Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi (KAYSE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi TRY 9.05, price TRY 3.35, upside +170.2%, quality 22 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
40‑month range 3.33 TRY – 12.62 TRY · fair‑value band 6.75 TRY – 13.51 TRY · the 3.35 TRY price screens below the 9.05 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi engages in the sugar business in Turkey. The company operates in two segments, Sugar Production Activities and Other Activities. It is involved in the production of crystal sugar from beet under the Kayseri Seker brand name. The company was incorporated in 1955 and is based in Kayseri, Turkey.
Stock analysis
Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi (KAYSE) currently trades at 3.35 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 9.05 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 63.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: 6.75 TRY (bear) to 13.51 TRY (bull), the price of 3.35 TRY sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 22/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi reported revenue of 24.4B TRY in FY2026 versus 5.1B TRY in FY2022, a compound +47.7%/yr. Reported net income was −4.6B TRY in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap 11.3B TRY (≈ $231M) · P/S ratio 0.47 · EPS (TTM) −1.64 TRY · Net margin −18.9% · Return on equity −9.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.4% · Operating margin 0.8% · Revenue (TTM) 24.3B TRY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at 170%, KAYSE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 6.75 TRYFair Value 9.05 TRYBull 13.51 TRY
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−38.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+53.7%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.7% (2021) → −7.4% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Confectioners · 83 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score25 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+170.1% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−1.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−18.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0.8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−18.6% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper
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Is Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi (KAYSE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 9.05 TRY versus a price of 3.35 TRY, about +170% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of KAYSE?
Our model-based fair value for Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi is 9.05 TRY (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 3.35 TRY.
What is the quality score of KAYSE?
Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi has a Quality Score of 22/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi (KAYSE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 9.05 TRY (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 6.75 TRY, optimistic scenario 13.51 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 9.05 TRY, about +170% upside versus a price of 3.35 TRY (undervalued). Cautious scenario 6.75 TRY, optimistic scenario 13.51 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi (KAYSE)?
Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 24.3B TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi (KAYSE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi it is 9.05 TRY per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of 3.35 TRY. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, KAYSE trades below its calculated fair value: price 3.35 TRY, fair value 9.05 TRY, a gap of about +170% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KAYSE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (3.35 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (9.05 TRY). For Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi the two are 5.70 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi worth?
The market values Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi at about 11.3B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is 3.35 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 9.05 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KAYSE?
Our models span a range for Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi: cautious scenario 6.75 TRY, base 9.05 TRY, optimistic 13.51 TRY per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price 3.35 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi (KAYSE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −9.8%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 22/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KAYSE from its 52-week high?
Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi trades at 3.35 TRY, about 45% below its 52-week high of 6.13 TRY and 1% above the low of 3.33 TRY (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 9.05 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Mondelez International, Inc, The Hershey Company, Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG, Barry Callebaut AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price 3.35 TRY, calculated fair value 9.05 TRY (+170%), Quality Score 22/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KAYSE calculated?
We run Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 9.05 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi currently trades 170 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi (KAYSE)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was 3.35 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 9.05 TRY, about +170% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (22/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (6.75 TRY). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (6.75 TRY to 13.51 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi
How large is the market capitalisation of Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi (KAYSE)?
The market capitalisation of Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi is 11.3B TRY (≈ $231M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi (KAYSE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi is 0.47 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi (KAYSE)?
Earnings per share at Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi are −1.64 TRY. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi (KAYSE)?
The net margin of Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi is −18.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi (KAYSE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi is −9.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi (KAYSE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi is 5.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi (KAYSE)?
The operating margin of Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi is 0.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi (KAYSE)?
Revenue at Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi is growing −18.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +17.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi (KAYSE)?
Earnings per share at Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi are growing −56.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi (KAYSE) generate?
The free cash flow of Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi is −3.6B TRY (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi (KAYSE) carry?
The net debt of Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi is 15.3B TRY (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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