Hazer Group (HZR) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$87.1M
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Share price +8.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 61% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.1785). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (A$0.0680 to A$0.1785). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.2700 – A$1.72 · fair‑value band A$0.0680 – A$0.1785 · the A$0.3250 price screens above the A$0.1275 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Hazer Group (HZR) currently trades at A$0.3250, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.1275, implying the stock looks roughly 60.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Hazer Group generated revenue of A$7.3M at a net margin of -89.0%. Revenue declined 40.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -60.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$12.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.0680 (bear case) to A$0.1785 (bull case); at A$0.3250, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -61%, HZR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (A$0.1200) versus Asset-Based (A$0.0300). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hazer Group Limited operates as a clean technology development company in Australia. It commercializes the Hazer Process, a low emission hydrogen and graphite production process technology. The company enables the conversion of natural gas and similar feedstocks into hydrogen and graphite using iron ore as a process catalyst.
Full company description
Hazer Group Limited operates as a clean technology development company in Australia. It commercializes the Hazer Process, a low emission hydrogen and graphite production process technology. The company enables the conversion of natural gas and similar feedstocks into hydrogen and graphite using iron ore as a process catalyst. It serves the industrial hydrogen, hydrogen mobility, and synthetic graphite markets. Hazer Group Limited was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Perth, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hazer Group reported revenue of A$614K in FY2025 versus A$2.3M in FY2021, a compound −28.5%/yr. Reported net income was −A$7.6M in FY2025.
HZR screens 61% overvalued. Compare with BASF SE →
Peer Group
Chemicals · 338 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BASF SE BASN | 1,034 MXN | 532.13 MXN | -49% |
| Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 | ¥20.32 | ¥20.17 | -1% |
| Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 | ¥42.85 | ¥23.35 | -46% |
| PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT | 1,690 IDR | 1,628 IDR | -4% |
| LG Chem, Ltd 051910 | 260,500 KRW | 587,755 KRW | +126% |
| Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 | 66.10 TWD | 6.79 TWD | -90% |
| PTT Global Chemical Public Company PTTGC | 35.50 THB | 18.21 THB | -49% |
| 542812 542812 | ₹4,369 | ₹791.05 | -82% |
| Indorama Ventures Public Company IVL | 24.50 THB | 17.95 THB | -27% |
| Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR | ₹8,650 | ₹2,146 | -75% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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