Monro Muffler Brake Inc (MNRO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Monro Muffler Brake Inc stock $17.52, price $10.95, upside +60.0%, quality 52 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 22 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $10.95 – $51.80 · fair‑value band $13.66 – $19.26 · the $10.95 price screens below the $17.52 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
Follow Monro Muffler Brake in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Monro Muffler Brake is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Monro, Inc. engages in the operation of retail tire and automotive repair stores in the United States. The company offers replacement tires and tire related services; automotive undercar repair services; and routine maintenance services primarily to passenger cars, light trucks, and vans.
Show moreShow less
It also provides other products and services for brakes; mufflers and exhaust systems; and steering, drive train, suspension, and wheel alignment.
The company operates its stores under the Monro Auto Service and Tire Centers, Tire Choice Auto Service Centers, Mr. Tire Auto Service Centers, Car-X Tire & Auto, Tire Warehouse Tires for Less, Ken Towery's Tire & Auto Care, Mountain View Tire & Auto Service, and Tire Barn Warehouse brand names.
The company was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Fairport, New York.
Stock analysis
Monro Muffler Brake Inc (MNRO) currently trades at $10.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $17.52, implying the stock looks roughly 38% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $17.04 per share, and 10 of the 22 models we run sit above the $10.95 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $6.59, and 12 of the 22 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $13.66 (bear) to $19.26 (bull), the price of $10.95 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Monro Muffler Brake Inc reported revenue of $1.2B in FY2026 versus $1.4B in FY2022, a compound −3.9%/yr. Reported net income was $2.2M in FY2026, compounding −56.7%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $343M Small · P/S ratio 0.33 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0100 · Dividend yield 10.2% · Net margin 0.1% · Return on equity 0.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.6% (5-year average) · Operating margin 0.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 16 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at 60%, MNRO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$13.66Fair Value $17.52Bull$19.26
Price $10.95 · Upside +60.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF$14.20$20.86$29.5380
Growth DCF$14.27$20.05$27.1079
Owner Earnings$18.10$26.42$37.2577
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF$14.20$20.86$29.5380
Owner Earnings$18.10$26.42$37.2577
5Y Revenue Exit$7.49$10.41$13.8473
5Y EBITDA Exit$16.51$27.23$39.6474
5Y P/E Exit$5.59$6.85$7.9972
10Y Revenue Exit$10.07$13.22$17.0268
10Y EBITDA Exit$15.33$23.67$34.6168
10Y P/E Exit$9.09$11.01$13.0365
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd$0.4700$1.46$1.9465
Lynch FV$0.3200$0.4500$0.590061
PEG = 1.0$0.3200$0.4500$0.590057
EPV$1.98$2.43$2.8174
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM$8.38$14.74$19.8868
DDM Multi-Stage$8.38$12.87$15.7867
Multiples
P/E Multiple$1.14$1.53$1.9163
P/S Multiple$0.8800$1.18$1.4758
EV/EBITDA$7.12$14.51$21.9064
Growth DCF
Growth DCF$14.27$20.05$27.1079
Rev-Margin DCF$7.49$10.68$14.4473
Economic Profit
Residual Income$9.97$10.75$11.8276
ROIC Compounder$1.98$2.43$2.8172
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E$0.9400$1.34$1.7567
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.
In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.
BuyPeter D FitzsimmonsPresident and CEO2× since Feb 3, 2026: 26,100 shares, avg. $19.23$501,900Feb 5, 2026
Plus 22 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.1% a year
Revenue growth 34 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.6%
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
−19.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−29.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)10.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−46.9% vs −27.8%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 1%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+1.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −0.9% a year for the price and −0.3% for the forecasts.
Compare Monro Muffler Brake Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 656 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Below median
Fair Value upside+60.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)0.1% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets0.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)0.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)0.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−1.8% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)10.2% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.10× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.58× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (12 months)0.30× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)8.9× · Cheaper than median
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Monro Muffler Brake Inc (MNRO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $17.52 versus a price of $10.95, about +60% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MNRO?
Our model-based fair value for Monro Muffler Brake Inc is $17.52 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $10.95.
What is the quality score of MNRO?
Monro Muffler Brake Inc has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Monro Muffler Brake Inc (MNRO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $17.52 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $13.66, optimistic scenario $19.26. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Monro Muffler Brake Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $17.52, about +60% upside versus a price of $10.95 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $13.66, optimistic scenario $19.26. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Monro Muffler Brake Inc (MNRO)?
Monro Muffler Brake Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.1B (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Monro Muffler Brake Inc pay a dividend?
Monro Muffler Brake Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 10.23% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Monro Muffler Brake Inc (MNRO) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Monro Muffler Brake Inc pays a dividend of $1.12 per share a year, a dividend yield of 10.2%. The last ex-dividend date was Aug 25, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2005. Free cash flow covers the dividend 1.11 times. Our assessment: Payout strained. The dividend exceeds reported earnings (though reported profit is often depressed by one-off charges), and free cash flow only just covers it (or coverage is unknown). Not an emergency, but little room for error.
What growth is priced into Monro Muffler Brake Inc (MNRO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Monro Muffler Brake Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +1.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +0.6 % per year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MNRO use?
Our models discount Monro Muffler Brake Inc at 11.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.08, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Monro Muffler Brake Inc that is +1.5 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Monro Muffler Brake Inc (MNRO) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Monro Muffler Brake Inc grew +0.6 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +1.5 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Monro Muffler Brake Inc (MNRO) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Monro Muffler Brake Inc (+1.5 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Monro Muffler Brake Inc (MNRO)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 11.75 %: that much free cash flow Monro Muffler Brake Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Monro Muffler Brake Inc (MNRO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Monro Muffler Brake Inc it is $17.52 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of $10.95. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Monro Muffler Brake Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, MNRO trades below its calculated fair value: price $10.95, fair value $17.52, a gap of about +60% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MNRO?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($10.95); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($17.52). For Monro Muffler Brake Inc the two are $6.57 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Monro Muffler Brake Inc worth?
The market values Monro Muffler Brake Inc at about $343M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is $10.95; our models calculate a fair value of $17.52 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MNRO?
Our models span a range for Monro Muffler Brake Inc: cautious scenario $13.66, base $17.52, optimistic $19.26 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price $10.95). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of MNRO?
The PEG ratio of Monro Muffler Brake Inc is 4.19 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 8, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Monro Muffler Brake Inc (MNRO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Monro Muffler Brake Inc (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 0.1%, debt of 0.10 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MNRO from its 52-week high?
Monro Muffler Brake Inc trades at $10.95, about 52% below its 52-week high of $22.59 and at the low of $10.95 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $17.52 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Monro Muffler Brake Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Monro Muffler Brake Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price $10.95, calculated fair value $17.52 (+60%), Quality Score 52/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MNRO calculated?
We run Monro Muffler Brake Inc through 22 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $17.52 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Monro Muffler Brake Inc currently trades 38% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Monro Muffler Brake Inc (MNRO)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $10.95. Our model-based fair value is $17.52, about +60% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Monro Muffler Brake Inc right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($13.66). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of Monro Muffler Brake Inc (MNRO) come from?
Earnings per share at Monro Muffler Brake Inc grew −11.4 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.5 %, EBIT margin −12.7 %, tax rate +1.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −3.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Monro Muffler Brake Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Monro Muffler Brake Inc (MNRO)?
The market capitalisation of Monro Muffler Brake Inc is $343M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Monro Muffler Brake Inc (MNRO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Monro Muffler Brake Inc is 0.33 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Monro Muffler Brake Inc (MNRO)?
Earnings per share at Monro Muffler Brake Inc are $−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Monro Muffler Brake Inc (MNRO)?
The dividend yield of Monro Muffler Brake Inc is 10.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Monro Muffler Brake Inc (MNRO)?
The net margin of Monro Muffler Brake Inc is 0.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Monro Muffler Brake Inc (MNRO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Monro Muffler Brake Inc is 0.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Monro Muffler Brake Inc (MNRO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Monro Muffler Brake Inc is 3.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Monro Muffler Brake Inc (MNRO)?
The operating margin of Monro Muffler Brake Inc is 0.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Monro Muffler Brake Inc (MNRO)?
Revenue at Monro Muffler Brake Inc is growing −1.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Monro Muffler Brake Inc (MNRO)?
Earnings per share at Monro Muffler Brake Inc are growing +161% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Monro Muffler Brake Inc (MNRO) carry?
The net debt of Monro Muffler Brake Inc is $471M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 12.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Monro Muffler Brake Inc in the live analysis
One click puts Monro Muffler Brake Inc on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 27,000+ stock screener.
Some data
Nov 8, 2026