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Danya Cebus Ltd (DNYA) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · Il · Market cap 4.0B ILA

DC Danya Cebus Ltd DNYA · TA
Price122.40 ILA
Fair Value90.28 ILA
Upside-26.2%
Quality46/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 2.6% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (5/13)
Narrow moat 41/100
Evidence: High Range 47.64 ILA – 117.36 ILA Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price −10.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 26% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (117.36 ILA). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (47.64 ILA to 117.36 ILA) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

199.35 ILA 47.69 ILA Fair Value 90.28 ILA Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 47.69 ILA – 199.35 ILA · fair‑value band 47.64 ILA – 117.36 ILA · the 122.40 ILA price screens above the 90.28 ILA fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Danya Cebus Ltd (DNYA) currently trades at 122.40 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 90.28 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 26.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Danya Cebus Ltd generated revenue of 6.5B ILA at a net margin of 2.6%. Revenue declined 0.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 227M ILA. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 47.64 ILA (bear case) to 117.36 ILA (bull case); at 122.40 ILA, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -26%, DNYA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 31.40 ILA 38.19 ILA 81.13 ILA 76
ROIC Compounder 57.26 ILA 70.33 ILA 86.00 ILA 72
Gordon GGM 42.72 ILA 85.12 ILA 128.90 ILA 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 83.33 ILA 133.14 ILA 213.44 ILA 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 34.85 ILA 146.61 ILA 200.04 ILA 54
Lynch FV 37.23 ILA 53.19 ILA 69.15 ILA 50
PEG = 1.0 37.23 ILA 53.19 ILA 69.15 ILA 46
EPV 52.82 ILA 59.32 ILA 64.92 ILA 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 42.72 ILA 85.12 ILA 128.90 ILA 70
DDM Multi-Stage 42.72 ILA 73.57 ILA 89.85 ILA 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 80.71 ILA 107.61 ILA 134.52 ILA 63
P/S Multiple 65.34 ILA 87.12 ILA 108.89 ILA 58
P/B Multiple 65.34 ILA 87.12 ILA 108.89 ILA 55
EV/EBIT 88.33 ILA 113.88 ILA 139.43 ILA 53
EV/EBITDA 103.13 ILA 133.61 ILA 164.09 ILA 54
EV/Revenue 66.39 ILA 89.83 ILA 113.28 ILA 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 13.81 ILA 18.50 ILA 27.62 ILA 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 31.40 ILA 38.19 ILA 81.13 ILA 76
ROIC Compounder 57.26 ILA 70.33 ILA 86.00 ILA 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 63.20 ILA 90.28 ILA 117.36 ILA 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (133.14 ILA) versus Asset-Based (18.50 ILA). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 6.5B ILA
Revenue growth (YoY) -0.7%
Net margin 2.6%
Return on equity 19.6%
Free cash flow −189M ILA FY2025
P/E ratio 23.7
More key figures
Operating margin 3.0%
EPS (TTM) 5.09 ILA
Dividend yield 0.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -9.0%
Net cash 227M ILA FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 65
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 20
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 52
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Danya Cebus Ltd. operates as a construction and infrastructure company in Israel and internationally. It undertakes infrastructure projects, including road paving, building railway infrastructure, construction of bridges, parking lots, tunnel mining, and associated infrastructure development, as well as commercial, industrial, and residential …

Full company description

Danya Cebus Ltd. operates as a construction and infrastructure company in Israel and internationally. It undertakes infrastructure projects, including road paving, building railway infrastructure, construction of bridges, parking lots, tunnel mining, and associated infrastructure development, as well as commercial, industrial, and residential infrastructures. The company also engages in the design and execution of integrated electromechanical systems; concrete pumps array, lease of tower cranes, external elevators services, and skyscrapers and building equipment; residential projects for rent or sale; the execution of underground works that include foundation, deposition, and works related to advanced geotechnics; and production of aluminum elements and windows. In addition, it provides preconstruction services, including review of plans, schedules, logistical planning, and design; construction services comprising project, contract, on-site logistics, and on-site safety management services, as well as equipment and materials; consulting services, such as project analysis survey, quality control, and schedule analysis; and human resource solutions. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Or Yehuda, Israel. Danya Cebus Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Africa Israel Investments Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Danya Cebus Ltd reported revenue of 6.5B ILA in FY2025 versus 4.1B ILA in FY2021, a compound +12.5%/yr. Reported net income was 169M ILA in FY2025, compounding −5.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 56/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
6.5B ILS
Latest YoY
+8.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+13.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+11.1%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y)
+8.1%
Revenue +12.5%/yr
FY21 4.1B ILA
FY22 4.5B ILA
FY23 5.4B ILA
FY24 6.0B ILA
FY25 6.5B ILA
Net income −5.7%/yr
FY21 213M ILA
FY22 175M ILA
FY23 196M ILA
FY24 174M ILA
FY25 169M ILA

DNYA screens 26% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Danya Cebus Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DNYA

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −26% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth -1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 23.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.43× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.20× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 3.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 16
FUTURE 0 · sector 18
PAST 79 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 1 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹96.32 ₹48.22 -50%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,330 ₹730.69 -45%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 92,700 KRW 20,172 KRW -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Danya Cebus Ltd (DNYA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 90.28 ILA versus a price of 122.40 ILA, about −26% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DNYA?
Our model-based fair value for Danya Cebus Ltd is 90.28 ILA (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 122.40 ILA.
What is the quality score of DNYA?
Danya Cebus Ltd has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Danya Cebus Ltd (DNYA)?
Danya Cebus Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.5B ILS (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DNYA?
The net profit margin of Danya Cebus Ltd is about 2.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Danya Cebus Ltd pay a dividend?
Danya Cebus Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.04% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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