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Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi (KAYSE) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi stock TRY 2.66, price TRY 2.38, upside +11.8%, quality 25 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Consumer Defensive TR · ISIN TREKAYS00018

KS Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi

KAYSE · IS
Fairly valued, weak quality

The stock costs 11% less than our calculation considers fair.

Low debt
Revenue last quarter +17% vs. a year ago.
Fair value 2.66 TRY · Fairly valued
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +53.7 %/yr in TRY)
Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
Quality 25/100
Loss-making · -20.7% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 8/100 · thin data
Thin data
Estimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

12.62 TRY 2.28 TRY Fair Value 2.66 TRY May 2023 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

42‑month range 2.28 TRY – 12.62 TRY · fair‑value band 1.99 TRY – 3.32 TRY · the 2.38 TRY price screens below the 2.66 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi engages in the sugar business in Turkey. The company operates in two segments, Sugar Production Activities and Other Activities. It is involved in the production of crystal sugar from beet under the Kayseri Seker brand name.

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The company was incorporated in 1955 and is based in Kayseri, Turkey.

Stock analysis

Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi (KAYSE) currently trades at 2.38 TRY, while our estimate is 2.66 TRY, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 10.5%).

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: 1.99 TRY (bear) to 3.32 TRY (bull), the price of 2.38 TRY sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi reported revenue of 24.4B TRY in FY2026 versus 5.1B TRY in FY2022, a compound +47.7%/yr. Reported net income was −4.6B TRY in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap 7.1B TRY (≈ $142M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.29 · EPS (TTM) 0.7600 TRY · Net margin −18.9% · Return on equity −12.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.4% (5-year average) · Operating margin −33.1% · Revenue (TTM) 24.5B TRY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 8 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −6% fair-value upside, at 12%, KAYSE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value

Bear 1.99 TRY Fair Value 2.66 TRY Bull 3.32 TRY
Price 2.38 TRY · Upside +11.8%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 25/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 3
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 2
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 46
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 30
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 70
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 4
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 1
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−38.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+53.7%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.7% (2021) → −7.4% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Confectioners · 86 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 25 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +11.8% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −6.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −20.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −33.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 16.8% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.16× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.29× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)49 · sector 25
FUTURE (revenue growth)84 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 21
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 55

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
LOTTE Corporation 004990 22,250 KRW 66,750 KRW +200% vs KAYSE
ORION Corp 271560 114,100 KRW 203,315 KRW +78% vs KAYSE
Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISP CHF 8,645 CHF 11,708 +35% vs KAYSE
Barry Callebaut AG BARN CHF 1,235 CHF 1,179 −5% vs KAYSE
The Hershey Company HSY $173.95 $163.44 −6% vs KAYSE
Cofco Sugar Holding 600737 ¥12.42 ¥10.76 −13% vs KAYSE
Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ $66.54 $46.95 −29% vs KAYSE
Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc TR $38.96 $21.64 −44% vs KAYSE
Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN ₹656.95 ₹289.69 −56% vs KAYSE
Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 ¥17.07 ¥6.91 −60% vs KAYSE

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Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KAYSE

Frequently asked questions

Is Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi (KAYSE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is 2.66 TRY versus a price of 2.38 TRY, about +12% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of KAYSE?
Our estimate for Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi is 2.66 TRY (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 2.38 TRY.
What is the quality score of KAYSE?
Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi has a Quality Score of 25/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi (KAYSE)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of 2.66 TRY (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario 1.99 TRY, optimistic scenario 3.32 TRY. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at 2.66 TRY, about +12% upside versus a price of 2.38 TRY (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 1.99 TRY, optimistic scenario 3.32 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi (KAYSE)?
Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 24.5B TRY (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi (KAYSE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi it is 2.66 TRY per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of 2.38 TRY.
Is Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, KAYSE trades below its calculated fair value: price 2.38 TRY, fair value 2.66 TRY, a gap of about +12% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KAYSE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (2.38 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (2.66 TRY). For Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi the two are 0.2800 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi worth?
The market values Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi at about 7.1B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is 2.38 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 2.66 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KAYSE?
Our models span a range for Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi: cautious scenario 1.99 TRY, base 2.66 TRY, optimistic 3.32 TRY per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price 2.38 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi (KAYSE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −12.5%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 25/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KAYSE from its 52-week high?
Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi trades at 2.38 TRY, about 61% below its 52-week high of 6.13 TRY and 4% above the low of 2.28 TRY (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 2.66 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Mondelez International, Inc, The Hershey Company, Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG, Barry Callebaut AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price 2.38 TRY, calculated fair value 2.66 TRY (+12%), Quality Score 25/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi currently trades 11% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi (KAYSE)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was 2.38 TRY. Our estimate is 2.66 TRY, about +12% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi right now?
Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Key figures of Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi

How large is the market capitalisation of Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi (KAYSE)?
The market capitalisation of Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi is 7.1B TRY (≈ $142M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi (KAYSE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi is 0.29 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi (KAYSE)?
Earnings per share at Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi are 0.7600 TRY. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi (KAYSE)?
The net margin of Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi is −18.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi (KAYSE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi is −12.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi (KAYSE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi is 5.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi (KAYSE)?
The operating margin of Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi is −33.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi (KAYSE)?
Revenue at Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi is growing +16.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +17.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi (KAYSE)?
Earnings per share at Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi are growing −56.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi (KAYSE) generate?
The free cash flow of Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi is −3.6B TRY (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi (KAYSE) carry?
The net debt of Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi is 15.3B TRY (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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