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Data-driven stock valuation

Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi (KOCMT) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi stock TRY 1.60, price TRY 2.55, that is 37.3% below the price, quality 33 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 2 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials TR

KM Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi logo Thin data Nov 6, 2026

Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi

KOCMT · IS
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 37% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +22.0 %/yr in TRY)
Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
Fair value 1.60 TRY · Strongly overvalued
Quality 33/100
Loss-making · -4.9% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 14/100
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Small free float
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

6.19 TRY 2.09 TRY Fair Value 1.60 TRY May 2024 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

30‑month range 2.09 TRY – 6.19 TRY · fair‑value band 1.16 TRY – 2.06 TRY · the 2.55 TRY price screens above the 1.60 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.

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Company profile

Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi engages in the production and sales of metal billets, ribbed reinforced concrete bars, rebar, and construction iron in Turkey. It produces scrap metal.

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The company was formerly known as Koç Haddecilik Tekstil Insaat Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. and changed its name to Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi in June 2016. Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi was founded in 1993 and is based in Payas, Turkey.

Stock analysis

Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi (KOCMT) currently trades at 2.55 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.60 TRY, 37% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: 1.16 TRY (bear) to 2.06 TRY (bull), the price of 2.55 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi reported revenue of 19.9B TRY in FY2025 versus 18.0B TRY in FY2021, a compound +2.6%/yr. Reported net income was −982M TRY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 6.4B TRY (≈ $127M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.34 · EPS (TTM) −0.3600 TRY · Net margin −4.9% · Return on equity −6.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.3% (5-year average) · Operating margin 5.6% · Revenue (TTM) 16.7B TRY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 14 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −37%, KOCMT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 1.16 TRY Fair Value 1.60 TRY Bull 2.06 TRY
Price 2.55 TRY · Downside -37.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EV/EBITDA 0.5800 TRY 0.8000 TRY 1.03 TRY 67
NCAV (Graham) 0.4500 TRY 0.6800 TRY 0.8500 TRY 55
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA 0.5800 TRY 0.8000 TRY 1.03 TRY 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.4500 TRY 0.6800 TRY 0.8500 TRY 55

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 19
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 30
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 4
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 76
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 29
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 19
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 15
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 40
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.0% (2021) → −0.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

KOCMT screens overvalued: fair value 37% below the price. Compare with Nucor Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 419 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −37.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −5.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −4.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 5.6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 3.6% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.54× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.38× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 4.7× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)18 · sector 36
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 53

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥6.18 ¥8.07 +31% vs KOCMT
POSCO Holdings 005490 271,000 KRW 240,001 KRW −11% vs KOCMT
Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL ₹184.85 ₹148.08 −20% vs KOCMT
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,347 ₹1,029 −24% vs KOCMT
ArcelorMittal S.A MT €58.52 €36.18 −38% vs KOCMT
Reliance, Inc RS $427.15 $211.54 −50% vs KOCMT
Nucor Corporation NUE $256.47 $116.49 −55% vs KOCMT
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,146 ₹516.03 −55% vs KOCMT
Steel Dynamics, Inc STLD $236.12 $89.54 −62% vs KOCMT
Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union Co 600010 ¥2.00 ¥0.5400 −73% vs KOCMT

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Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KOCMT

Frequently asked questions

Is Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi (KOCMT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.60 TRY versus a price of 2.55 TRY, about 37% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KOCMT?
Our model-based fair value for Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi is 1.60 TRY (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 2.55 TRY.
What is the quality score of KOCMT?
Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi (KOCMT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1.60 TRY (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.16 TRY, optimistic scenario 2.06 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1.60 TRY, about 37% lower versus a price of 2.55 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 1.16 TRY, optimistic scenario 2.06 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi (KOCMT)?
Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 16.7B TRY (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi (KOCMT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi it is 1.60 TRY per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of 2.55 TRY. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models in 2 families (Multiples, Asset-Based).
Is Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, KOCMT trades above its calculated fair value: price 2.55 TRY, fair value 1.60 TRY, a gap of about −37% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KOCMT?
No. The price is what the market pays today (2.55 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1.60 TRY). For Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi the two are 0.9500 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi worth?
The market values Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi at about 6.4B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is 2.55 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 1.60 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KOCMT?
Our models span a range for Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi: cautious scenario 1.16 TRY, base 1.60 TRY, optimistic 2.06 TRY per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price 2.55 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi (KOCMT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity −6.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KOCMT from its 52-week high?
Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi trades at 2.55 TRY, about 59% below its 52-week high of 6.19 TRY and 15% above the low of 2.21 TRY (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1.60 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, ArcelorMittal S.A, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price 2.55 TRY, calculated fair value 1.60 TRY (−37%), Quality Score 33/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KOCMT calculated?
We run Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi through 2 models from 2 families: Multiples, Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 1.60 TRY builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi (KOCMT)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was 2.55 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 1.60 TRY, about 37% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (2.06 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi

How large is the market capitalisation of Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi (KOCMT)?
The market capitalisation of Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi is 6.4B TRY (≈ $127M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi (KOCMT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi is 0.34 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi (KOCMT)?
Earnings per share at Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi are −0.3600 TRY. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi (KOCMT)?
The net margin of Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi is −4.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi (KOCMT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi is −6.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi (KOCMT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi is 5.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi (KOCMT)?
The operating margin of Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi is 5.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi (KOCMT)?
Revenue at Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi is growing +3.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +22.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi (KOCMT) generate?
The free cash flow of Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi is −1.1B TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi (KOCMT) carry?
The net debt of Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi is 223M TRY (fiscal year 2023). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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