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Hagag Group (HGG) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · Il · Market cap 1.5B ILA

HG Hagag Group HGG · TA
Price24.33 ILA
Fair Value25.59 ILA
Upside+5.2%
Quality37/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 12.3% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Moderate moat 47/100
Evidence: Medium Range 19.19 ILA – 31.98 ILA Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price −14.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

40.41 ILA 10.11 ILA Fair Value 25.59 ILA Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 10.11 ILA – 40.41 ILA · fair‑value band 19.19 ILA – 31.98 ILA · the 24.33 ILA price screens below the 25.59 ILA fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Hagag Group (HGG) currently trades at 24.33 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 25.59 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 5.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Hagag Group generated revenue of 389M ILA at a net margin of 23.9%. Revenue declined 3.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.6%. Net debt stands at 3.0B ILA. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 19.19 ILA (bear case) to 31.98 ILA (bull case); at 24.33 ILA, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -2% fair-value upside, at 5%, HGG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 16.66 ILA 17.01 ILA 16.71 ILA 76
Gordon GGM 2.68 ILA 4.83 ILA 6.65 ILA 70
DDM Multi-Stage 2.68 ILA 4.42 ILA 5.16 ILA 61
All 9 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 2.68 ILA 4.83 ILA 6.65 ILA 70
DDM Multi-Stage 2.68 ILA 4.42 ILA 5.16 ILA 61
Multiples
P/S Multiple 19.19 ILA 25.59 ILA 31.98 ILA 58
P/B Multiple 19.19 ILA 25.59 ILA 31.98 ILA 55
EV/EBIT 11.37 ILA 21.83 ILA 32.28 ILA 53
EV/EBITDA 5.56 ILA 14.08 ILA 22.59 ILA 54
EV/Revenue 4.72 ILA 12.13 ILA 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 11.01 ILA 14.76 ILA 22.03 ILA 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 16.66 ILA 17.01 ILA 16.71 ILA 76

Widest divergence: Multiples (21.83 ILA) versus Dividend Discount (4.42 ILA). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 430M ILA
Revenue growth (YoY) +31.2%
Net margin 12.3%
Return on equity 4.9%
Free cash flow −876M ILA FY2025
P/E ratio 28.0
More key figures
Operating margin 21.3%
EPS (TTM) 0.8600 ILA
Dividend yield 0.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -72.7%
Net debt 3.0B ILA FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 55
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 14
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 51
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 28
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 72
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hagag Group Real Estate Entrepreneurship Ltd engages in the development, management, and marketing of real estate projects in Israel. The company develops residential towers and buildings, private houses and apartments, commercial buildings, and luxurious office towers and buildings.

Full company description

Hagag Group Real Estate Entrepreneurship Ltd engages in the development, management, and marketing of real estate projects in Israel. The company develops residential towers and buildings, private houses and apartments, commercial buildings, and luxurious office towers and buildings. It also involved in the managing, developing, and implementing urban renewal projects. Hagag Group Real Estate Entrepreneurship Ltd was incorporated in 1950 and is based in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hagag Group reported revenue of 394M ILA in FY2025 versus 218M ILA in FY2021, a compound +15.9%/yr. Reported net income was 92.9M ILA in FY2025, compounding +0.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 48/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
394M ILS
Latest YoY
−5.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+10.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+13.4%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y)
+29.2%
Revenue +15.9%/yr
FY21 218M ILA
FY22 291M ILA
FY23 577M ILA
FY24 418M ILA
FY25 394M ILA
Net income +0.9%/yr
FY21 89.7M ILA
FY22 96.9M ILA
FY23 197M ILA
FY24 83.6M ILA
FY25 92.9M ILA

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hagag Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HGG

Peer Group

Real Estate Services · 521 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +5% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 21% · Above median
Revenue growth 31% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 1.04× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 28.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.36× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.13× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 17.3× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 40 · sector 37
FUTURE 100 · sector 10
PAST 19 · sector 16
HEALTH 48 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vingroup Joint Stock Company VIC 223,000 VND 25,731 VND -88%
KE Holdings 2423 HK$44.76 HK$18.03 -60%
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$23.90 HK$18.75 -22%
Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA 3,725 CLP 5,571 CLP +50%
SAGAA SAGAA kr 170.00 kr 75.55 -56%
Cencosud Shopping S.A CENCOMALLS 2,324 CLP 2,976 CLP +28%
PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. owns and TOWR 372.00 IDR 1,208 IDR +225%
PT Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk MKPI 20,975 IDR 19,160 IDR -9%
PT Bangun Kosambi Sukses Tbk, CBDK 3,530 IDR 3,464 IDR -2%
IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, IRSA 2,495 ARS 3,998 ARS +60%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hagag Group (HGG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 25.59 ILA versus a price of 24.33 ILA, about +5% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of HGG?
Our model-based fair value for Hagag Group is 25.59 ILA (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 24.33 ILA.
What is the quality score of HGG?
Hagag Group has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hagag Group (HGG)?
Hagag Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 389M ILS (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HGG?
The net profit margin of Hagag Group is about 23.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 23.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hagag Group pay a dividend?
Hagag Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.02% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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