HATSN Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · TR · Market cap 12.8B TRY
Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +11.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 65% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (25.02 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
34‑month range 24.86 TRY – 92.25 TRY · fair‑value band 14.76 TRY – 25.02 TRY · the 56.95 TRY price screens above the 19.89 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
Analysis
HATSN (HATSN) currently trades at 56.95 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 19.89 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 65.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, HATSN generated revenue of 4.6B TRY at a net margin of -7.6%. Revenue declined 17.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -6.1%. Net debt stands at 141M TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 14.76 TRY (bear case) to 25.02 TRY (bull case); at 56.95 TRY, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 66% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -65%, HATSN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (21.01 TRY) versus Dividend Discount (6.41 TRY). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi engages in the shipbuilding business in Turkey.
Full company description
Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi engages in the shipbuilding business in Turkey. The company offers ship repair and maintenance services, including sand blasting and painting; rudder, shaft, and propeller repair; cargo and ballast tank treatment; bow thruster maintenance; main and auxiliary engine maintenance; boiler, heat exchanger, and pump maintenance and repair; turbocharger and governor overhauling; electrical and mechanical works; navigational equipment; fire and safety system services; BWTS installation; scrubber system installation; steel and piping works; and laid up services. It also provides ship conversion services, such as lengthening projects, new machinery, equipment or factory installations, and heavy steel construction works. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey. Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi operates as a subsidiary of Pekar Grup Insaat A.S.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
HATSN reported revenue of 4.7B TRY in FY2025 versus 458M TRY in FY2021, a compound +79.2%/yr. Reported net income was −191M TRY in FY2025.
HATSN screens 65% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →
Peer Group
Aerospace & Defense · 226 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| General Electric Company GE | $381.22 | $116.71 | -69% |
| RTX Corporation RTX | $195.93 | $88.37 | -55% |
| Airbus SE 1AIR | €213.25 | €86.20 | -60% |
| The Boeing Company BA | $217.11 | $48.20 | -78% |
| China CSSC Holdings 600150 | ¥34.31 | ¥21.90 | -36% |
| HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co 329180 | 466,000 KRW | 272,966 KRW | -41% |
| Hanwha Aerospace Co 012450 | 967,000 KRW | 573,468 KRW | -41% |
| ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi ASELS | 337.50 TRY | 130.70 TRY | -61% |
| Saab AB SAABB | kr 520.40 | kr 212.84 | -59% |
| Kongsberg Gruppen ASA KOG | kr 277.50 | kr 106.93 | -61% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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