GRAINTURK Holding (GRTHO) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · TR · Market cap 30.1B TRY
Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +3.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 40% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (106.97 TRY to 265.40 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
39‑month range 15.91 TRY – 674.71 TRY · fair‑value band 106.97 TRY – 265.40 TRY · the 242.00 TRY price screens above the 145.45 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
Analysis
GRAINTURK Holding (GRTHO) currently trades at 242.00 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 145.45 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 39.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, GRAINTURK Holding generated revenue of 6.8B TRY at a net margin of 26.3%. Revenue declined 21.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 22.6%. Net debt stands at 490M TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 106.97 TRY (bear case) to 265.40 TRY (bull case); at 242.00 TRY, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 102% fair-value upside, at -40%, GRTHO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (648.17 TRY) versus Dividend Discount (1.83 TRY). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
GRAINTURK Holding A.S. operates in the field of agricultural commodity trade on national and international platforms. It is involved in the trading of wheat, corn, cotton, barely, sunflower seeds, soybeans, wheat bran, sunflower meals, soybean meals, cotton meals, sunflower oils, and soybean oils.
Full company description
GRAINTURK Holding A.S. operates in the field of agricultural commodity trade on national and international platforms. It is involved in the trading of wheat, corn, cotton, barely, sunflower seeds, soybeans, wheat bran, sunflower meals, soybean meals, cotton meals, sunflower oils, and soybean oils. The company was founded in 2014 and is based in Besiktas, Turkey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
GRAINTURK Holding reported revenue of 7.3B TRY in FY2025 versus 360M TRY in FY2021, a compound +112.0%/yr. Reported net income was 1.8B TRY in FY2025, compounding +69.1%/yr from FY2021.
GRTHO screens 40% overvalued. Compare with Muyuan Foods Group →
Peer Group
Farm Products · 291 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Muyuan Foods Group 002714 | ¥40.90 | ¥48.19 | +18% |
| Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 | ¥14.51 | ¥12.08 | -17% |
| Mowi ASA MOWI | kr 188.40 | kr 262.59 | +39% |
| PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN | 3,120 IDR | 7,076 IDR | +127% |
| Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF | 22.00 THB | 55.71 THB | +153% |
| PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG | 1,540 IDR | 3,105 IDR | +102% |
| PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA | 7,300 IDR | 7,463 IDR | +2% |
| PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA | 2,070 IDR | 7,231 IDR | +249% |
| Thaifoods Group TFGR | 10.60 THB | 23.53 THB | +122% |
| PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR | 1,845 IDR | 610.80 IDR | -67% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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