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Hongchang International Co. Ltd. (HCIL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Hongchang International Co. Ltd. stock $0.01, price $0.01, upside +1.7%, quality 33 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Defensive US · Based in China

HI Hongchang International Co. Ltd. logo Thin data Nov 7, 2026

Hongchang International Co. Ltd.

HCIL · US
Fairly valued, weak quality

The stock costs about what our calculation considers fair.

Highly profitable · 20.5% net margin (TTM)
Revenue last quarter +86% vs. a year ago.
Fair value $0.0059 · Fairly valued
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +77.3 %/yr in USD)
Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
Insiders sold $1,824 (6M)
Quality 33/100
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 30/100 · thin data
Thin data
⚠ Thinly traded⚠ Small free float
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$56.03 $0.0039 Fair Value $0.0059 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0039 – $56.03 · fair‑value band $0.0057 – $0.0061 · the $0.0058 price screens below the $0.0059 fair value. As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

Hongchang International Co., Ltd engages in the food trading and biotechnology businesses in China, the United States, and internationally. It offers technical and consultation services. The company is based in Fuzhou, China.

Stock analysis

Hongchang International Co. Ltd. (HCIL) currently trades at $0.0058, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0059, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 1.7%).

Show more

Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: $0.0057 (bear) to $0.0061 (bull), the price of $0.0058 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Hongchang International Co. Ltd. reported revenue of $2.9M in FY2024 versus $223K in FY2020, a compound +89.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$472K in FY2024.

Key figures

Market cap $3.0M Micro · P/S ratio 0.08 · Net margin −16.5% · Return on equity 0.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −64.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin 8.5% · Revenue growth (YoY) +85.6% · Free cash flow −$11.4M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 30 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 98% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at 2%, HCIL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.0057 Fair Value $0.0059 Bull $0.0061
Price $0.0058 · Upside +1.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) $0.0300 $0.0500 $0.0700 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0300 $0.0500 $0.0700 51

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 6
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 63
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 33
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 50
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 11
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 0
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 40
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, one officer or director sold shares worth $1,824 and none bought.

  • SaleZhenzhu LinDirector, 10% owner16,448 shares at $0.1109$1,824Jun 25, 2026

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 47/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+209.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+77.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−328.8% (2019) → −13.3% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Food Distribution · 85 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +1.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 0.7% · Below median
Return on assets −0.8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) 20.5% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 8.5% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 85.6% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Food Distribution median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.08× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.08× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 3.34× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)36 · sector 37
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 9
PAST (return on equity)3 · sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 61

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Food Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Olam Group VC2 0.8650 SGD 2.47 SGD +186% vs HCIL
Metcash Limited MTS A$3.34 A$5.33 +60% vs HCIL
Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A JMT €19.33 €21.69 +12% vs HCIL
CP Axtra Public Company CPAXT 14.30 THB 12.98 THB −9% vs HCIL
Sysco Corporation SYY $76.86 $68.94 −10% vs HCIL
United Natural Foods, Inc UNFI $45.30 $29.36 −35% vs HCIL
US Foods Holding USFD $106.67 $60.40 −43% vs HCIL
Performance Food Group PFGC $107.50 $46.96 −56% vs HCIL
The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc CHEF $103.77 $41.87 −60% vs HCIL
Dong Suh Companies Inc 026960 28,400 KRW 10,739 KRW −62% vs HCIL

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Hongchang International Co. Ltd.: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hongchang International Co. Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HCIL

Frequently asked questions

Is Hongchang International Co. Ltd. (HCIL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0059 versus a price of $0.0058, about +2% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of HCIL?
Our model-based fair value for Hongchang International Co. Ltd. is $0.0059 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0058.
What is the quality score of HCIL?
Hongchang International Co. Ltd. has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hongchang International Co. Ltd. (HCIL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0059 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0057, optimistic scenario $0.0061. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hongchang International Co. Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0059, about +2% upside versus a price of $0.0058 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $0.0057, optimistic scenario $0.0061. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Hongchang International Co. Ltd. (HCIL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hongchang International Co. Ltd. it is $0.0059 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of $0.0058. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Hongchang International Co. Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, HCIL trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.0058, fair value $0.0059, a gap of about +2% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HCIL?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0058); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0059). For Hongchang International Co. Ltd. the two are $0.0001 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hongchang International Co. Ltd. worth?
The market values Hongchang International Co. Ltd. at about $3.0M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is $0.0058; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0059 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HCIL?
Our models span a range for Hongchang International Co. Ltd.: cautious scenario $0.0057, base $0.0059, optimistic $0.0061 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price $0.0058). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of HCIL?
The PEG ratio of Hongchang International Co. Ltd. is 3.34 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 7, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hongchang International Co. Ltd. (HCIL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hongchang International Co. Ltd. (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 0.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HCIL from its 52-week high?
Hongchang International Co. Ltd. trades at $0.0058, about 98% below its 52-week high of $0.2400 and at the low of $0.0058 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0059 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hongchang International Co. Ltd.?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Sysco Corporation, US Foods Holding, Performance Food Group, Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hongchang International Co. Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price $0.0058, calculated fair value $0.0059 (+2%), Quality Score 33/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HCIL calculated?
We run Hongchang International Co. Ltd. through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $0.0059 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Hongchang International Co. Ltd. currently trades 2% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hongchang International Co. Ltd. (HCIL)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $0.0058. Our model-based fair value is $0.0059, about +2% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hongchang International Co. Ltd. right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The models converge in a tight band ($0.0057 to $0.0061), unusually little disagreement for a valuation. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Hongchang International Co. Ltd.

How large is the market capitalisation of Hongchang International Co. Ltd. (HCIL)?
The market capitalisation of Hongchang International Co. Ltd. is $3.0M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hongchang International Co. Ltd. (HCIL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hongchang International Co. Ltd. is 0.08 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Hongchang International Co. Ltd. (HCIL)?
The net margin of Hongchang International Co. Ltd. is −16.5% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hongchang International Co. Ltd. (HCIL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hongchang International Co. Ltd. is 0.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hongchang International Co. Ltd. (HCIL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hongchang International Co. Ltd. is −64.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hongchang International Co. Ltd. (HCIL)?
The operating margin of Hongchang International Co. Ltd. is 8.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hongchang International Co. Ltd. (HCIL)?
Revenue at Hongchang International Co. Ltd. is growing +85.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +210%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Hongchang International Co. Ltd. (HCIL) generate?
The free cash flow of Hongchang International Co. Ltd. is −$11.4M (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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