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Data-driven stock valuation

Danya Cebus (DNYA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Danya Cebus stock ILS 53.18, price ILS 112, that is 52.5% below the price, quality 48 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 17 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials Il · ISIN IL0011731374

DC Danya Cebus logo Broad data Nov 6, 2026

Danya Cebus

DNYA · TA
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 53% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Broad data
Quality 48/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +11.1 %/yr in ILS)
Thin margins · 2.5% net margin (TTM)
Fair value 53.18 ILS · Strongly overvalued (−52.5%)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (5/13)
Narrow moat 42/100 · thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

182.58 ILS 51.24 ILS Fair Value 53.18 ILS Jun 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 51.24 ILS – 182.58 ILS · fair‑value band 36.19 ILS – 69.13 ILS · the 112.00 ILS price screens above the 53.18 ILS fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.

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Company profile

Danya Cebus Ltd. operates as a construction and infrastructure company in Israel and internationally.

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It undertakes infrastructure projects, including road paving, building railway infrastructure, construction of bridges, parking lots, tunnel mining, and associated infrastructure development, as well as commercial, industrial, and residential infrastructures.

The company also engages in the design and execution of integrated electromechanical systems; concrete pumps array, lease of tower cranes, external elevators services, and skyscrapers and building equipment; residential projects for rent or sale; the execution of underground works that include foundation, deposition, and works related to advanced geotechnics; and production of aluminum elements and windows.

In addition, it provides preconstruction services, including review of plans, schedules, logistical planning, and design; construction services comprising project, contract, on-site logistics, and on-site safety management services, as well as equipment and materials; consulting services, such as project analysis survey, quality control, and schedule analysis; and human resource solutions.

The company was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Or Yehuda, Israel. Danya Cebus Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Africa Israel Investments Ltd.

Stock analysis

Danya Cebus (DNYA) currently trades at 112.00 ILS, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 53.18 ILS, 53% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 108.32 ILS per share, and 3 of the 17 models we run sit above the 112.00 ILS price.

Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at 41.88 ILS, and 14 of the 17 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: 36.19 ILS (bear) to 69.13 ILS (bull), the price of 112.00 ILS sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Danya Cebus reported revenue of 6.5B ILS in FY2025 versus 4.1B ILS in FY2021, a compound +12.5%/yr. Reported net income was 169M ILS in FY2025, compounding −5.7%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 3.8B ILS Small · P/E ratio 22.5 · P/S ratio 0.58 · EPS (TTM) 4.97 ILS · Dividend yield 4.4% · Net margin 2.5% · Return on equity 19.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.9% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −42% fair-value upside, at −53%, DNYA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 36.19 ILS Fair Value 53.18 ILS Bull 69.13 ILS
Price 112.00 ILS · Downside -52.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0342 ILS per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Owner Earnings 30.89 ILS 41.88 ILS 57.63 ILS 77
Residual Income 27.99 ILS 34.33 ILS 45.36 ILS 76
EPV 46.29 ILS 50.78 ILS 54.48 ILS 74
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 30.89 ILS 41.88 ILS 57.63 ILS 77
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 34.84 ILS 146.56 ILS 199.98 ILS 64
Lynch FV 37.22 ILS 53.18 ILS 69.13 ILS 61
PEG = 1.0 37.22 ILS 53.18 ILS 69.13 ILS 57
EPV 46.29 ILS 50.78 ILS 54.48 ILS 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 36.19 ILS 63.27 ILS 84.92 ILS 68
DDM Multi-Stage 36.19 ILS 58.72 ILS 67.80 ILS 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 80.69 ILS 107.58 ILS 134.48 ILS 63
P/S Multiple 65.32 ILS 87.09 ILS 108.86 ILS 58
P/B Multiple 92.87 ILS 123.83 ILS 154.78 ILS 55
EV/EBIT 83.51 ILS 109.05 ILS 134.59 ILS 66
EV/EBITDA 98.30 ILS 128.77 ILS 159.24 ILS 67
EV/Revenue 61.57 ILS 85.01 ILS 108.45 ILS 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 2.57 ILS 3.90 ILS 4.87 ILS 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 27.99 ILS 34.33 ILS 45.36 ILS 76
ROIC Compounder 49.40 ILS 58.21 ILS 68.19 ILS 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 63.18 ILS 90.25 ILS 117.33 ILS 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 49
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 8
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 74
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 65
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 75
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 16
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 18
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 64
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 56/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+4.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+0.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.4%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 3%

DNYA screens overvalued: fair value 53% below the price. Compare with Quanta Services, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 791 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −52.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 19.4% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5.2% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) 2.5% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 2.7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −3.3% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months) 4.4% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 22.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 4.14× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.58× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 13.7× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 20
PAST (return on equity)77 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)88 · sector 43

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vinci SA DG €111.60 €186.68 +67% vs DNYA
Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX $1,018 $1,119 +10% vs DNYA
EMCOR Group EME $608.45 $524.14 −14% vs DNYA
ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS €87.00 €62.21 −28% vs DNYA
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 273,500 KRW 159,702 KRW −42% vs DNYA
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹4,118 ₹2,302 −44% vs DNYA
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €365.60 €203.86 −44% vs DNYA
APi Group APG $40.87 $19.20 −53% vs DNYA
Ferrovial N.V FER $58.71 $23.06 −61% vs DNYA
Quanta Services, Inc PWR $540.90 $162.41 −70% vs DNYA

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Danya Cebus: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Danya Cebus Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DNYA

Frequently asked questions

Is Danya Cebus (DNYA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 53.18 ILS versus a price of 112.00 ILS, about 53% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DNYA?
Our model-based fair value for Danya Cebus is 53.18 ILS (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 112.00 ILS.
What is the quality score of DNYA?
Danya Cebus has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Danya Cebus (DNYA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 53.18 ILS (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario 36.19 ILS, optimistic scenario 69.13 ILS. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Danya Cebus stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 53.18 ILS, about 53% lower versus a price of 112.00 ILS (overvalued). Cautious scenario 36.19 ILS, optimistic scenario 69.13 ILS. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Danya Cebus (DNYA)?
Danya Cebus reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.4B ILS (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Danya Cebus pay a dividend?
Danya Cebus currently shows a dividend yield of 4.40% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Danya Cebus (DNYA) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Danya Cebus pays a dividend of 4.93 ILS per share a year, a dividend yield of 4.4%. The last ex-dividend date was Oct 29, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2021. The payout ratio is 99.2% of earnings. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of Danya Cebus (DNYA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Danya Cebus it is 53.18 ILS per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of 112.00 ILS. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Danya Cebus stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, DNYA trades above its calculated fair value: price 112.00 ILS, fair value 53.18 ILS, a gap of about −53% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DNYA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (112.00 ILS); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (53.18 ILS). For Danya Cebus the two are 58.82 ILS per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Danya Cebus worth?
The market values Danya Cebus at about 3.8B ILS (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is 112.00 ILS; our models calculate a fair value of 53.18 ILS per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DNYA?
Our models span a range for Danya Cebus: cautious scenario 36.19 ILS, base 53.18 ILS, optimistic 69.13 ILS per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price 112.00 ILS). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of DNYA?
Danya Cebus trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 22.5 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 53.18 ILS is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.1, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 13.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Danya Cebus (DNYA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Danya Cebus (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 19.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DNYA from its 52-week high?
Danya Cebus trades at 112.00 ILS, about 39% below its 52-week high of 182.58 ILS and 21% above the low of 92.80 ILS (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 53.18 ILS is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Danya Cebus?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Larsen & Toubro Limited, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Danya Cebus stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price 112.00 ILS, calculated fair value 53.18 ILS (−53%), Quality Score 48/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DNYA calculated?
We run Danya Cebus through 17 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 53.18 ILS builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Danya Cebus itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Danya Cebus (DNYA)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was 112.00 ILS. Our model-based fair value is 53.18 ILS, about 53% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Danya Cebus right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (69.13 ILS). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (48/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (36.19 ILS to 69.13 ILS) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Danya Cebus

How large is the market capitalisation of Danya Cebus (DNYA)?
The market capitalisation of Danya Cebus is 3.8B ILS. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Danya Cebus (DNYA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Danya Cebus is 0.58 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Danya Cebus (DNYA)?
Earnings per share at Danya Cebus are 4.97 ILS (price ÷ EPS = P/E 22.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Danya Cebus (DNYA)?
The dividend yield of Danya Cebus is 4.4% (payout 99.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Danya Cebus (DNYA)?
The net margin of Danya Cebus is 2.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Danya Cebus (DNYA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Danya Cebus is 19.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Danya Cebus (DNYA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Danya Cebus is 7.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Danya Cebus (DNYA)?
The operating margin of Danya Cebus is 2.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Danya Cebus (DNYA)?
Revenue at Danya Cebus is growing −3.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Danya Cebus (DNYA)?
Earnings per share at Danya Cebus are growing −17.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Danya Cebus (DNYA) generate?
The free cash flow of Danya Cebus is −189M ILS (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Danya Cebus (DNYA) hold?
Danya Cebus holds more cash than debt, 227M ILS net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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