italgas S.p.A IG €8.43 €9.27 +10%
ENN Natural Gas Co 600803 ¥18.58 ¥61.20 +229%
UGI Corporation UGI $36.85 $32.82 −11%
Southwest Gas Holdings SWX $83.49 $57.83 −31%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chesapeake Utilities Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CPK

Frequently asked questions

Is Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $90.71 versus a price of $129.64, about −30% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CPK?
Our model-based fair value for Chesapeake Utilities Corporation is $90.71 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $129.64.
What is the quality score of CPK?
Chesapeake Utilities Corporation has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $90.71 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario $52.57, optimistic scenario $117.92. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Chesapeake Utilities Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $90.71, about −30% upside versus a price of $129.64 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $52.57, optimistic scenario $117.92. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK)?
Chesapeake Utilities Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $984M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Chesapeake Utilities Corporation pay a dividend?
Chesapeake Utilities Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.11% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Chesapeake Utilities Corporation it is $90.71 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $129.64. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Chesapeake Utilities Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, CPK trades above its calculated fair value: price $129.64, fair value $90.71, a gap of about −30% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CPK?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($129.64); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($90.71). For Chesapeake Utilities Corporation the two are $38.93 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Chesapeake Utilities Corporation worth?
The market values Chesapeake Utilities Corporation at about $3.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $129.64; our models calculate a fair value of $90.71 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CPK?
Our models span a range for Chesapeake Utilities Corporation: cautious scenario $52.57, base $90.71, optimistic $117.92 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $129.64). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CPK?
Chesapeake Utilities Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.8 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $90.71 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.4, P/B 1.9, P/S 3.1, EV/EBITDA 11.6.
What is the PEG ratio of CPK?
The PEG ratio of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation is 2.38 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK)?
Balance-sheet figures for Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 9.6%, debt of 0.83 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 28/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CPK from its 52-week high?
Chesapeake Utilities Corporation trades at $129.64, about 6% below its 52-week high of $137.92 and 9% above the low of $118.97 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $90.71 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Chesapeake Utilities Corporation?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value Naturgy Energy Group, Atmos Energy Corporation, NiSource Inc, Uniper SE, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Chesapeake Utilities Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $129.64, calculated fair value $90.71 (−30%), Quality Score 28/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CPK calculated?
We run Chesapeake Utilities Corporation through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $90.71, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Chesapeake Utilities Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $129.64. Our model-based fair value is $90.71, about −30% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Chesapeake Utilities Corporation right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($117.92). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range ($52.57 to $117.92) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK) come from?
Earnings per share at Chesapeake Utilities Corporation grew +8.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.6 %, EBIT margin +6.3 %, tax rate +2.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation

How large is the market capitalisation of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK)?
The market capitalisation of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation is $3.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation is 3.13 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK)?
Earnings per share at Chesapeake Utilities Corporation are $6.24 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 20.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK)?
The dividend yield of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation is 2.1% (payout 43.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK)?
The net margin of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation is 15.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation is 9.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation is 6.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK)?
The operating margin of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation is 28.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK)?
Revenue at Chesapeake Utilities Corporation is growing +18.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK)?
Earnings per share at Chesapeake Utilities Corporation are growing +11.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK) generate?
The free cash flow of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation is −$215M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK) carry?
The net debt of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation is $1.6B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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