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Longterm Games S.A (LTM) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 4, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Longterm Games S.A stock PLN 1.78, price PLN 8.75, that is 79.7% below the price, quality 72 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Communication Services PL · ISIN PLLNTRG00017

LG Thin data Nov 4, 2026

Longterm Games S.A

LTM · WAR
Solid, but very expensive

Our calculation puts a fair price 80% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 72/100
Low debt
Mixed Growth
Mixed vs. peers (4/9)
Wide moat 65/100 · thin data
Fair value 1.78 PLN · Strongly overvalued (−79.7%)
Negative free cash flow
Thin data

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

18.00 PLN 1.14 PLN Fair Value 1.78 PLN Oct 2022 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

49‑month range 1.14 PLN – 18.00 PLN · fair‑value band 1.33 PLN – 2.22 PLN · the 8.75 PLN price screens above the 1.78 PLN fair value. As of Nov 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Longterm Games S.A. produces and publishes games for PCs and consoles in Poland. The company was founded in 2020 and is based in Warsaw, Poland.

Stock analysis

Longterm Games S.A (LTM) currently trades at 8.75 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.78 PLN, 80% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 3.75 PLN per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the 8.75 PLN price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 0.4400 PLN, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 1.33 PLN (bear) to 2.22 PLN (bull), the price of 8.75 PLN sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.

Longterm Games S.A reported revenue of 9.7K PLN in FY2025 versus 91.9K PLN in FY2022, a compound −52.7%/yr. Reported net income was 290K PLN in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 11.3M PLN (≈ $2.9M) Micro · EPS (TTM) −0.1300 PLN · Return on assets (EBIT) −33.0% · Free cash flow −150K PLN.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 65 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 57% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 48% fair-value upside, at −80%, LTM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (0.0100 PLN to 4.96 PLN). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear 1.33 PLN Fair Value 1.78 PLN Bull 2.22 PLN
Price 8.75 PLN · Downside -79.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income 1.02 PLN 1.15 PLN 1.68 PLN 65
Graham-Dodd 1.53 PLN 1.87 PLN 2.11 PLN 63
P/E Multiple 3.72 PLN 4.96 PLN 6.20 PLN 63
All 7 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 1.53 PLN 1.87 PLN 2.11 PLN 63
Multiples
P/E Multiple 3.72 PLN 4.96 PLN 6.20 PLN 63
P/S Multiple 0.0100 PLN 0.0100 PLN 0.0100 PLN 58
P/B Multiple 1.33 PLN 1.78 PLN 2.22 PLN 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.2900 PLN 0.4400 PLN 0.5500 PLN 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 1.02 PLN 1.15 PLN 1.68 PLN 65
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 2.62 PLN 3.75 PLN 4.87 PLN 63

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 72/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 60
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 33
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 100
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 65
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 46
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−632.2% (2022) → −1,412.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed

LTM screens overvalued: fair value 80% below the price. Compare with NetEase, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · 164 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/7 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −79.7% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 48.4% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 0.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 0.0% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Gaming & Multimedia median · lower = cheaper

P/B 5.04× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 7.6× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 51
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 10
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 100
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 60

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Gaming & Multimedia stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group 002555 ¥16.67 ¥38.45 +131% vs LTM
Zhejiang Century Huatong Group 002602 ¥12.87 ¥27.63 +115% vs LTM
NetEase, Inc NTES $121.26 $256.19 +111% vs LTM
KRAFTON, Inc 259960 212,000 KRW 410,472 KRW +94% vs LTM
Giant Network Group 002558 ¥21.66 ¥31.97 +48% vs LTM
International Games System Co 3293 778.00 TWD 1,094 TWD +41% vs LTM
Kingnet Network Co 002517 ¥16.93 ¥21.73 +28% vs LTM
Roblox Corporation RBLX $49.31 $44.31 −10% vs LTM
Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc TTWO $208.90 $75.06 −64% vs LTM
CD Projekt S.A CDR 264.00 PLN 67.47 PLN −74% vs LTM

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Longterm Games S.A: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Longterm Games S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LTM.WAR

Frequently asked questions

Is Longterm Games S.A (LTM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.78 PLN versus a price of 8.75 PLN, about 80% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LTM?
Our model-based fair value for Longterm Games S.A is 1.78 PLN (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 8.75 PLN.
What is the quality score of LTM?
Longterm Games S.A has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Longterm Games S.A (LTM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1.78 PLN (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.33 PLN, optimistic scenario 2.22 PLN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Longterm Games S.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1.78 PLN, about 80% lower versus a price of 8.75 PLN (overvalued). Cautious scenario 1.33 PLN, optimistic scenario 2.22 PLN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Longterm Games S.A (LTM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Longterm Games S.A it is 1.78 PLN per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of 8.75 PLN. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Longterm Games S.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, LTM trades above its calculated fair value: price 8.75 PLN, fair value 1.78 PLN, a gap of about −80% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LTM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (8.75 PLN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1.78 PLN). For Longterm Games S.A the two are 6.97 PLN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Longterm Games S.A worth?
The market values Longterm Games S.A at about 11.3M PLN (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is 8.75 PLN; our models calculate a fair value of 1.78 PLN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LTM?
Our models span a range for Longterm Games S.A: cautious scenario 1.33 PLN, base 1.78 PLN, optimistic 2.22 PLN per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price 8.75 PLN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is LTM from its 52-week high?
Longterm Games S.A trades at 8.75 PLN, about 19% below its 52-week high of 10.80 PLN and 57% above the low of 5.58 PLN (as of Nov 4, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1.78 PLN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Longterm Games S.A?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value NetEase, Inc, Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc, Roblox Corporation, Zhejiang Century Huatong Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Longterm Games S.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price 8.75 PLN, calculated fair value 1.78 PLN (−80%), Quality Score 72/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LTM calculated?
We run Longterm Games S.A through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1.78 PLN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0% above its aggregate fair value. Longterm Games S.A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Longterm Games S.A (LTM)?
The closing price on Nov 4, 2026 was 8.75 PLN. Our model-based fair value is 1.78 PLN, about 80% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Longterm Games S.A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (2.22 PLN). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (72/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Longterm Games S.A

How large is the market capitalisation of Longterm Games S.A (LTM)?
The market capitalisation of Longterm Games S.A is 11.3M PLN (≈ $2.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Longterm Games S.A (LTM)?
Earnings per share at Longterm Games S.A are −0.1300 PLN. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Longterm Games S.A (LTM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Longterm Games S.A is −33.0% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Longterm Games S.A (LTM) generate?
The free cash flow of Longterm Games S.A is −150K PLN (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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