Indian Oil Corporation Limited (IOC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Indian Oil Corporation Limited stock ₹245, price ₹145, upside +69.9%, quality 62 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Indian Oil Corporation Limited
IOC · NSEThe stock costs 41% less than our calculation considers fair.
Risks from the AI analysis
What runs behind every stock
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹50.45 – ₹183.02 · fair‑value band ₹158.82 – ₹306.79 · the ₹144.50 price screens below the ₹245.43 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 3, 2026.
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Company profile
Indian Oil Corporation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the oil, gas, petrochemicals, and alternative energy source businesses in India and internationally. It operates through Sale of Petroleum Products, Sale of Petrochemicals, Sale of Gas, and Other segments.
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The company is involved in the refining of petroleum products; exploration and production of crude oil and gas; explosives and cryogenic businesses; pipeline transportation of crude oil, petroleum, and gas; petrochemicals and gasoline; gas and LPG marketing; research and development; city gas distribution; and downstream operations.
It also engages in low carbon, new, clean, and green energy businesses; lube blending; marketing of lubricants and base oil; participation in the shale gas asset project; crude oil trading; import and export of petroleum products; investment in E&P assets, battery technology, and alternative energy technology companies; and wind mill and solar power generation.
In addition, the company provides terminalling, retailing, aviation refueling, and bunkering; and financial services, as well as operates fuel stations. It serves motorists, households, businesses, society, suppliers, business partners, and the sports industry.
The company was formerly known as Indian Oil Company Limited and changed its name to Indian Oil Corporation Limited in September 1964. Indian Oil Corporation Limited was incorporated in 1959 and is based in New Delhi, India.
Stock analysis
Indian Oil Corporation Limited (IOC) currently trades at ₹144.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹245.43, implying the stock looks roughly 41% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ₹419.44 per share, and 23 of the 26 models we run sit above the ₹144.50 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹100.71, and 3 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ₹158.82 (bear) to ₹306.79 (bull), the price of ₹144.50 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Indian Oil Corporation Limited reported revenue of ₹7.8T in FY2026 versus ₹5.9T in FY2022, a compound +7.4%/yr. Reported net income was ₹421B in FY2026, compounding +13.8%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹2.0T (≈ $21.1B) Large · P/E ratio 5.8 · P/S ratio 0.21 · EPS (TTM) ₹24.76 · Dividend yield 6.9% · Net margin 5.1% · Return on equity 22.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 17.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 53 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at 70%, IOC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 26 models by family
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical peak year.
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Earlier news
- Indian rupee rebounds from near record low after RBI unveils support measures
- Indian Oil Subsidiary CPCL Plans 280,000 Bpd Manali Refinery
- Indian refiners tumble as crude surges on widening Iran war
- Petrobras renews oil deals with Indian refiners worth more than $3.1 billion
Compare Indian Oil Corporation Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 116 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Energy sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Dividend yield by industry
- EV/EBITDA by industry
- Piotroski F-Score screener with fair value
- Undervalued stocks: Energy
- Undervalued stocks: Indian Stocks
- Valuation of the India market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bharat Petroleum Corporation BPCL | ₹317.10 | ₹434.58 | +37% | vs IOC |
| SK Innovation Co 096770 | 114,200 KRW | 134,361 KRW | +18% | vs IOC |
| Sunoco LP, SUN | $61.72 | $53.89 | −13% | vs IOC |
| Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE | ₹1,313 | ₹865.31 | −34% | vs IOC |
| HF Sinclair Corporation DINO | $97.77 | $52.92 | −46% | vs IOC |
| Neste Oyj NESTE | €27.57 | €11.70 | −58% | vs IOC |
| Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 | 87.90 TWD | 35.53 TWD | −60% | vs IOC |
| Valero Energy Corporation VLO | $351.23 | $131.30 | −63% | vs IOC |
| Phillips 66 PSX | $247.04 | $86.38 | −65% | vs IOC |
| Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC | $377.32 | $110.21 | −71% | vs IOC |
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Frequently asked questions
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Key figures of Indian Oil Corporation Limited
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