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Danya Cebus (DNYA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Danya Cebus ILS 56.38, price ILS 99.13, upside -43.1%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · Il · ISIN IL0011731374

DC Broad data Sep 23, 2026

Danya Cebus

DNYA · TA

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 56.38 ILA · Strongly overvalued (−43%)
!Quality 46/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +11.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.6% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
!Narrow moat 41/100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

182.58 ILA 48.69 ILA Fair Value 56.38 ILA May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 48.69 ILA – 182.58 ILA · fair‑value band 37.23 ILA – 74.13 ILA · the 99.13 ILA price screens above the 56.38 ILA fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Danya Cebus Ltd. operates as a construction and infrastructure company in Israel and internationally.

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Danya Cebus Ltd. operates as a construction and infrastructure company in Israel and internationally. It undertakes infrastructure projects, including road paving, building railway infrastructure, construction of bridges, parking lots, tunnel mining, and associated infrastructure development, as well as commercial, industrial, and residential infrastructures. The company also engages in the design and execution of integrated electromechanical systems; concrete pumps array, lease of tower cranes, external elevators services, and skyscrapers and building equipment; residential projects for rent or sale; the execution of underground works that include foundation, deposition, and works related to advanced geotechnics; and production of aluminum elements and windows. In addition, it provides preconstruction services, including review of plans, schedules, logistical planning, and design; construction services comprising project, contract, on-site logistics, and on-site safety management services, as well as equipment and materials; consulting services, such as project analysis survey, quality control, and schedule analysis; and human resource solutions. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Or Yehuda, Israel. Danya Cebus Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Africa Israel Investments Ltd.

Stock analysis

Danya Cebus (DNYA) currently trades at 99.13 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 56.38 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 75.8% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 136.15 ILA per share, and 5 of the 17 models we run sit above the 99.13 ILA price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 18.50 ILA, and 12 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: 37.23 ILA (bear) to 74.13 ILA (bull), the price of 99.13 ILA sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Danya Cebus reported revenue of 6.5B ILS in FY2025 versus 4.1B ILS in FY2021, a compound +12.5%/yr. Reported net income was 169M ILS in FY2025, compounding −5.7%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 4.0B ILA · P/E ratio 19.5 · P/S ratio 0.50 · EPS (TTM) 5.09 ILA · Dividend yield 5.0% · Net margin 2.6% · Return on equity 19.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at −43%, DNYA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 37.23 ILA Fair Value 56.38 ILA Bull 74.13 ILA
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.1170 ILS per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings 85.11 ILA 136.15 ILA 218.45 ILA 75
EPV 52.82 ILA 59.32 ILA 64.92 ILA 74
ROIC Compounder 57.26 ILA 70.33 ILA 86.00 ILA 72
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 85.11 ILA 136.15 ILA 218.45 ILA 75
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 34.85 ILA 146.61 ILA 200.04 ILA 64
Lynch FV 37.23 ILA 53.19 ILA 69.15 ILA 61
PEG = 1.0 37.23 ILA 53.19 ILA 69.15 ILA 57
EPV 52.82 ILA 59.32 ILA 64.92 ILA 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 42.72 ILA 85.12 ILA 128.90 ILA 67
DDM Multi-Stage 42.72 ILA 73.57 ILA 89.85 ILA 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 80.71 ILA 107.61 ILA 134.52 ILA 63
P/S Multiple 65.34 ILA 87.12 ILA 108.89 ILA 58
P/B Multiple 65.34 ILA 87.12 ILA 108.89 ILA 55
EV/EBIT 88.33 ILA 113.88 ILA 139.43 ILA 66
EV/EBITDA 103.13 ILA 133.61 ILA 164.09 ILA 67
EV/Revenue 66.39 ILA 89.83 ILA 113.28 ILA 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 13.81 ILA 18.50 ILA 27.62 ILA 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 31.40 ILA 38.19 ILA 81.13 ILA 71
ROIC Compounder 57.26 ILA 70.33 ILA 86.00 ILA 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 63.20 ILA 90.28 ILA 117.36 ILA 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 65
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 11
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 52
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 56/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.0%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.2%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+5.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+0.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 3%

DNYA screens 76% overvalued. Compare with Quanta Services, Inc →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 822 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −43% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.0% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.43× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.20× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 3.8× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 24
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 13
PAST (return on equity)79 · sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)99 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Quanta Services, Inc PWR $642.63 $163.08 −75%
Vinci SA DG €112.30 €185.62 +65%
Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX $1,625 $1,122 −31%
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,866 ₹1,994 −48%
Ferrovial N.V FER $56.30 $24.01 −57%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 367,000 KRW 264,296 KRW −28%
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €403.60 €203.87 −49%
ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS €95.95 €75.04 −22%
EMCOR Group EME $756.50 $521.87 −31%
MasTec, Inc MTZ $221.69 $106.05 −52%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Danya Cebus Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DNYA

Frequently asked questions

Is Danya Cebus (DNYA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 56.38 ILA versus a price of 99.13 ILA, about −43% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DNYA?
Our model-based fair value for Danya Cebus is 56.38 ILA (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 99.13 ILA.
What is the quality score of DNYA?
Danya Cebus has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Danya Cebus (DNYA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 56.38 ILA (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario 37.23 ILA, optimistic scenario 74.13 ILA. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Danya Cebus stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 56.38 ILA, about −43% upside versus a price of 99.13 ILA (overvalued). Cautious scenario 37.23 ILA, optimistic scenario 74.13 ILA. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Danya Cebus (DNYA)?
Danya Cebus reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.5B ILS (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Danya Cebus pay a dividend?
Danya Cebus currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.97% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Danya Cebus (DNYA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Danya Cebus it is 56.38 ILA per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of 99.13 ILA. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Danya Cebus stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, DNYA trades above its calculated fair value: price 99.13 ILA, fair value 56.38 ILA, a gap of about −43% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DNYA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (99.13 ILA); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (56.38 ILA). For Danya Cebus the two are 42.75 ILA per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Danya Cebus worth?
The market values Danya Cebus at about 4.0B ILA (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is 99.13 ILA; our models calculate a fair value of 56.38 ILA per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DNYA?
Our models span a range for Danya Cebus: cautious scenario 37.23 ILA, base 56.38 ILA, optimistic 74.13 ILA per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price 99.13 ILA). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of DNYA?
Danya Cebus trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.5 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 56.38 ILA is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.4, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 3.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Danya Cebus (DNYA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Danya Cebus (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 19.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DNYA from its 52-week high?
Danya Cebus trades at 99.13 ILA, about 46% below its 52-week high of 182.58 ILA and 1% above the low of 98.00 ILA (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 56.38 ILA is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Danya Cebus?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Danya Cebus stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price 99.13 ILA, calculated fair value 56.38 ILA (−43%), Quality Score 46/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DNYA calculated?
We run Danya Cebus through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 56.38 ILA, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Danya Cebus itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Danya Cebus (DNYA)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 99.13 ILA. Our model-based fair value is 56.38 ILA, about −43% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Danya Cebus right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (74.13 ILA). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (37.23 ILA to 74.13 ILA) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Danya Cebus

How large is the market capitalisation of Danya Cebus (DNYA)?
The market capitalisation of Danya Cebus is 4.0B ILA. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Danya Cebus (DNYA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Danya Cebus is 0.50 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Danya Cebus (DNYA)?
Earnings per share at Danya Cebus are 5.09 ILA (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Danya Cebus (DNYA)?
The dividend yield of Danya Cebus is 5.0% (payout 96.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Danya Cebus (DNYA)?
The net margin of Danya Cebus is 2.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Danya Cebus (DNYA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Danya Cebus is 19.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Danya Cebus (DNYA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Danya Cebus is 7.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Danya Cebus (DNYA)?
The operating margin of Danya Cebus is 3.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Danya Cebus (DNYA)?
Revenue at Danya Cebus is growing −0.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Danya Cebus (DNYA)?
Earnings per share at Danya Cebus are growing −9.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Danya Cebus (DNYA) generate?
The free cash flow of Danya Cebus is −189M ILA (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Danya Cebus (DNYA) hold?
Danya Cebus holds more cash than debt, 227M ILA net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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