Hagag Group (HGG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Hagag Group stock ILS 15.81, price ILS 17.00, that is 7.0% below the price, quality 39 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 7 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 8.46 ILS – 33.82 ILS · fair‑value band 15.81 ILS – 21.97 ILS · the 17.00 ILS price screens above the 15.81 ILS fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Hagag Group Real Estate Entrepreneurship Ltd engages in the development, management, and marketing of real estate projects in Israel. The company develops residential towers and buildings, private houses and apartments, commercial buildings, and luxurious office towers and buildings.
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It also involved in the managing, developing, and implementing urban renewal projects. Hagag Group Real Estate Entrepreneurship Ltd was incorporated in 1950 and is based in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel.
Stock analysis
Hagag Group (HGG) currently trades at 17.00 ILS, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 15.81 ILS, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 7.5%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 34.77 ILS per share, and 2 of the 6 models we run sit above the 17.00 ILS price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 3.62 ILS, and 4 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 15.81 ILS (bear) to 21.97 ILS (bull), the price of 17.00 ILS sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Hagag Group reported revenue of 394M ILS in FY2025 versus 218M ILS in FY2021, a compound +15.9%/yr. Reported net income was 92.9M ILS in FY2025, compounding +0.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 1.4B ILS Small · P/E ratio 13.6 · P/S ratio 3.04 · EPS (TTM) 1.25 ILS · Dividend yield 3.1% · Net margin 17.1% · Return on equity 5.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.3% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 44 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at −7%, HGG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear15.81 ILSFair Value 15.81 ILSBull21.97 ILS
Price 17.00 ILS · Downside -7.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.6112 ILS per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.48/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.1% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+9.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5.9% vs 9.5%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.43% → 30%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 472 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−7.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)5.9% · Above median
Return on assets1.8% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)17.1% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)9.8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)25.6% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)3.1% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.04× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hagag Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HGG
Frequently asked questions
Is Hagag Group (HGG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 15.81 ILS versus a price of 17.00 ILS, about 7% lower (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of HGG?
Our model-based fair value for Hagag Group is 15.81 ILS (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 17.00 ILS.
What is the quality score of HGG?
Hagag Group has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hagag Group (HGG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 15.81 ILS (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario 15.81 ILS, optimistic scenario 21.97 ILS. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hagag Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 15.81 ILS, about 7% lower versus a price of 17.00 ILS (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 15.81 ILS, optimistic scenario 21.97 ILS. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hagag Group (HGG)?
Hagag Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 453M ILS (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Hagag Group pay a dividend?
Hagag Group currently shows a dividend yield of 3.15% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Hagag Group (HGG) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Hagag Group pays a dividend of 0.535 ILS per share a year, a dividend yield of 3.1%. The last ex-dividend date was Apr 24, 2026. The payout ratio is 42.8% of earnings. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of Hagag Group (HGG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hagag Group it is 15.81 ILS per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of 17.00 ILS. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models in 4 families (Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is Hagag Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, HGG trades above its calculated fair value: price 17.00 ILS, fair value 15.81 ILS, a gap of about −7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HGG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (17.00 ILS); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (15.81 ILS). For Hagag Group the two are 1.19 ILS per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hagag Group worth?
The market values Hagag Group at about 1.4B ILS (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is 17.00 ILS; our models calculate a fair value of 15.81 ILS per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HGG?
Our models span a range for Hagag Group: cautious scenario 15.81 ILS, base 15.81 ILS, optimistic 21.97 ILS per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price 17.00 ILS). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of HGG?
Hagag Group trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.6 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 15.81 ILS is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.0, P/S 3.0, EV/EBITDA 28.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hagag Group (HGG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hagag Group (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 5.9%, debt of 1.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HGG from its 52-week high?
Hagag Group trades at 17.00 ILS, about 50% below its 52-week high of 33.82 ILS and at the low of 17.00 ILS (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 15.81 ILS is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hagag Group?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value CBRE Group, Cellnex Telecom, S.A, KE Holdings, Swire Properties Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hagag Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price 17.00 ILS, calculated fair value 15.81 ILS (−7%), Quality Score 39/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HGG calculated?
We run Hagag Group through 7 models from 4 families: Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 15.81 ILS builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Hagag Group itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hagag Group (HGG)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was 17.00 ILS. Our model-based fair value is 15.81 ILS, about 7% lower (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hagag Group right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of Hagag Group (HGG) come from?
Earnings per share at Hagag Group grew +17.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +9.1 %, EBIT margin +9.9 %, tax rate −1.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Hagag Group
How large is the market capitalisation of Hagag Group (HGG)?
The market capitalisation of Hagag Group is 1.4B ILS. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hagag Group (HGG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hagag Group is 3.04 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hagag Group (HGG)?
Earnings per share at Hagag Group are 1.25 ILS (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hagag Group (HGG)?
The dividend yield of Hagag Group is 3.1% (payout 42.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hagag Group (HGG)?
The net margin of Hagag Group is 17.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hagag Group (HGG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hagag Group is 5.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hagag Group (HGG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hagag Group is 5.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hagag Group (HGG)?
The operating margin of Hagag Group is 9.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hagag Group (HGG)?
Revenue at Hagag Group is growing +25.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hagag Group (HGG)?
Earnings per share at Hagag Group are growing +267% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Hagag Group (HGG) generate?
The free cash flow of Hagag Group is −876M ILS (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Hagag Group (HGG) carry?
The net debt of Hagag Group is 3.0B ILS (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 6, 2026