Kainos Group PLC (KNOS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Kainos Group PLC stock £13.53, price £12.30, upside +10.0%, quality 84 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £5.65 – £18.44 · fair‑value band £8.61 – £17.60 · the £12.30 price screens below the £13.53 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 9, 2026.
Follow Kainos Group in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Kainos Group is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Kainos Group plc engages in the provision of digital technology services in the United Kingdom, Ireland, the Americas, Central Europe, and internationally. The company operates through Digital Services, Workday Services, and Workday Products segments.
Show moreShow less
The Digital Services segment develops and supports custom digital service platforms for public, commercial, and healthcare sectors.
The Workday Services segment provides consulting, project management, integration, and post-deployment services for Workday's software suite, which includes cloud-based software for finance, HR, and planning products.
The Workday Products segment develops various products comprising Smart Test, an automated testing platform; Smart Audit, a compliance monitoring tool; Smart Shield, a data-masking tool that ensures sensitive data remains controlled when Workday environments are made available to broader internal or external teams.; Employee Document Management, a HR document storage, automation, and compliance for Workday; and Genie, a Workday-focused automated testing product.
The company also engages in the property business; software development activities; and provision of software services. It serves the financial services, insurance, payment, education, life sciences and healthcare industries, as well as government.
Kainos Group plc was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Belfast, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Kainos Group PLC (KNOS) currently trades at £12.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £13.53, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 9.1%).
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of £12.67 per share, and 6 of the 26 models we run sit above the £12.30 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at £3.45, and 20 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: £8.61 (bear) to £17.60 (bull), the price of £12.30 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 84/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Kainos Group PLC reported revenue of £431M in FY2026 versus £303M in FY2022, a compound +9.2%/yr. Reported net income was £42.5M in FY2026, compounding +4.4%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap £1.5B Small · P/E ratio 35.1 · P/S ratio 3.46 · EPS (TTM) £0.3500 · Dividend yield 2.3% · Net margin 9.9% · Return on equity 35.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 19.6% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 68 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 79% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 10%, KNOS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear£8.61Fair Value £13.53Bull£17.60
Price £12.30 · Upside +10.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then (£0.0373 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.93/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+17.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.9%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +18.9% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.8%
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+6.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.4.2% vs 15.0%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.21% → 12%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+15.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+10.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +12.9% a year for the price and +8.0% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 628 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score84 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+10.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)35.7% · Top 25%
Return on assets15.5% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)9.9% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)12.2% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)27.6% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)2.3% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)35.1× · Pricier than median
P/B14.83× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)3.46× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)28.2× · Pricier than median
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kainos Group PLC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KNOS
Frequently asked questions
Is Kainos Group PLC (KNOS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £13.53 versus a price of £12.30, about +10% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of KNOS?
Our model-based fair value for Kainos Group PLC is £13.53 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £12.30.
What is the quality score of KNOS?
Kainos Group PLC has a Quality Score of 84/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kainos Group PLC (KNOS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £13.53 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario £8.61, optimistic scenario £17.60. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kainos Group PLC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £13.53, about +10% upside versus a price of £12.30 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario £8.61, optimistic scenario £17.60. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kainos Group PLC (KNOS)?
Kainos Group PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £431M (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
Does Kainos Group PLC pay a dividend?
Kainos Group PLC currently shows a dividend yield of 2.35% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 9, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Kainos Group PLC (KNOS) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Kainos Group PLC pays a dividend of £0.289 per share a year, a dividend yield of 2.3%. The last ex-dividend date was Oct 1, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2015. The payout ratio is 82.6% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 1.58 times. Our assessment: Sustainable. Payout and cash coverage both look sustainable.
What growth is priced into Kainos Group PLC (KNOS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Kainos Group PLC would have to grow free cash flow by +15.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +12.9 % per year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of KNOS use?
Our models discount Kainos Group PLC at 9.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.87, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Kainos Group PLC that is +15.5 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Kainos Group PLC (KNOS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Kainos Group PLC grew +12.9 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +15.5 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Kainos Group PLC (KNOS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +11.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Kainos Group PLC (+15.5 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Kainos Group PLC (KNOS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.54 %: that much free cash flow Kainos Group PLC produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Kainos Group PLC (KNOS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kainos Group PLC it is £13.53 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of £12.30. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Kainos Group PLC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, KNOS trades below its calculated fair value: price £12.30, fair value £13.53, a gap of about +10% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KNOS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£12.30); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£13.53). For Kainos Group PLC the two are £1.23 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kainos Group PLC worth?
The market values Kainos Group PLC at about £1.5B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is £12.30; our models calculate a fair value of £13.53 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KNOS?
Our models span a range for Kainos Group PLC: cautious scenario £8.61, base £13.53, optimistic £17.60 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price £12.30). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KNOS?
Kainos Group PLC trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 35.1 (as of Nov 9, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of £13.53 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2017 to 2026), reported earnings: 37.4. Other multiples: P/B 14.8, P/S 3.5, EV/EBITDA 23.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kainos Group PLC (KNOS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kainos Group PLC (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity 35.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 84/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KNOS from its 52-week high?
Kainos Group PLC trades at £12.30, about 8% below its 52-week high of £13.41 and 79% above the low of £6.87 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £13.53 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kainos Group PLC?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Salesforce, Inc, Shopify Inc, ServiceNow, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kainos Group PLC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price £12.30, calculated fair value £13.53 (+10%), Quality Score 84/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KNOS calculated?
We run Kainos Group PLC through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of £13.53 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Kainos Group PLC currently trades 9% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kainos Group PLC (KNOS)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was £12.30. Our model-based fair value is £13.53, about +10% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kainos Group PLC right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (£8.61 to £17.60) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Kainos Group PLC (KNOS) come from?
Earnings per share at Kainos Group PLC grew +15.5 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +19.7 %, EBIT margin −3.3 %, tax rate −0.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Kainos Group PLC
How large is the market capitalisation of Kainos Group PLC (KNOS)?
The market capitalisation of Kainos Group PLC is £1.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kainos Group PLC (KNOS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kainos Group PLC is 3.46 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kainos Group PLC (KNOS)?
Earnings per share at Kainos Group PLC are £0.3500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 35.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Kainos Group PLC (KNOS)?
The dividend yield of Kainos Group PLC is 2.3% (payout 82.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Kainos Group PLC (KNOS)?
The net margin of Kainos Group PLC is 9.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kainos Group PLC (KNOS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kainos Group PLC is 35.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kainos Group PLC (KNOS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kainos Group PLC is 19.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kainos Group PLC (KNOS)?
The operating margin of Kainos Group PLC is 12.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kainos Group PLC (KNOS)?
Revenue at Kainos Group PLC is growing +27.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kainos Group PLC (KNOS)?
Earnings per share at Kainos Group PLC are growing +129% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Kainos Group PLC (KNOS) hold?
Kainos Group PLC holds more cash than debt, £76.7M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed
Watch Kainos Group PLC in the live analysis
One click puts Kainos Group PLC on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 27,000+ stock screener.
Broad data
Nov 9, 2026