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EDAG Engineering Group AG (ED4) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of EDAG Engineering Group AG stock €2.58, price €3.01, that is 14.2% below the price, quality 24 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 2 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Cyclical DE · Home Switzerland · ISIN CH0303692047

EE EDAG Engineering Group AG logo Thin data Nov 8, 2026

EDAG Engineering Group AG

ED4 · XETRA
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 14% below what the stock costs today.

Moderate debt
Profit last quarter 45% below a year ago.
Fair value €2.58 · Overvalued
Quality 24/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.8 %/yr in EUR)
Loss-making · -5.9% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/12)
Narrow moat 10/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€13.22 €2.82 Fair Value €2.58 Sep 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €2.82 – €13.22 · fair‑value band €0.5168 – €5.34 · the €3.01 price screens above the €2.58 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

EDAG Engineering Group AG engages in the development of vehicles, derivatives, modules, and production facilities for the automotive and commercial vehicle industries worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Vehicle Engineering, Electrics/Electronics, and Production Solutions segments.

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The Vehicle Engineering segment offers vehicle development services, including package and ergonomics, body assembly, surface design, and interior and exterior development services; vehicle integration services; test vehicles, sub-assemblies, vehicle bodies, and individual vehicle conversions; hydrogen storage systems; project management; and after sales services.

Its Electrics/Electronics segment is involved in the development of electrical and electronic systems and functions; integration and validation; development of hardware and software components; and process and data management.

The Production Solutions segment engages in automotive solutions comprising planning and virtual commissioning; industrial solutions, such as the development of production solutions; and smart city solutions.

It serves automotive and bikes, commercial and off-road-vehicles, defense, medical and pharma, energy, and industrial sectors. The company was founded in 1969 and is based in Arbon, Switzerland. EDAG Engineering Group AG operates as a subsidiary of Aton Austria Holding GmbH.

Stock analysis

EDAG Engineering Group AG (ED4) currently trades at €3.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €2.58, 14% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: €0.5168 (bear) to €5.34 (bull), the price of €3.01 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.

EDAG Engineering Group AG reported revenue of €714M in FY2025 versus €710M in FY2021, a compound +0.1%/yr. Reported net income was −€43.6M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap €134M Micro · P/S ratio 0.19 · EPS (TTM) €−1.53 · Net margin −5.9% · Return on equity −28.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin −6.4% · Revenue (TTM) €682M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −14%, ED4 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €0.5168 Fair Value €2.58 Bull €5.34
Price €3.01 · Downside -14.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EV/EBITDA n/a €1.52 €3.14 62
NCAV (Graham) €0.1000 €0.1400 €0.2100 53
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA n/a €1.52 €3.14 62
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.1000 €0.1400 €0.2100 53

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 24/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 22
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 5
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 20
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 74
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 23
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 2
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 9/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
−13.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.1% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.1% (2020) → −2.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

ED4 screens overvalued: fair value 14% below the price. Compare with O'Reilly Automotive, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 655 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 24 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −14.2% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −7.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −5.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −6.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −6.9% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.74× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.51× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 0.20× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 20.2× · Priciest 25%
PEG 0.80× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)14 · sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 34
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)63 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 39

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Magna International Inc MGA $61.86 $98.98 +60% vs ED4
Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 349,000 KRW 534,994 KRW +53% vs ED4
Genuine Parts Company GPC $122.80 $115.96 −6% vs ED4
Knorr-Bremse AG KBX €94.45 €72.88 −23% vs ED4
AutoZone, Inc AZO $3,216 $2,468 −23% vs ED4
Fuyao Glass Industry Group 600660 ¥55.92 ¥40.74 −27% vs ED4
Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 ¥44.71 ¥32.24 −28% vs ED4
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹158.55 ₹96.06 −39% vs ED4
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc ORLY $89.89 $48.66 −46% vs ED4
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹50,700 ₹25,168 −50% vs ED4

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EDAG Engineering Group AG: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "EDAG Engineering Group AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ED4

Frequently asked questions

Is EDAG Engineering Group AG (ED4) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €2.58 versus a price of €3.01, about 14% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ED4?
Our model-based fair value for EDAG Engineering Group AG is €2.58 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €3.01.
What is the quality score of ED4?
EDAG Engineering Group AG has a Quality Score of 24/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for EDAG Engineering Group AG (ED4)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €2.58 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario €0.5168, optimistic scenario €5.34. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the EDAG Engineering Group AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €2.58, about 14% lower versus a price of €3.01 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €0.5168, optimistic scenario €5.34. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of EDAG Engineering Group AG (ED4)?
EDAG Engineering Group AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €682M (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of EDAG Engineering Group AG (ED4)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For EDAG Engineering Group AG it is €2.58 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of €3.01. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models in 2 families (Multiples, Asset-Based).
Is EDAG Engineering Group AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, ED4 trades above its calculated fair value: price €3.01, fair value €2.58, a gap of about −14% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ED4?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€3.01); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€2.58). For EDAG Engineering Group AG the two are €0.4260 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is EDAG Engineering Group AG worth?
The market values EDAG Engineering Group AG at about €134M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is €3.01; our models calculate a fair value of €2.58 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ED4?
Our models span a range for EDAG Engineering Group AG: cautious scenario €0.5168, base €2.58, optimistic €5.34 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price €3.01). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of ED4?
The PEG ratio of EDAG Engineering Group AG is 0.80 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 8, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of EDAG Engineering Group AG (ED4)?
Balance-sheet figures for EDAG Engineering Group AG (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity −28.9%, debt of 0.74 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 24/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ED4 from its 52-week high?
EDAG Engineering Group AG trades at €3.01, about 57% below its 52-week high of €6.92 and 7% above the low of €2.82 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €2.58 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to EDAG Engineering Group AG?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is EDAG Engineering Group AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price €3.01, calculated fair value €2.58 (−14%), Quality Score 24/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ED4 calculated?
We run EDAG Engineering Group AG through 2 models from 2 families: Multiples, Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of €2.58 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. EDAG Engineering Group AG itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of EDAG Engineering Group AG (ED4)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was €3.01. Our model-based fair value is €2.58, about 14% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with EDAG Engineering Group AG right now?
The model range is unusually wide (€0.5168 to €5.34). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of EDAG Engineering Group AG

How large is the market capitalisation of EDAG Engineering Group AG (ED4)?
The market capitalisation of EDAG Engineering Group AG is €134M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of EDAG Engineering Group AG (ED4)?
The price-to-sales ratio of EDAG Engineering Group AG is 0.19 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of EDAG Engineering Group AG (ED4)?
Earnings per share at EDAG Engineering Group AG are €−1.53. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of EDAG Engineering Group AG (ED4)?
The net margin of EDAG Engineering Group AG is −5.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of EDAG Engineering Group AG (ED4)?
The return on equity (ROE) of EDAG Engineering Group AG is −28.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of EDAG Engineering Group AG (ED4)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of EDAG Engineering Group AG is 6.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of EDAG Engineering Group AG (ED4)?
The operating margin of EDAG Engineering Group AG is −6.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at EDAG Engineering Group AG (ED4)?
Revenue at EDAG Engineering Group AG is growing −6.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at EDAG Engineering Group AG (ED4)?
Earnings per share at EDAG Engineering Group AG are growing −44.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does EDAG Engineering Group AG (ED4) generate?
The free cash flow of EDAG Engineering Group AG is −€22.9M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does EDAG Engineering Group AG (ED4) carry?
The net debt of EDAG Engineering Group AG is €216M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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