GRAINTURK Holding A.S. (GRTHO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of GRAINTURK Holding A.S. stock TRY 69.31, price TRY 72.80, that is 4.8% below the price, quality 61 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
42‑month range 15.91 TRY – 674.71 TRY · fair‑value band 47.06 TRY – 100.17 TRY · the 72.80 TRY price screens above the 69.31 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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GRAINTURK Holding A.S. operates in the field of agricultural commodity trade on national and international platforms. It is involved in the trading of wheat, corn, cotton, barely, sunflower seeds, soybeans, wheat bran, sunflower meals, soybean meals, cotton meals, sunflower oils, and soybean oils.
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The company was founded in 2014 and is based in Besiktas, Turkey.
Stock analysis
GRAINTURK Holding A.S. (GRTHO) currently trades at 72.80 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 69.31 TRY, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 5.0%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 657.94 TRY per share, and 20 of the 26 models we run sit above the 72.80 TRY price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 16.16 TRY, and 6 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 47.06 TRY (bear) to 100.17 TRY (bull), the price of 72.80 TRY sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
GRAINTURK Holding A.S. reported revenue of 7.3B TRY in FY2025 versus 360M TRY in FY2021, a compound +112.0%/yr. Reported net income was 1.8B TRY in FY2025, compounding +69.1%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap 9.1B TRY (≈ $182M) Micro · P/E ratio 5.7 · P/S ratio 1.49 · EPS (TTM) 12.80 TRY · Dividend yield 1.2% · Net margin 27.1% · Return on equity 19.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.7% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 69 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 80% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at −5%, GRTHO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear47.06 TRYFair Value 69.31 TRYBull100.17 TRY
Price 72.80 TRY · Downside -4.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (10.14 TRY per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF97.19 TRY123.44 TRY197.76 TRY77
Growth DCF91.95 TRY127.98 TRY184.97 TRY76
Residual Income63.97 TRY77.61 TRY117.06 TRY73
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF97.19 TRY123.44 TRY197.76 TRY77
Owner Earnings99.54 TRY168.37 TRY275.08 TRY72
5Y Revenue Exit75.68 TRY110.79 TRY183.11 TRY69
5Y EBITDA Exit80.55 TRY120.59 TRY198.45 TRY71
5Y P/E Exit167.37 TRY367.80 TRY640.94 TRY65
10Y Revenue Exit83.31 TRY138.38 TRY164.36 TRY65
10Y EBITDA Exit86.90 TRY145.66 TRY237.61 TRY65
10Y P/E Exit131.27 TRY275.36 TRY510.48 TRY58
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd97.73 TRY681.55 TRY956.45 TRY61
Lynch FV352.11 TRY503.02 TRY653.92 TRY59
PEG = 1.0352.11 TRY503.02 TRY653.92 TRY55
EPV30.09 TRY32.10 TRY33.65 TRY71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM0.6000 TRY0.8700 TRY1.03 TRY67
DDM Multi-Stage0.6000 TRY0.8800 TRY0.9500 TRY65
Multiples
P/E Multiple226.36 TRY301.81 TRY377.26 TRY63
P/S Multiple69.81 TRY93.09 TRY116.36 TRY58
P/B Multiple297.54 TRY396.72 TRY495.90 TRY55
EV/EBIT65.38 TRY88.48 TRY111.58 TRY66
EV/EBITDA58.28 TRY79.01 TRY99.75 TRY67
EV/Revenue45.54 TRY66.74 TRY87.94 TRY53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)10.67 TRY16.16 TRY20.20 TRY54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF91.95 TRY127.98 TRY184.97 TRY76
Rev-Margin DCF81.82 TRY125.61 TRY217.98 TRY68
Economic Profit
Residual Income63.97 TRY77.61 TRY117.06 TRY73
ROIC Compounder30.09 TRY32.10 TRY33.65 TRY70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E460.56 TRY657.94 TRY855.33 TRY65
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical peak year.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+59.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+79.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+78.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TRY (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in TRY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+71.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+70.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.2%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.0% → 9%
2025 sits 144% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+1.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Turkey: IMF forecast 19.3% a year to 2030, 28.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −14.6% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 290 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score61 · Above median
Fair Value upside−4.8% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)19.4% · Top 25%
Return on assets17.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)27.1% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)2.8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−20.4% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)1.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
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Is GRAINTURK Holding A.S. (GRTHO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 69.31 TRY versus a price of 72.80 TRY, about 5% lower (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of GRTHO?
Our model-based fair value for GRAINTURK Holding A.S. is 69.31 TRY (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 72.80 TRY.
What is the quality score of GRTHO?
GRAINTURK Holding A.S. has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for GRAINTURK Holding A.S. (GRTHO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 69.31 TRY (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 47.06 TRY, optimistic scenario 100.17 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the GRAINTURK Holding A.S. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 69.31 TRY, about 5% lower versus a price of 72.80 TRY (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 47.06 TRY, optimistic scenario 100.17 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of GRAINTURK Holding A.S. (GRTHO)?
GRAINTURK Holding A.S. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.1B TRY (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does GRAINTURK Holding A.S. pay a dividend?
GRAINTURK Holding A.S. currently shows a dividend yield of 1.23% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
What growth is priced into GRAINTURK Holding A.S. (GRTHO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, GRAINTURK Holding A.S. would have to grow free cash flow by +1.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 17.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +78.3 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GRTHO use?
Our models discount GRAINTURK Holding A.S. at 17.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Turkey. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For GRAINTURK Holding A.S. that is +1.9 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (17.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has GRAINTURK Holding A.S. (GRTHO) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at GRAINTURK Holding A.S. grew +78.3 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +1.9 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of GRAINTURK Holding A.S. (GRTHO) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into GRAINTURK Holding A.S. (+1.9 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of GRAINTURK Holding A.S. (GRTHO)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 13.61 %: that much free cash flow GRAINTURK Holding A.S. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (17.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of GRAINTURK Holding A.S. (GRTHO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For GRAINTURK Holding A.S. it is 69.31 TRY per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of 72.80 TRY. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is GRAINTURK Holding A.S. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, GRTHO trades above its calculated fair value: price 72.80 TRY, fair value 69.31 TRY, a gap of about −5% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GRTHO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (72.80 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (69.31 TRY). For GRAINTURK Holding A.S. the two are 3.49 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is GRAINTURK Holding A.S. worth?
The market values GRAINTURK Holding A.S. at about 9.1B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is 72.80 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 69.31 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GRTHO?
Our models span a range for GRAINTURK Holding A.S.: cautious scenario 47.06 TRY, base 69.31 TRY, optimistic 100.17 TRY per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price 72.80 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GRTHO?
GRAINTURK Holding A.S. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.7 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 69.31 TRY is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.0, P/S 1.5, EV/EBITDA 13.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of GRAINTURK Holding A.S. (GRTHO)?
Balance-sheet figures for GRAINTURK Holding A.S. (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 19.4%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GRTHO from its 52-week high?
GRAINTURK Holding A.S. trades at 72.80 TRY, about 80% below its 52-week high of 360.26 TRY and 30% above the low of 56.05 TRY (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 69.31 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to GRAINTURK Holding A.S.?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Muyuan Foods Group, Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Tyson Foods, Inc, Bunge Global SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is GRAINTURK Holding A.S. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price 72.80 TRY, calculated fair value 69.31 TRY (−5%), Quality Score 61/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GRTHO calculated?
We run GRAINTURK Holding A.S. through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 69.31 TRY builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.7% above its aggregate fair value. GRAINTURK Holding A.S. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of GRAINTURK Holding A.S. (GRTHO)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 72.80 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 69.31 TRY, about 5% lower (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with GRAINTURK Holding A.S. right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (47.06 TRY to 100.17 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of GRAINTURK Holding A.S.
How large is the market capitalisation of GRAINTURK Holding A.S. (GRTHO)?
The market capitalisation of GRAINTURK Holding A.S. is 9.1B TRY (≈ $182M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of GRAINTURK Holding A.S. (GRTHO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of GRAINTURK Holding A.S. is 1.49 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of GRAINTURK Holding A.S. (GRTHO)?
Earnings per share at GRAINTURK Holding A.S. are 12.80 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of GRAINTURK Holding A.S. (GRTHO)?
The dividend yield of GRAINTURK Holding A.S. is 1.2% (payout 7.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of GRAINTURK Holding A.S. (GRTHO)?
The net margin of GRAINTURK Holding A.S. is 27.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of GRAINTURK Holding A.S. (GRTHO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of GRAINTURK Holding A.S. is 19.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of GRAINTURK Holding A.S. (GRTHO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of GRAINTURK Holding A.S. is 9.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of GRAINTURK Holding A.S. (GRTHO)?
The operating margin of GRAINTURK Holding A.S. is 2.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at GRAINTURK Holding A.S. (GRTHO)?
Revenue at GRAINTURK Holding A.S. is growing −20.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +79.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at GRAINTURK Holding A.S. (GRTHO)?
Earnings per share at GRAINTURK Holding A.S. are growing −38.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does GRAINTURK Holding A.S. (GRTHO) carry?
The net debt of GRAINTURK Holding A.S. is 490M TRY (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 0.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 6, 2026