Lion Selection Group Ltd (LSX) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Lion Selection Group Ltd stock A$0.74, price A$0.87, that is 14.5% below the price, quality 47 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 15 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.3235 – A$1.11 · fair‑value band A$0.5600 – A$0.9400 · the A$0.8650 price screens above the A$0.7400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 7, 2026.
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Lion Selection Group Limited is a Listed Investment Company (LIC) that invests specializes in early stage investment. The fund does not invest in oil or gas mining companies. It primarily invests in precious and base metals mining companies. The fund seeks to make investments in Australia.
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The fund seeks to invest in projects that are close to development or with exposure to advanced exploration. It seeks to make investments not exceeding 30% of its capital and 3"5 year investment horizon. Lion Selection Group Limited is based in Melbourne, Australia.
Stock analysis
Lion Selection Group Ltd (LSX) currently trades at A$0.8650, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.7400, 14% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of A$0.8000 per share, and 2 of the 15 models we run sit above the A$0.8650 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$0.1200, and 13 of the 15 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$0.5600 (bear) to A$0.9400 (bull), the price of A$0.8650 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2023: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2023.
Lion Selection Group Ltd reported revenue of A$2.3M in FY2026 versus A$8.3M in FY2022, a compound −27.7%/yr. Reported net income was A$8.9M in FY2026, compounding −0.4%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap A$123M (≈ $85.5M) Micro · P/E ratio 14.4 · P/S ratio 9.22 · EPS (TTM) A$0.0600 · Net margin 66.4% · Return on equity 6.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.5% (5-year average) · Operating margin 106%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 68 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at −14%, LSX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
BearA$0.5600Fair Value A$0.7400BullA$0.9400
Price A$0.8650 · Downside -14.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 3 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0168 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Spin-off in 2023: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2023.
Revenue growth 1 year
−95.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+77.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+77.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−13.6% vs −4.8%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−2,216% → 442%
2026 sits 696% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 290 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score47 · Above median
Fair Value upside−14.5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)6.8% · Above median
Return on assets5.8% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)66.4% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)106.3% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)89.8% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lion Selection Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LSX
Frequently asked questions
Is Lion Selection Group Ltd (LSX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.7400 versus a price of A$0.8650, about 14% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LSX?
Our model-based fair value for Lion Selection Group Ltd is A$0.7400 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.8650.
What is the quality score of LSX?
Lion Selection Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lion Selection Group Ltd (LSX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.7400 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.5600, optimistic scenario A$0.9400. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lion Selection Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.7400, about 14% lower versus a price of A$0.8650 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.5600, optimistic scenario A$0.9400. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Lion Selection Group Ltd (LSX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lion Selection Group Ltd it is A$0.7400 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of A$0.8650. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Lion Selection Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, LSX trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.8650, fair value A$0.7400, a gap of about −14% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LSX?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.8650); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.7400). For Lion Selection Group Ltd the two are A$0.1250 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lion Selection Group Ltd worth?
The market values Lion Selection Group Ltd at about A$123M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is A$0.8650; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.7400 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LSX?
Our models span a range for Lion Selection Group Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.5600, base A$0.7400, optimistic A$0.9400 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price A$0.8650). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of LSX?
Lion Selection Group Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.4 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$0.7400 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 7 fiscal years (2019 to 2026), reported earnings: 7.3. Other multiples: P/B 0.9, P/S 9.2, EV/EBITDA 11.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lion Selection Group Ltd (LSX)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lion Selection Group Ltd (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 6.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LSX from its 52-week high?
Lion Selection Group Ltd trades at A$0.8650, about 22% below its 52-week high of A$1.11 and 14% above the low of A$0.7600 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.7400 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lion Selection Group Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Newmont Corporation, Zijin Mining Group, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Wheaton Precious Metals Corp, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lion Selection Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price A$0.8650, calculated fair value A$0.7400 (−14%), Quality Score 47/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LSX calculated?
We run Lion Selection Group Ltd through 15 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$0.7400 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.7% above its aggregate fair value. Lion Selection Group Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lion Selection Group Ltd (LSX)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was A$0.8650. Our model-based fair value is A$0.7400, about 14% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lion Selection Group Ltd right now?
Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Lion Selection Group Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Lion Selection Group Ltd (LSX)?
The market capitalisation of Lion Selection Group Ltd is A$123M (≈ $85.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Lion Selection Group Ltd (LSX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Lion Selection Group Ltd is 9.22 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Lion Selection Group Ltd (LSX)?
Earnings per share at Lion Selection Group Ltd are A$0.0600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Lion Selection Group Ltd (LSX)?
The net margin of Lion Selection Group Ltd is 66.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Lion Selection Group Ltd (LSX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Lion Selection Group Ltd is 6.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lion Selection Group Ltd (LSX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lion Selection Group Ltd is 9.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Lion Selection Group Ltd (LSX)?
The operating margin of Lion Selection Group Ltd is 106% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Lion Selection Group Ltd (LSX)?
Revenue at Lion Selection Group Ltd is growing +89.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Lion Selection Group Ltd (LSX)?
Earnings per share at Lion Selection Group Ltd are growing +86.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Lion Selection Group Ltd (LSX) generate?
The free cash flow of Lion Selection Group Ltd is −A$2.0M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Lion Selection Group Ltd (LSX) hold?
Lion Selection Group Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$9.5M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Nov 7, 2026