Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd (MIESF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd stock $25.98, price $19.69, upside +31.9%, quality 55 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.63 – $44.27 · fair‑value band $17.37 – $36.57 · the $19.69 price screens below the $25.98 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 4, 2026.
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MITSUI E&S Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides marine propulsion systems in Japan, rest of Asia, Europe, North America, and internationally.
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It operates through New Business Development, Marine Propulsion Systems, Logistics Systems, Peripheral Businesses, and Ocean Development segments.
The company offers marine propulsion systems, including marine engines, fuel supply systems, auxiliary machineries for dual fuel engines, CMAXS e-GICSX engine monitoring system, and e-GICS advance marine engine performance diagnostic system; logistics system comprising container and industrial cranes, port cranes, container terminal management systems, crane monitoring systems, and crane advance remote monitoring systems; industrial machinery, such as process compressors, gas turbines, blowers, process equipment, reciprocating and axial flow compressors, top pressure recovery turbine generating systems, pressure vessels, and steam tube dryers; and after-sales services.
It is also involved in gas carriers engineering, stationary power generation plants, system development/system related equipment, steel structures, hull blocks, and mechanical and electrical equipment maintenance activities.
In addition, the company provides floating production storage offloading vessels; and IT solutions. Further, it offers rubber-tired-gantry crane; and hydraulic model testing equipment. MITSUI E&S Co., Ltd. was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Stock analysis
Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd (MIESF) currently trades at $19.69, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $25.98, implying the stock looks roughly 24% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $39.41 per share, and 18 of the 24 models we run sit above the $19.69 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $9.08, and 6 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $17.37 (bear) to $36.57 (bull), the price of $19.69 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd reported revenue of ¥355B in FY2026 versus ¥579B in FY2022, a compound −11.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥38.7B in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap $2.0B Small · P/E ratio 7.8 · P/S ratio 0.85 · EPS (TTM) $2.53 · Dividend yield 1.7% · Net margin 10.9% · Return on equity 19.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.3% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 58 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 171% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at 32%, MIESF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$17.37Fair Value $25.98Bull$36.57
Price $19.69 · Upside +31.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.54 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+12.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.2%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −7.9% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+21.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+20.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.7%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−2% → 11%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 10.9%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+9.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +7.5% a year for the price and +3.0% for the forecasts.
AI conclusion: The company's main strength lies in its long-standing engine manufacturing expertise now applied to ammonia dual-fuel marine systems, while its main weak point remains the lack of sufficient public data to establish any durable moat.
Main risk: Mounting Chinese competition that has captured most new global orders threatens demand for the company's marine engines and related decarbonization systems.
Mitsui E&S has now commercialized its ammonia dual-fuel marine engines along with the associated fuel supply systems after successful integrated testing. This step leverages its long-standing engine manufacturing expertise to address decarbonization needs in shipping. Does the company gain more from accelerating adoption of these systems than it risks from slower market uptake or competing technologies?
Compare Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 238 stocks
Beats the industry median on 13/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Above median
Fair Value upside+31.9% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)19.5% · Top 25%
Return on assets7.8% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)10.8% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)11.1% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)13.0% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)1.7% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.16× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper
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Is Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd (MIESF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $25.98 versus a price of $19.69, about +32% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MIESF?
Our model-based fair value for Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd is $25.98 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $19.69.
What is the quality score of MIESF?
Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd (MIESF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $25.98 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $17.37, optimistic scenario $36.57. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $25.98, about +32% upside versus a price of $19.69 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $17.37, optimistic scenario $36.57. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd (MIESF)?
Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥364B (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
Does Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd pay a dividend?
Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 1.72% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 4, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd (MIESF) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd has a dividend yield of 1.7%. The next ex-dividend date is Mar 30, 2027. A dividend has been paid every year since 2023. The payout ratio is 9.1% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 5.51 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd (MIESF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +9.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -11.2 % per year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MIESF use?
Our models discount Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd at 10.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.36, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd that is +9.8 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd (MIESF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd grew -11.2 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +9.8 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd (MIESF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd (+9.8 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd (MIESF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.18 %: that much free cash flow Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd (MIESF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd it is $25.98 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of $19.69. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, MIESF trades below its calculated fair value: price $19.69, fair value $25.98, a gap of about +32% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MIESF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($19.69); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($25.98). For Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd the two are $6.29 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd worth?
The market values Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd at about $2.0B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is $19.69; our models calculate a fair value of $25.98 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MIESF?
Our models span a range for Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd: cautious scenario $17.37, base $25.98, optimistic $36.57 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price $19.69). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MIESF?
Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.8 (as of Nov 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $25.98 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.4, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 6.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd (MIESF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity 19.5%, debt of 0.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MIESF from its 52-week high?
Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd trades at $19.69, about 56% below its 52-week high of $44.27 and 171% above the low of $7.26 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $25.98 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Safran SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price $19.69, calculated fair value $25.98 (+32%), Quality Score 55/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MIESF calculated?
We run Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd through 24 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $25.98 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd currently trades 24% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd (MIESF)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $19.69. Our model-based fair value is $25.98, about +32% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd right now?
Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($17.37 to $36.57) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd (MIESF) come from?
Earnings per share at Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd grew +12.5 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −11.4 %, EBIT margin +21.7 %, tax rate +9.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −4.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd (MIESF)?
The market capitalisation of Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd is $2.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd (MIESF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd is 0.85 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd (MIESF)?
Earnings per share at Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd are $2.53 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd (MIESF)?
The dividend yield of Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd is 1.7% (payout 13.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd (MIESF)?
The net margin of Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd is 10.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd (MIESF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd is 19.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd (MIESF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd is 3.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd (MIESF)?
The operating margin of Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd is 11.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd (MIESF)?
Revenue at Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd is growing +13.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd (MIESF)?
Earnings per share at Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd are growing +13.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd (MIESF) carry?
The net debt of Mitsui E&S Holdings Co. Ltd is ¥41.8B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 2.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 4, 2026