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HAZER Group Ltd (HZR) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of HAZER Group Ltd stock A$0.03, price A$0.28, that is 87.6% below the price, quality 23 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials AU · ISIN AU000000HZR9

HG HAZER Group Ltd logo Thin data Nov 8, 2026

HAZER Group Ltd

HZR · AU
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 88% below what the stock costs today.

Revenue last quarter 73% below a year ago.
Fair value A$0.0340 · Strongly overvalued
Quality 23/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −61.6 %/yr in AUD)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (0/7)
Narrow moat 10/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$1.72 A$0.2700 Fair Value A$0.0340 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.2700 – A$1.72 · fair‑value band A$0.0255 – A$0.0425 · the A$0.2750 price screens above the A$0.0340 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

Hazer Group Limited operates as a clean technology development company in Australia. It commercializes the Hazer Process, a low emission hydrogen and graphite production process technology.

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The company enables the conversion of natural gas and similar feedstocks into hydrogen and graphite using iron ore as a process catalyst. It serves the industrial hydrogen, hydrogen mobility, and synthetic graphite markets.

Hazer Group Limited was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

HAZER Group Ltd (HZR) currently trades at A$0.2750, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0340, 88% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0255 (bear) to A$0.0425 (bull), the price of A$0.2750 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 23/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

HAZER Group Ltd reported revenue of A$19.6K in FY2026 versus A$1.2M in FY2022, a compound −64.6%/yr. Reported net income was −A$10.4M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$73.3M (≈ $50.5M) Micro · P/S ratio 27.5 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0400 · Return on equity −86.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −81.7% (5-year average) · Operating margin −343% · Revenue growth (YoY) −73.2% · Free cash flow −A$5.4M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at −88%, HZR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0255 Fair Value A$0.0340 Bull A$0.0425
Price A$0.2750 · Downside -87.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0300 A$0.0400 A$0.0500 53
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0300 A$0.0400 A$0.0500 53

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 23/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 7
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 93
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 30
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 54
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 10
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 1
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−96.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−79.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−61.6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −13.5% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−265.2% (2021) → −69,540.2% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

HZR screens overvalued: fair value 88% below the price. Compare with BASF SE →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 340 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 23 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −87.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −76.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −73.2% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/B 7.08× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 25.52× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 220,000 KRW 587,755 KRW +167% vs HZR
Dow Inc DOW $31.40 $41.88 +33% vs HZR
Hengli Petrochemical Co 600346 ¥16.35 ¥19.26 +18% vs HZR
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥21.33 ¥22.31 +5% vs HZR
Saudi Basic Industries Corporation 2010 48.30 SAR 36.26 SAR −25% vs HZR
BASF SE BAS €53.85 €38.46 −29% vs HZR
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥32.13 ¥19.31 −40% vs HZR
Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 68.90 TWD 35.56 TWD −48% vs HZR
Rongsheng Petrochemical Co 002493 ¥11.77 ¥3.45 −71% vs HZR
Zangge Mining Company 000408 ¥66.41 ¥17.47 −74% vs HZR

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HAZER Group Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "HAZER Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HZR

Frequently asked questions

Is HAZER Group Ltd (HZR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0340 versus a price of A$0.2750, about 88% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HZR?
Our model-based fair value for HAZER Group Ltd is A$0.0340 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.2750.
What is the quality score of HZR?
HAZER Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 23/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for HAZER Group Ltd (HZR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0340 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0255, optimistic scenario A$0.0425. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the HAZER Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0340, about 88% lower versus a price of A$0.2750 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0255, optimistic scenario A$0.0425. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of HAZER Group Ltd (HZR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For HAZER Group Ltd it is A$0.0340 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of A$0.2750. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is HAZER Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, HZR trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.2750, fair value A$0.0340, a gap of about −88% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HZR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.2750); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0340). For HAZER Group Ltd the two are A$0.2410 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is HAZER Group Ltd worth?
The market values HAZER Group Ltd at about A$73.3M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is A$0.2750; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0340 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HZR?
Our models span a range for HAZER Group Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0255, base A$0.0340, optimistic A$0.0425 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price A$0.2750). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of HAZER Group Ltd (HZR)?
Balance-sheet figures for HAZER Group Ltd (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity −86.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 23/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HZR from its 52-week high?
HAZER Group Ltd trades at A$0.2750, about 49% below its 52-week high of A$0.5350 and 1% above the low of A$0.2725 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0340 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to HAZER Group Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BASF SE, Saudi Basic Industries Corporation, Dow Inc, Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is HAZER Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price A$0.2750, calculated fair value A$0.0340 (−88%), Quality Score 23/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HZR calculated?
We run HAZER Group Ltd through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$0.0340 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. HAZER Group Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of HAZER Group Ltd (HZR)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was A$0.2750. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0340, about 88% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with HAZER Group Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0425). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (23/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of HAZER Group Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of HAZER Group Ltd (HZR)?
The market capitalisation of HAZER Group Ltd is A$73.3M (≈ $50.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of HAZER Group Ltd (HZR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of HAZER Group Ltd is 27.5 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of HAZER Group Ltd (HZR)?
Earnings per share at HAZER Group Ltd are A$−0.0400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of HAZER Group Ltd (HZR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of HAZER Group Ltd is −86.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of HAZER Group Ltd (HZR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of HAZER Group Ltd is −81.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of HAZER Group Ltd (HZR)?
The operating margin of HAZER Group Ltd is −343% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at HAZER Group Ltd (HZR)?
Revenue at HAZER Group Ltd is growing −73.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −79.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does HAZER Group Ltd (HZR) generate?
The free cash flow of HAZER Group Ltd is −A$5.4M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does HAZER Group Ltd (HZR) hold?
HAZER Group Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$10.6M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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