IMDEX Ltd (IMD) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of IMDEX Ltd stock A$3.61, price A$3.28, upside +10.0%, quality 55 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$1.35 – A$4.41 · fair‑value band A$2.14 – A$5.86 · the A$3.28 price screens below the A$3.61 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 3 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 9, 2026.
Follow IMDEX in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether IMDEX is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Imdex Limited, a mining-tech company, provides drilling products, rock knowledge sensors, and data and analytics for the minerals industry in the Asia-Pacific, the Middle East, Africa, Europe, and the Americas.
Show moreShow less
The company offers bench characterization products, software suites, drilling fluids, structural geology products, geoscience products, directional drilling solutions, solids removal units, and survey technology products; and rock knowledge sensors.
It also provides software products, such as aiSIRIS, a cloud-based mineral-interpretation AI system for portable infrared spectrometer data; and Datarock, a mining technology company that offers both products and services centred around using machine learning for geoscience data.
In addition, the company offers HUB-IQ, a cloud-based portal integrated with industry software for validating field data transmitted from the drill rig; ioGAS, an exploratory data-analysis software application for detecting patterns, anomalies, and relationships in geoscience data; Krux, a drilling analytics software; and REFLEX XRF CONNECT, a systematic data capture application.
The company was formerly known as Pilbara Gold NL and changed its name to Imdex Limited in July 1985. Imdex Limited was incorporated in 1980 and is headquartered in Balcatta, Australia.
Stock analysis
IMDEX Ltd (IMD) currently trades at A$3.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$3.61, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 9.1%).
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of A$2.69 per share, and 1 of the 26 models we run sit above the A$3.28 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at A$0.9350, and 25 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: A$2.14 (bear) to A$5.86 (bull), the price of A$3.28 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
IMDEX Ltd reported revenue of A$520M in FY2026 versus A$342M in FY2022, a compound +11.1%/yr. Reported net income was A$79.4M in FY2026, compounding +15.5%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap A$1.8B (≈ $1.2B) Small · P/E ratio 22.2 · P/S ratio 3.39 · EPS (TTM) A$0.1478 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin 15.3% · Return on equity 12.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.0% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 57 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 10%, IMD screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
BearA$2.14Fair Value A$3.61BullA$5.86
Price A$3.28 · Upside +10.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 4 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0444 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.92/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+20.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.5%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +13.7% a year
Revenue growth 37 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.0%
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ +8.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+7.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.base effect: 14.0% / 30.4%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.17% → 16%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2026 sits 104% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+20.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+9.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +17.3% a year for the price and +6.3% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 146 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Above median
Fair Value upside+10.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)12.1% · Above median
Return on assets7.0% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)15.3% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)14.7% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)24.7% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.35× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "IMDEX Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/IMD
Frequently asked questions
Is IMDEX Ltd (IMD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$3.61 versus a price of A$3.28, about +10% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of IMD?
Our model-based fair value for IMDEX Ltd is A$3.61 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$3.28.
What is the quality score of IMD?
IMDEX Ltd has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for IMDEX Ltd (IMD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$3.61 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$2.14, optimistic scenario A$5.86. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the IMDEX Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$3.61, about +10% upside versus a price of A$3.28 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario A$2.14, optimistic scenario A$5.86. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of IMDEX Ltd (IMD)?
IMDEX Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$520M (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
Does IMDEX Ltd pay a dividend?
IMDEX Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.83% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 9, 2026).
How much is the dividend of IMDEX Ltd (IMD) and when is the ex-dividend date?
IMDEX Ltd pays a dividend of A$0.0272 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.8%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 16, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2019. The payout ratio is 23.3% of earnings (on adjusted earnings, reported 18.1%). Free cash flow covers the dividend 4.94 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into IMDEX Ltd (IMD)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, IMDEX Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +20.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +14.5 % per year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of IMD use?
Our models discount IMDEX Ltd at 11.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.19, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For IMDEX Ltd that is +20.8 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has IMDEX Ltd (IMD) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at IMDEX Ltd grew +14.5 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +20.8 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of IMDEX Ltd (IMD) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into IMDEX Ltd (+20.8 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of IMDEX Ltd (IMD)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.97 %: that much free cash flow IMDEX Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of IMDEX Ltd (IMD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For IMDEX Ltd it is A$3.61 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of A$3.28. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is IMDEX Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, IMD trades below its calculated fair value: price A$3.28, fair value A$3.61, a gap of about +10% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of IMD?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$3.28); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$3.61). For IMDEX Ltd the two are A$0.3280 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is IMDEX Ltd worth?
The market values IMDEX Ltd at about A$1.8B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is A$3.28; our models calculate a fair value of A$3.61 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about IMD?
Our models span a range for IMDEX Ltd: cautious scenario A$2.14, base A$3.61, optimistic A$5.86 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price A$3.28). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of IMD?
IMDEX Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 22.2 (as of Nov 9, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$3.61 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2026 it is 28.5 (reported 22.2). Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2017 to 2026), reported earnings, FY2026 ex one-offs: 26.1. Other multiples: PEG 6.5, P/B 2.6, P/S 3.4, EV/EBITDA 15.2.
What is the PEG ratio of IMD?
The PEG ratio of IMDEX Ltd is 6.50 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 9, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of IMDEX Ltd (IMD)?
Balance-sheet figures for IMDEX Ltd (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity 12.1%, debt of 0.35 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is IMD from its 52-week high?
IMDEX Ltd trades at A$3.28, about 26% below its 52-week high of A$4.41 and 6% above the low of A$3.10 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$3.61 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to IMDEX Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Caterpillar Inc, Deere & Company, PACCAR Inc, Daimler Truck Holding, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is IMDEX Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price A$3.28, calculated fair value A$3.61 (+10%), Quality Score 55/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of IMD calculated?
We run IMDEX Ltd through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$3.61 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. IMDEX Ltd currently trades 9% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of IMDEX Ltd (IMD)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was A$3.28. Our model-based fair value is A$3.61, about +10% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with IMDEX Ltd right now?
The model range is unusually wide (A$2.14 to A$5.86). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Key figures of IMDEX Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of IMDEX Ltd (IMD)?
The market capitalisation of IMDEX Ltd is A$1.8B (≈ $1.2B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of IMDEX Ltd (IMD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of IMDEX Ltd is 3.39 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of IMDEX Ltd (IMD)?
Earnings per share at IMDEX Ltd are A$0.1478 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 22.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of IMDEX Ltd (IMD)?
The dividend yield of IMDEX Ltd is 0.8% (payout 23.3%, on adjusted earnings, reported 18.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of IMDEX Ltd (IMD)?
The net margin of IMDEX Ltd is 15.3% (last twelve months), excl. one-off gain FY2026 11.9%. How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of IMDEX Ltd (IMD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of IMDEX Ltd is 12.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of IMDEX Ltd (IMD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of IMDEX Ltd is 10.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of IMDEX Ltd (IMD)?
The operating margin of IMDEX Ltd is 14.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at IMDEX Ltd (IMD)?
Revenue at IMDEX Ltd is growing +24.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at IMDEX Ltd (IMD)?
Earnings per share at IMDEX Ltd are growing +121% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does IMDEX Ltd (IMD) carry?
The net debt of IMDEX Ltd is A$244M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 3.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch IMDEX Ltd in the live analysis
One click puts IMDEX Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 27,000+ stock screener.
Broad data
Nov 9, 2026