Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi (KOCMT) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · TR · Market cap 14.0B TRY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated today
Share price +34.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 79% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1.36 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (2 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
27‑month range 2.09 TRY – 6.19 TRY · fair‑value band 0.7800 TRY – 1.36 TRY · the 5.12 TRY price screens above the 1.07 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi (KOCMT) currently trades at 5.12 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.07 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 79.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi generated revenue of 16.6B TRY at a net margin of -4.6%. Revenue declined 70.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -6.5%. Net debt stands at 223M TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.7800 TRY (bear case) to 1.36 TRY (bull case); at 5.12 TRY, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 118% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -66% fair-value upside, at -79%, KOCMT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (3.17 TRY) versus Multiples (1.94 TRY). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 83
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi engages in the production and sales of metal billets, ribbed reinforced concrete bars, rebar, and construction iron in Turkey. It produces scrap metal. The company was formerly known as Koç Haddecilik Tekstil Insaat Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. and changed its name to Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi in June 2016.
Full company description
Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi engages in the production and sales of metal billets, ribbed reinforced concrete bars, rebar, and construction iron in Turkey. It produces scrap metal. The company was formerly known as Koç Haddecilik Tekstil Insaat Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. and changed its name to Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi in June 2016. Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi was founded in 1993 and is based in Payas, Turkey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Koç Metalürji Anonim Sirketi reported revenue of 19.9B TRY in FY2025 versus 18.0B TRY in FY2021, a compound +2.6%/yr. Reported net income was −982M TRY in FY2025.
KOCMT screens 79% overvalued. Compare with Carpenter Technology Corporation →
Peer Group
Metal Fabrication · 248 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Metal Fabrication stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carpenter Technology Corporation CRS | $577.10 | $103.31 | -82% |
| ATI Inc ATI | $186.17 | $36.51 | -80% |
| Mueller Industries, Inc MLI | $59.13 | $60.24 | +2% |
| China International Marine Containers (Group) Co 000039 | ¥8.99 | ¥3.39 | -62% |
| JL Mag Rare-Earth Co 300748 | ¥31.69 | ¥8.74 | -72% |
| Ningbo Zhenyu Technology Co 300953 | ¥131.65 | ¥44.23 | -66% |
| Western Superconducting Technologies Co 688122 | ¥53.58 | ¥24.43 | -54% |
| Anhui Yingliu Electromechanical Co 603308 | ¥48.52 | ¥8.07 | -83% |
| Baoding Technology Co 002552 | ¥43.95 | ¥5.44 | -88% |
| Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co 301196 | ¥110.08 | ¥42.71 | -61% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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