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Data-driven stock valuation

Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (HATSN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi stock TRY 19.89, price TRY 25.76, that is 22.8% below the price, quality 36 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 2 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials TR

HS Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi logo Thin data Nov 6, 2026

Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi

HATSN · IS
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 23% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +65.2 %/yr in TRY)
Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Revenue last quarter 51% below a year ago.
Fair value 19.89 TRY · Overvalued (−22.8%)
Quality 36/100
Loss-making · -21.1% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 13/100 · thin data
Thin data
⚠ Small free float

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

92.25 TRY 18.80 TRY Fair Value 19.89 TRY Sep 2023 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

37‑month range 18.80 TRY – 92.25 TRY · fair‑value band 14.76 TRY – 25.02 TRY · the 25.76 TRY price screens above the 19.89 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.

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Company profile

Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi engages in the shipbuilding business in Turkey.

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The company offers ship repair and maintenance services, including sand blasting and painting; rudder, shaft, and propeller repair; cargo and ballast tank treatment; bow thruster maintenance; main and auxiliary engine maintenance; boiler, heat exchanger, and pump maintenance and repair; turbocharger and governor overhauling; electrical and mechanical works; navigational equipment; fire and safety system services; BWTS installation; scrubber system installation; steel and piping works; and laid up services.

It also provides ship conversion services, such as lengthening projects, new machinery, equipment or factory installations, and heavy steel construction works. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.

Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi operates as a subsidiary of Pekar Grup Insaat A.S.

Stock analysis

Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (HATSN) currently trades at 25.76 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 19.89 TRY, 23% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: 14.76 TRY (bear) to 25.02 TRY (bull), the price of 25.76 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi reported revenue of 4.7B TRY in FY2025 versus 458M TRY in FY2021, a compound +79.2%/yr. Reported net income was −191M TRY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 5.7B TRY (≈ $114M) Micro · P/S ratio 1.16 · EPS (TTM) −3.50 TRY · Net margin −21.1% · Return on equity −13.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.1% (5-year average) · Operating margin −46.6% · Revenue (TTM) 3.9B TRY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 13 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 70% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −23%, HATSN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 14.76 TRY Fair Value 19.89 TRY Bull 25.02 TRY
Price 25.76 TRY · Downside -22.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EV/EBITDA 14.76 TRY 19.89 TRY 25.02 TRY 67
NCAV (Graham) 13.10 TRY 17.55 TRY 26.20 TRY 54
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA 14.76 TRY 19.89 TRY 25.02 TRY 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 13.10 TRY 17.55 TRY 26.20 TRY 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 11
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 14
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 25
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 75
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 0
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 5
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 32/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+65.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
6.9% (2020) → −0.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

HATSN screens overvalued: fair value 23% below the price. Compare with General Electric Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 238 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −22.8% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −2.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −21.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −46.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −50.9% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.06× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.98× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 1.46× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)3 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 65
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 40
HEALTH (low debt)97 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 19

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Honeywell Aerospace Inc HONA $152.92 $172.03 +13% vs HATSN
Safran SA SAF €295.50 €327.36 +11% vs HATSN
TransDigm Group TDG $1,197 $1,308 +9% vs HATSN
Lockheed Martin Corporation LMT $567.08 $439.21 −23% vs HATSN
General Dynamics Corporation GD $354.06 $274.19 −23% vs HATSN
Northrop Grumman Corporation NOC $525.01 $382.98 −27% vs HATSN
Airbus SE AIR €196.40 €112.14 −43% vs HATSN
RTX Corporation RTX $189.53 $88.19 −53% vs HATSN
General Electric Company GE $323.24 $92.26 −71% vs HATSN
Howmet Aerospace Inc HWM $205.81 $52.65 −74% vs HATSN

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Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HATSN

Frequently asked questions

Is Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (HATSN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 19.89 TRY versus a price of 25.76 TRY, about 23% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HATSN?
Our model-based fair value for Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi is 19.89 TRY (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 25.76 TRY.
What is the quality score of HATSN?
Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (HATSN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 19.89 TRY (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario 14.76 TRY, optimistic scenario 25.02 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 19.89 TRY, about 23% lower versus a price of 25.76 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 14.76 TRY, optimistic scenario 25.02 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (HATSN)?
Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.9B TRY (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (HATSN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi it is 19.89 TRY per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of 25.76 TRY. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models in 2 families (Multiples, Asset-Based).
Is Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, HATSN trades above its calculated fair value: price 25.76 TRY, fair value 19.89 TRY, a gap of about −23% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HATSN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (25.76 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (19.89 TRY). For Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi the two are 5.87 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi worth?
The market values Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi at about 5.7B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is 25.76 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 19.89 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HATSN?
Our models span a range for Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi: cautious scenario 14.76 TRY, base 19.89 TRY, optimistic 25.02 TRY per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price 25.76 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (HATSN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity −13.7%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HATSN from its 52-week high?
Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi trades at 25.76 TRY, about 70% below its 52-week high of 87.30 TRY and 37% above the low of 18.80 TRY (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 19.89 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Safran SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price 25.76 TRY, calculated fair value 19.89 TRY (−23%), Quality Score 36/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HATSN calculated?
We run Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi through 2 models from 2 families: Multiples, Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 19.89 TRY builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.7% above its aggregate fair value. Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (HATSN)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 25.76 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 19.89 TRY, about 23% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (25.02 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi

How large is the market capitalisation of Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (HATSN)?
The market capitalisation of Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi is 5.7B TRY (≈ $114M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (HATSN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi is 1.16 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (HATSN)?
Earnings per share at Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi are −3.50 TRY. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (HATSN)?
The net margin of Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi is −21.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (HATSN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi is −13.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (HATSN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi is 9.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (HATSN)?
The operating margin of Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi is −46.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (HATSN)?
Revenue at Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi is growing −50.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +28.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (HATSN)?
Earnings per share at Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi are growing −95.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (HATSN) generate?
The free cash flow of Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi is −453M TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (HATSN) carry?
The net debt of Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi is 141M TRY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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