Hagag Group (HGG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Hagag Group ILS 15.73, price ILS 20.91, upside -24.8%, quality 37 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 8.46 ILA – 33.82 ILA · the 20.91 ILA price screens above the 15.73 ILA fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Hagag Group Real Estate Entrepreneurship Ltd engages in the development, management, and marketing of real estate projects in Israel. The company develops residential towers and buildings, private houses and apartments, commercial buildings, and luxurious office towers and buildings.
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Hagag Group Real Estate Entrepreneurship Ltd engages in the development, management, and marketing of real estate projects in Israel. The company develops residential towers and buildings, private houses and apartments, commercial buildings, and luxurious office towers and buildings. It also involved in the managing, developing, and implementing urban renewal projects. Hagag Group Real Estate Entrepreneurship Ltd was incorporated in 1950 and is based in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel.
Stock analysis
Hagag Group (HGG) currently trades at 20.91 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 15.73 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 32.9% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 21.83 ILA per share, and 3 of the 9 models we run sit above the 20.91 ILA price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 4.42 ILA, and 6 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Hagag Group reported revenue of 394M ILS in FY2025 versus 218M ILS in FY2021, a compound +15.9%/yr. Reported net income was 92.9M ILS in FY2025, compounding +0.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 1.5B ILA · P/E ratio 24.3 · P/S ratio 5.73 · EPS (TTM) 0.8600 ILA · Dividend yield 2.6% · Net margin 23.6% · Return on equity 4.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at −25%, HGG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 15.73 ILAFair Value 15.73 ILABull 15.73 ILA
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.2377 ILS per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.48/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.1% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+8.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.6% vs 10%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.43% → 30%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 546 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−25% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5% · Above median
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)12% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)21% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth31% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)2.6% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.04× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)24.3× · Priciest 25%
P/B0.36× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)1.14× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA17.3× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 37
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 12
PAST (return on equity)19· sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)48· sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)51· sector 64
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hagag Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HGG
Frequently asked questions
Is Hagag Group (HGG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 15.73 ILA versus a price of 20.91 ILA, about −25% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HGG?
Our model-based fair value for Hagag Group is 15.73 ILA (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 20.91 ILA.
What is the quality score of HGG?
Hagag Group has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hagag Group (HGG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 15.73 ILA (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 9 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hagag Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 15.73 ILA, about −25% upside versus a price of 20.91 ILA (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hagag Group (HGG)?
Hagag Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 430M ILS (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Hagag Group pay a dividend?
Hagag Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.56% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hagag Group (HGG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hagag Group it is 15.73 ILA per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of 20.91 ILA. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hagag Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, HGG trades above its calculated fair value: price 20.91 ILA, fair value 15.73 ILA, a gap of about −25% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HGG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (20.91 ILA); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (15.73 ILA). For Hagag Group the two are 5.18 ILA per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hagag Group worth?
The market values Hagag Group at about 1.5B ILA (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is 20.91 ILA; our models calculate a fair value of 15.73 ILA per share.
What is the P/E ratio of HGG?
Hagag Group trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 24.3 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 15.73 ILA is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.4, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 17.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hagag Group (HGG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hagag Group (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 4.9%, debt of 1.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HGG from its 52-week high?
Hagag Group trades at 20.91 ILA, about 38% below its 52-week high of 33.82 ILA and 6% above the low of 19.81 ILA (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 15.73 ILA is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hagag Group?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Vingroup Joint Stock Company, CBRE Group, Vonovia SE, Cellnex Telecom, S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hagag Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price 20.91 ILA, calculated fair value 15.73 ILA (−25%), Quality Score 37/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HGG calculated?
We run Hagag Group through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 15.73 ILA, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Hagag Group itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hagag Group (HGG)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 20.91 ILA. Our model-based fair value is 15.73 ILA, about −25% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hagag Group right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (15.73 ILA). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of Hagag Group (HGG) come from?
Earnings per share at Hagag Group grew +17.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +9.1 %, EBIT margin +9.9 %, tax rate −1.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Hagag Group
How large is the market capitalisation of Hagag Group (HGG)?
The market capitalisation of Hagag Group is 1.5B ILA. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hagag Group (HGG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hagag Group is 5.73 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hagag Group (HGG)?
Earnings per share at Hagag Group are 0.8600 ILA (price ÷ EPS = P/E 24.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hagag Group (HGG)?
The dividend yield of Hagag Group is 2.6% (payout 62.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hagag Group (HGG)?
The net margin of Hagag Group is 23.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hagag Group (HGG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hagag Group is 4.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hagag Group (HGG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hagag Group is 5.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hagag Group (HGG)?
The operating margin of Hagag Group is 21.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hagag Group (HGG)?
Revenue at Hagag Group is growing +31.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hagag Group (HGG)?
Earnings per share at Hagag Group are growing −72.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Hagag Group (HGG) generate?
The free cash flow of Hagag Group is −876M ILA (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Hagag Group (HGG) carry?
The net debt of Hagag Group is 3.0B ILA (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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