Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (LUCK) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $1.0B
Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation
LUCK · US
Fair value as of: Jul 5, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 36 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 5, 2026, revised from $12.26 to $7.10 (−42.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −5.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide ($1.42 to $13.66). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $6.25 – $16.17 · fair‑value band $1.42 – $13.66 · the $6.68 price screens below the $7.10 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 5, 2026.
Analysis
Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (LUCK) currently trades at $6.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.10, implying the stock looks roughly 6.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation generated revenue of $1.2B at a net margin of -6.8%. Revenue grew 0.7% year over year. Net debt stands at $2.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.42 (bear case) to $13.66 (bull case); at $6.68, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 6%, LUCK screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($8.76) versus Growth DCF ($2.62). Highest evidence: Rev-Margin DCF (74).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation operates location-based entertainment venues in North America. The company operates traditional bowling under the AMF and Bowl America brands; and entertainment concept with lounge seating, food and beverage offerings, and customer service for individuals and group events under the Lucky Strike and Bowlero brands.
Full company description
Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation operates location-based entertainment venues in North America. The company operates traditional bowling under the AMF and Bowl America brands; and entertainment concept with lounge seating, food and beverage offerings, and customer service for individuals and group events under the Lucky Strike and Bowlero brands. It also operates Octane Raceway, Raging Waves water park, Shipwreck Island water park, Big Kahuna's water park, and Boomers Parks. The company was formerly known as Bowlero Corp. and changed its name to Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation in December 2024. Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Mechanicsville, Virginia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation reported revenue of $1.2B in FY2025 versus $395M in FY2021, a compound +32.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$10.0M in FY2025.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Cable One, Zillow, and Lucky Strike Shares Plummet, What You Need To Know
- Mohawk Industries, Wyndham, Lucky Strike, Clarus, and LKQ Shares Skyrocket, What You Need To Know
- Steven Madden, Lindblad Expeditions, Lucky Strike, Polaris, and Clarus Shares Skyrocket, What You Need To Know
Peer Group
Leisure · 192 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Leisure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Insider activity: 78/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Leisure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ANTA Sports Products Limited 2020 | HK$74.15 | HK$119.29 | +61% |
| Pop Mart International Group 9992 | HK$160.20 | HK$227.30 | +42% |
| Amer Sports, Inc AS | $36.44 | $16.16 | -56% |
| Hasbro, Inc HAS | $81.55 | $83.38 | +2% |
| Life Time Group LTH | $42.15 | $16.15 | -62% |
| Acushnet Holdings GOLF | $114.78 | $37.79 | -67% |
| Li Ning Company 2331 | HK$14.80 | HK$29.26 | +98% |
| Benefit Systems S.A BFT | 5,255 PLN | 3,714 PLN | -29% |
| Ninebot Limited 689009 | ¥37.82 | ¥39.17 | +4% |
| Asmodee Group ASMDEEB | kr 145.70 | kr 41.90 | -71% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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