Hongchang International Co. Ltd. (HCIL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Hongchang International Co. Ltd. stock $0.00, price $0.00, upside +7.3%, quality 33 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Hongchang International Co., Ltd engages in the food trading and biotechnology businesses in China, the United States, and internationally. It offers technical and consultation services. The company is based in Fuzhou, China.
Stock analysis
Hongchang International Co. Ltd. (HCIL) currently trades at $0.0003, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0003, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 6.8%).
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Scenario range: $0.0003 (bear) to $0.0003 (bull), the price of $0.0003 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Hongchang International Co. Ltd. reported revenue of $2.9M in FY2024 versus $223K in FY2020, a compound +89.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$472K in FY2024.
Key figures
Market cap $3.0M · P/S ratio 0.08 · Net margin −16.5% · Return on equity 0.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −64.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin 8.5% · Revenue growth (YoY) +85.6% · Free cash flow −$11.4M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 30 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at 7%, HCIL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$0.0003Fair Value $0.0003Bull$0.0003
Price $0.0003 · Upside +7.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, one officer or director sold shares worth $1,824 and none bought.
SaleZhenzhu LinDirector, 10% owner16,448 shares at $0.1109$1,824Jun 25, 2026
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.47/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+209.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+77.3%
’19
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−328.8% (2019) → −13.3% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Hongchang International Co. Ltd. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Food Distribution · 89 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/8 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+7.3% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)0.7% · Below median
Return on assets−0.8% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)20.5% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)8.5% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)85.6% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Food Distribution median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hongchang International Co. Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HCIL
Frequently asked questions
Is Hongchang International Co. Ltd. (HCIL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0003 versus a price of $0.0003, about +7% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of HCIL?
Our model-based fair value for Hongchang International Co. Ltd. is $0.0003 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0003.
What is the quality score of HCIL?
Hongchang International Co. Ltd. has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hongchang International Co. Ltd. (HCIL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0003 (as of Nov 10, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0003, optimistic scenario $0.0003. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hongchang International Co. Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0003, about +7% upside versus a price of $0.0003 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $0.0003, optimistic scenario $0.0003. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Hongchang International Co. Ltd. (HCIL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hongchang International Co. Ltd. it is $0.0003 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of $0.0003. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Hongchang International Co. Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, HCIL trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.0003, fair value $0.0003, a gap of about +7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HCIL?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0003); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0003). For Hongchang International Co. Ltd. the two are $0.0000 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hongchang International Co. Ltd. worth?
The market values Hongchang International Co. Ltd. at about $3.0M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is $0.0003; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0003 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HCIL?
Our models span a range for Hongchang International Co. Ltd.: cautious scenario $0.0003, base $0.0003, optimistic $0.0003 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price $0.0003). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of HCIL?
The PEG ratio of Hongchang International Co. Ltd. is 3.34 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 10, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hongchang International Co. Ltd. (HCIL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hongchang International Co. Ltd. (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity 0.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Hongchang International Co. Ltd.?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Sysco Corporation, US Foods Holding, Performance Food Group, Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hongchang International Co. Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price $0.0003, calculated fair value $0.0003 (+7%), Quality Score 33/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HCIL calculated?
We run Hongchang International Co. Ltd. through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $0.0003 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.7% above its aggregate fair value. Hongchang International Co. Ltd. currently trades 7% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hongchang International Co. Ltd. (HCIL)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $0.0003. Our model-based fair value is $0.0003, about +7% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hongchang International Co. Ltd. right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.0003). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The models converge in a tight band ($0.0003 to $0.0003), unusually little disagreement for a valuation. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Hongchang International Co. Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Hongchang International Co. Ltd. (HCIL)?
The market capitalisation of Hongchang International Co. Ltd. is $3.0M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hongchang International Co. Ltd. (HCIL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hongchang International Co. Ltd. is 0.08 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Hongchang International Co. Ltd. (HCIL)?
The net margin of Hongchang International Co. Ltd. is −16.5% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hongchang International Co. Ltd. (HCIL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hongchang International Co. Ltd. is 0.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hongchang International Co. Ltd. (HCIL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hongchang International Co. Ltd. is −64.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hongchang International Co. Ltd. (HCIL)?
The operating margin of Hongchang International Co. Ltd. is 8.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hongchang International Co. Ltd. (HCIL)?
Revenue at Hongchang International Co. Ltd. is growing +85.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +210%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Hongchang International Co. Ltd. (HCIL) generate?
The free cash flow of Hongchang International Co. Ltd. is −$11.4M (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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Thin data
Nov 10, 2026