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HAZER Group Ltd (HZR) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of HAZER Group Ltd A$0.04, price A$0.30, upside -85.8%, quality 27 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · AU · ISIN AU000000HZR9

HG Thin data Sep 23, 2026

HAZER Group Ltd

HZR · AU

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value A$0.0425 · Strongly overvalued (−86%)
!Quality 27/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −15.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -89.0% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (0/8)
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$1.72 A$0.2700 Fair Value A$0.0425 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.2700 – A$1.72 · fair‑value band A$0.0255 – A$0.0510 · the A$0.3000 price screens above the A$0.0425 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Hazer Group Limited operates as a clean technology development company in Australia. It commercializes the Hazer Process, a low emission hydrogen and graphite production process technology. The company enables the conversion of natural gas and similar feedstocks into hydrogen and graphite using iron ore as a process catalyst.

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Hazer Group Limited operates as a clean technology development company in Australia. It commercializes the Hazer Process, a low emission hydrogen and graphite production process technology. The company enables the conversion of natural gas and similar feedstocks into hydrogen and graphite using iron ore as a process catalyst. It serves the industrial hydrogen, hydrogen mobility, and synthetic graphite markets. Hazer Group Limited was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

HAZER Group Ltd (HZR) currently trades at A$0.3000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0425, implying the stock looks roughly 605.7% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0255 (bear) to A$0.0510 (bull), the price of A$0.3000 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

HAZER Group Ltd reported revenue of A$614K in FY2025 versus A$2.3M in FY2021, a compound −28.5%/yr. Reported net income was −A$7.6M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$87.1M (≈ $61.1M) · P/S ratio 12.0 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0300 · Net margin −89.0% · Return on equity −60.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −66.3% · Operating margin −415% · Revenue growth (YoY) −40.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at −86%, HZR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0255 Fair Value A$0.0425 Bull A$0.0510
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0300 A$0.0300 A$0.0500 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0300 A$0.0300 A$0.0500 52

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 27/100

Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 30
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 4
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 97
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 61
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−81.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−20.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−15.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +57.3% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+57.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−231.5% (2020) → −2,515.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

HZR screens 606% overvalued. Compare with BASF SE →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 352 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −86% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −29% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −89% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −40% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/B 4.45× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 8.40× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BASF SE BAS €51.79 €23.76 −54%
Saudi Basic Industries Corporation 2010 47.90 SAR 24.66 SAR −49%
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥23.21 ¥40.44 +74%
Dow Inc DOW $28.65 $21.03 −27%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥34.61 ¥19.88 −43%
Rongsheng Petrochemical Co 002493 ¥13.13 ¥2.90 −78%
Zangge Mining Company 000408 ¥73.50 ¥80.85 +10%
Hengli Petrochemical Co 600346 ¥16.54 ¥43.28 +162%
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 252,500 KRW 587,755 KRW +133%
Sinoma Science & Technology Co 002080 ¥62.50 ¥21.98 −65%

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HAZER Group Ltd · Fair Value
A$0.0425 −606%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "HAZER Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HZR

Frequently asked questions

Is HAZER Group Ltd (HZR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0425 versus a price of A$0.3000, about −86% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HZR?
Our model-based fair value for HAZER Group Ltd is A$0.0425 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.3000.
What is the quality score of HZR?
HAZER Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for HAZER Group Ltd (HZR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0425 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0255, optimistic scenario A$0.0510. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the HAZER Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0425, about −86% upside versus a price of A$0.3000 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0255, optimistic scenario A$0.0510. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of HAZER Group Ltd (HZR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For HAZER Group Ltd it is A$0.0425 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.3000. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is HAZER Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, HZR trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.3000, fair value A$0.0425, a gap of about −86% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HZR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.3000); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0425). For HAZER Group Ltd the two are A$0.2575 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is HAZER Group Ltd worth?
The market values HAZER Group Ltd at about A$87.1M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.3000; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0425 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HZR?
Our models span a range for HAZER Group Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0255, base A$0.0425, optimistic A$0.0510 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$0.3000). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of HAZER Group Ltd (HZR)?
Balance-sheet figures for HAZER Group Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −60.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 27/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HZR from its 52-week high?
HAZER Group Ltd trades at A$0.3000, about 49% below its 52-week high of A$0.5900 and 2% above the low of A$0.2950 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0425 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to HAZER Group Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BASF SE, Saudi Basic Industries Corporation, Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, Dow Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is HAZER Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.3000, calculated fair value A$0.0425 (−86%), Quality Score 27/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HZR calculated?
We run HAZER Group Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0425, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. HAZER Group Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of HAZER Group Ltd (HZR)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.3000. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0425, about −86% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with HAZER Group Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0510). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (A$0.0255 to A$0.0510) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of HAZER Group Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of HAZER Group Ltd (HZR)?
The market capitalisation of HAZER Group Ltd is A$87.1M (≈ $61.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of HAZER Group Ltd (HZR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of HAZER Group Ltd is 12.0 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of HAZER Group Ltd (HZR)?
Earnings per share at HAZER Group Ltd are A$−0.0300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of HAZER Group Ltd (HZR)?
The net margin of HAZER Group Ltd is −89.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of HAZER Group Ltd (HZR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of HAZER Group Ltd is −60.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of HAZER Group Ltd (HZR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of HAZER Group Ltd is −66.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of HAZER Group Ltd (HZR)?
The operating margin of HAZER Group Ltd is −415% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at HAZER Group Ltd (HZR)?
Revenue at HAZER Group Ltd is growing −40.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −20.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does HAZER Group Ltd (HZR) generate?
The free cash flow of HAZER Group Ltd is −A$6.6M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does HAZER Group Ltd (HZR) hold?
HAZER Group Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$12.3M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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