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Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (LUCK) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation stock $3.86, price $3.80, upside +1.6%, quality 38 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 3 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Cyclical US

LS Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation logo Thin data Nov 7, 2026

Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation

LUCK · US
Fairly valued, weak quality

The stock costs about what our calculation considers fair.

Profit last quarter +38% vs. a year ago.
Fair value $3.86 · Fairly valued (+1.6%)
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +25.8 %/yr in USD)
Negative equity (buybacks among others)
6.3% dividend yield · Watch coverage
Mixed vs. peers (4/9)
Insiders bought $883,207 (6M)
Quality 38/100
Loss-making · -3.8% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 23/100
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$16.17 $3.75 Fair Value $3.86 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.75 – $16.17 · fair‑value band $2.06 – $5.48 · the $3.80 price screens below the $3.86 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation operates location-based entertainment venues in North America.

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The company operates traditional bowling under the AMF and Bowl America brands; and entertainment concept with lounge seating, food and beverage offerings, and customer service for individuals and group events under the Lucky Strike and Bowlero brands.

It also operates Octane Raceway, Raging Waves water park, Shipwreck Island water park, Big Kahuna's water park, and Boomers Parks. The company was formerly known as Bowlero Corp. and changed its name to Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation in December 2024.

Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Mechanicsville, Virginia.

Stock analysis

Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (LUCK) currently trades at $3.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.86, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 1.6%).

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 3 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: $2.06 (bear) to $5.48 (bull), the price of $3.80 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation reported revenue of $1.2B in FY2026 versus $912M in FY2022, a compound +8.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$35.8M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap $519M Small · P/S ratio 0.41 · EPS (TTM) $−0.4300 · Dividend yield 6.3% · Net margin −3.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin 9.9% · Revenue (TTM) $1.3B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 23 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 2%, LUCK screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $2.06 Fair Value $3.86 Bull $5.48
Price $3.80 · Upside +1.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Gordon GGM $2.06 $3.86 $5.48 65
DDM Multi-Stage $2.06 $3.45 $4.10 65
EV/EBITDA n/a n/a $5.56 61
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $2.06 $3.86 $5.48 65
DDM Multi-Stage $2.06 $3.45 $4.10 65
Multiples
EV/EBITDA n/a n/a $5.56 61

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 16
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 31
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 17
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 2
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 80
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 46
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 1
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 1
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 100
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, 5 officers or directors bought shares worth $883,207, most recently on Sep 22, 2026. Buying cluster

  • BuyRobert M. LavanPresident and CFO4× since Dec 8, 2025: 1,153 shares, avg. $7.27$8,385Sep 22, 2026
  • BuyRobert J BassDirector3× since Dec 8, 2025: 1,865 shares, avg. $7.35$13,709Sep 10, 2026
  • BuyThomas F. ShannonChief Executive Officer, Director, 10% owner30,000 shares at $5.86$175,800Sep 9, 2026
  • BuyJohn Alan YoungDirector3× since Nov 17, 2025: 14,885 shares, avg. $47.61$708,644Sep 1, 2026
  • BuySandeep MathraniDirector9,350 shares at $6.41$59,934Aug 28, 2026
  • SaleLev EksterFormer Officer3,000 shares at $8.47$25,410Apr 15, 2026
  • BuyJason HarinsteinDirector13,000 shares at $7.54$98,020Feb 12, 2026
  • BuyLev EksterPresident38 shares at $8.75$332Dec 8, 2025
  • BuyRichard Meynard BornDirector60,000 shares at $8.09$485,400Nov 28, 2025

Plus one other filing such as a grant, option exercise or tax withholding. It is not a market purchase or sale.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.8%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−9.8% (2021) → 11.0% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Leisure · 169 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +1.6% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −1.1% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) −3.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 9.9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 3.5% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months) 6.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Leisure median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (12 months) 0.41× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 8.2× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)35 · sector 41
FUTURE (revenue growth)18 · sector 27
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 52

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Leisure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Li Ning Company 2331 HK$15.48 HK$29.46 +90% vs LUCK
Ninebot Limited 689009 ¥34.77 ¥52.88 +52% vs LUCK
Pop Mart International Group 9992 HK$141.90 HK$207.44 +46% vs LUCK
Mattel, Inc MAT $15.35 $22.25 +45% vs LUCK
Planet Fitness, Inc PLNT $60.31 $66.34 +10% vs LUCK
Fluidra, S.A FDR €19.32 €21.25 +10% vs LUCK
Amer Sports, Inc AS $31.47 $19.17 −39% vs LUCK
Acushnet Holdings GOLF $80.74 $44.21 −45% vs LUCK
Life Time Group LTH $47.12 $16.00 −66% vs LUCK
Hasbro, Inc HAS $118.91 $32.71 −72% vs LUCK

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Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LUCK

Frequently asked questions

Is Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (LUCK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.86 versus a price of $3.80, about +2% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of LUCK?
Our model-based fair value for Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation is $3.86 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $3.80.
What is the quality score of LUCK?
Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (LUCK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.86 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.06, optimistic scenario $5.48. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.86, about +2% upside versus a price of $3.80 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $2.06, optimistic scenario $5.48. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (LUCK)?
Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.3B (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation pay a dividend?
Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of 6.32% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (LUCK) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation pays a dividend of $0.24 per share a year, a dividend yield of 6.3%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 8, 2026. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (LUCK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation it is $3.86 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of $3.80. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models in 2 families (Dividend Discount, Multiples).
Is Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, LUCK trades below its calculated fair value: price $3.80, fair value $3.86, a gap of about +2% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LUCK?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($3.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.86). For Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation the two are $0.0600 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation worth?
The market values Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation at about $519M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is $3.80; our models calculate a fair value of $3.86 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LUCK?
Our models span a range for Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation: cautious scenario $2.06, base $3.86, optimistic $5.48 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price $3.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (LUCK)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (as of Nov 7, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LUCK from its 52-week high?
Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation trades at $3.80, about 60% below its 52-week high of $9.49 and 1% above the low of $3.75 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.86 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Pop Mart International Group, Amer Sports, Inc, Hasbro, Inc, Life Time Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price $3.80, calculated fair value $3.86 (+2%), Quality Score 38/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LUCK calculated?
We run Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation through 3 models from 2 families: Dividend Discount, Multiples. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $3.86 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation currently trades 2% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (LUCK)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $3.80. Our model-based fair value is $3.86, about +2% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($2.06 to $5.48). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation

How large is the market capitalisation of Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (LUCK)?
The market capitalisation of Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation is $519M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (LUCK)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation is 0.41 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (LUCK)?
Earnings per share at Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation are $−0.4300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (LUCK)?
The dividend yield of Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation is 6.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (LUCK)?
The net margin of Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation is −3.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (LUCK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation is 5.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (LUCK)?
The operating margin of Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation is 9.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (LUCK)?
Revenue at Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation is growing +3.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (LUCK)?
Earnings per share at Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation are growing +38.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (LUCK) generate?
The free cash flow of Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation is −$9.8M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (LUCK) carry?
The net debt of Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation is $3.2B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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