The GYM Group PLC (GYM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of The GYM Group PLC stock £2.10, price £1.90, upside +10.6%, quality 53 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 23 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.8240 – £3.06 · fair‑value band £1.45 – £2.61 · the £1.90 price screens below the £2.10 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.
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The Gym Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, operates a network of gym facilities under the Gym Group brand name in the United Kingdom. It also acts as fitness operator. The Gym Group plc was founded in 2007 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
The GYM Group PLC (GYM) currently trades at £1.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £2.10, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 9.6%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of £6.14 per share, and 12 of the 23 models we run sit above the £1.90 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at £0.9400, and 11 of the 23 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: £1.45 (bear) to £2.61 (bull), the price of £1.90 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
The GYM Group PLC reported revenue of £245M in FY2025 versus £106M in FY2021, a compound +23.3%/yr. Reported net income was £7.4M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap £350M Small · P/E ratio 38.0 · P/S ratio 1.36 · EPS (TTM) £0.0500 · Net margin 3.3% · Return on equity 6.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.6% (5-year average) · Operating margin 13.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 11%, GYM screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear£1.45Fair Value £2.10Bull£2.61
Price £1.90 · Upside +10.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (£0.0429 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +15.1% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+9.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+9.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.9.2% vs −1.1%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−42% → 13%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−5.7%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+9.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −7.8% a year for the price and +6.8% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Leisure · 169 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score53 · Below median
Fair Value upside+10.6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)6.1% · Below median
Return on assets1.2% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)3.3% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)13.0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)10.0% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.44× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Leisure median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "The GYM Group PLC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GYM
Frequently asked questions
Is The GYM Group PLC (GYM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £2.10 versus a price of £1.90, about +11% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of GYM?
Our model-based fair value for The GYM Group PLC is £2.10 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £1.90.
What is the quality score of GYM?
The GYM Group PLC has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for The GYM Group PLC (GYM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £2.10 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario £1.45, optimistic scenario £2.61. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the The GYM Group PLC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £2.10, about +11% upside versus a price of £1.90 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario £1.45, optimistic scenario £2.61. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of The GYM Group PLC (GYM)?
The GYM Group PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £257M (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
What growth is priced into The GYM Group PLC (GYM)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, The GYM Group PLC would have to grow free cash flow by -5.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +24.9 % per year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GYM use?
Our models discount The GYM Group PLC at 11.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.88, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For The GYM Group PLC that is -5.7 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has The GYM Group PLC (GYM) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at The GYM Group PLC grew +24.9 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -5.7 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of The GYM Group PLC (GYM) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into The GYM Group PLC (-5.7 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of The GYM Group PLC (GYM)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 16.24 %: that much free cash flow The GYM Group PLC produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of The GYM Group PLC (GYM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For The GYM Group PLC it is £2.10 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of £1.90. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is The GYM Group PLC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, GYM trades below its calculated fair value: price £1.90, fair value £2.10, a gap of about +11% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GYM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£1.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£2.10). For The GYM Group PLC the two are £0.2010 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is The GYM Group PLC worth?
The market values The GYM Group PLC at about £350M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is £1.90; our models calculate a fair value of £2.10 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GYM?
Our models span a range for The GYM Group PLC: cautious scenario £1.45, base £2.10, optimistic £2.61 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price £1.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GYM?
The GYM Group PLC trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 38.0 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of £2.10 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 35.9 (reported for FY2025: 48.1). Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 6 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2025 ex one-offs: 51.0. Other multiples: P/B 2.5, P/S 1.4, EV/EBITDA 6.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of The GYM Group PLC (GYM)?
Balance-sheet figures for The GYM Group PLC (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 6.1%, debt of 0.44 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GYM from its 52-week high?
The GYM Group PLC trades at £1.90, about 12% below its 52-week high of £2.15 and 41% above the low of £1.35 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £2.10 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to The GYM Group PLC?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Pop Mart International Group, Amer Sports, Inc, Hasbro, Inc, Life Time Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is The GYM Group PLC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price £1.90, calculated fair value £2.10 (+11%), Quality Score 53/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GYM calculated?
We run The GYM Group PLC through 23 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of £2.10 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. The GYM Group PLC currently trades 10% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of The GYM Group PLC (GYM)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was £1.90. Our model-based fair value is £2.10, about +11% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with The GYM Group PLC right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (£1.45 to £2.61) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of The GYM Group PLC
How large is the market capitalisation of The GYM Group PLC (GYM)?
The market capitalisation of The GYM Group PLC is £350M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of The GYM Group PLC (GYM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of The GYM Group PLC is 1.36 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of The GYM Group PLC (GYM)?
Earnings per share at The GYM Group PLC are £0.0500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 38.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of The GYM Group PLC (GYM)?
The net margin of The GYM Group PLC is 3.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of The GYM Group PLC (GYM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of The GYM Group PLC is 6.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of The GYM Group PLC (GYM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of The GYM Group PLC is 1.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of The GYM Group PLC (GYM)?
The operating margin of The GYM Group PLC is 13.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at The GYM Group PLC (GYM)?
Revenue at The GYM Group PLC is growing +10.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +12.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at The GYM Group PLC (GYM)?
Earnings per share at The GYM Group PLC are growing +27.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does The GYM Group PLC (GYM) carry?
The net debt of The GYM Group PLC is £407M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 7.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Nov 5, 2026