Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Monolithic Power Systems Inc stock $707, price $1,131, that is 37.5% below the price, quality 73 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Our calculation puts a fair price 38% below what the stock costs today.
Quality 73/100
Healthy Growth(revenue 5y +27.0 %/yr in USD)
Highly profitable · 23.9% net margin (TTM)
Low debt
Generates free cash flow
0.7% dividend yield · Well covered
Ranks above peers(9/15)
Positive coverage
Broad data
Last quarter vs. a year ago: revenue +63%, profit +49%.
Wide moat89/100 · thin data
Insiders sold $160.7M (6M)
Fair value $706.92 · Strongly overvalued (−37.5%)
⟳ CyclicalQuality growth
Risks from the AI analysis
🚩Securities lawsuit claims allowed to proceed amid insider sales🚩Nvidia could cut orders over quality issues🚩Larger rivals like TI could erode share🚩China supply dependence could disrupt output
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $300.03 – $1,685 · fair‑value band $442.44 – $1,101 · the $1,131 price screens above the $706.92 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. provides semiconductor-based power electronics solutions in China, Taiwan, South Korea, Southeast Asia, Europe, the United States, Japan, and internationally.
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The company offers direct current (DC) to DC solutions to convert and control voltages within a range of electronic systems, such as cloud-based and on-premises CPU servers and workstations, AI systems, memory, storage solutions, notebooks, infotainment, power sources, home appliances, network infrastructure, and satellite communications.
It also provides alternating current (AC) to DC; driver metal-oxide-semiconductor field-effect transistors; power management integrated circuits (ICs); and current limit switch and lighting control products.
The company serves storage and computing, enterprise data, automotive, communications, consumer, and industrial end markets through third-party distributors and value-added resellers. Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is based in West Palm Beach, Florida.
Stock analysis
Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR) currently trades at $1,131, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $706.92, 38% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $428.45 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the $1,131 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $76.21, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $442.44 (bear) to $1,101 (bull), the price of $1,131 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Monolithic Power Systems Inc reported revenue of $2.8B in FY2025 versus $1.2B in FY2021, a compound +23.3%/yr. Reported net income was $616M in FY2025, compounding +26.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $55.7B Large · P/E ratio 62.0 · P/S ratio 14.9 · EPS (TTM) $18.24 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin 23.9% · Return on equity 24.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 18.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 89 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at −38%, MPWR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$442.44Fair Value $706.92Bull$1,101
Price $1,131 · Downside -37.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($9.07 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, 6 officers or directors sold shares worth $160.7M and none bought.
SaleMichael HsingCEO, Director8× since Nov 11, 2025: 301,923 shares, avg. $1,175$354.8MSep 28, 2026
SaleRobert W Dean IIInterim CFO5× since May 18, 2026: 169 shares, avg. $1,383$233,701Aug 24, 2026
SaleKuo Wei Herbert ChangDirector4× since Nov 21, 2025: 300 shares, avg. $1,041$312,173Aug 24, 2026
SaleMaurice SciammasEVP, WW Sales & Marketing14× since Nov 19, 2025: 89,611 shares, avg. $1,129$101.2MAug 3, 2026
SaleSaria TsengEVP & General Counsel9× since Nov 25, 2025: 119,113 shares, avg. $1,111$132.3MMay 27, 2026
SaleJeff ZhouDirector2× since May 5, 2026: 2,000 shares, avg. $1,625$3.3MMay 26, 2026
SaleEileen WynneDirector335 shares at $1,583$530,198May 6, 2026
SaleDeming XiaoEVP, Global Operations2× since Feb 6, 2026: 52,875 shares, avg. $1,445$76.4MMay 6, 2026
SaleEugen J ElmigerDirector12,000 shares at $1,585$19.0MMay 6, 2026
SaleVictor K LeeDirector3× since Dec 24, 2025: 2,000 shares, avg. $997.55$2.0MFeb 9, 202610b5-1 plan
Plus 1 more entries from the last 12 months.
Plus 9 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+26.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +23.7% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+38.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+32.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+31.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.29.5% vs 30.5%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.19% → 26%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+40.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+41.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +37.1% a year for the price and +38.1% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (100 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
AI conclusion: Moderate moat from margins and balance sheet stands against thin public signals across most factors and disclosure uncertainties.
Main risk: Heavy reliance on Nvidia as a key customer representing around 20 percent of sales could trigger sharp revenue declines if the hyperscaler cancels orders or shifts to rivals due to persistent performance concerns with power modules.
Bull case: By winning new design-ins across diversified end markets and qualifying additional non-China manufacturing partners the company could reduce customer concentration and maintain its edge in high-density power solutions despite competitive pressure.
Bear case: Loss of substantial Nvidia business combined with share erosion by larger rivals and supply disruptions from China could materially shrink revenue, compress margins and threaten the company's ability to fund expansion in power management.
Monolithic Power's power management chips have powered strong data center growth, yet a securities lawsuit claims the company overstated product quality and its relationship with a key customer. Recent court rulings have allowed key claims to proceed amid insider stock sales during the alleged period. With earnings due soon, does sustained segment momentum outweigh these unresolved questions on past disclosures?
Compare Monolithic Power Systems Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductors · 371 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score73 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−37.5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)24.5% · Top 25%
Return on assets14.7% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)23.9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)29.7% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)63.1% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.7% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)62.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B15.78× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)14.91× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow83.7× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA46.8× · Priciest 25%
PEG0.88× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 100
PAST (return on equity)98· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)13· sector 20
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Monolithic Power Systems Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MPWR
Frequently asked questions
Is Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $706.92 versus a price of $1,131, about 38% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MPWR?
Our model-based fair value for Monolithic Power Systems Inc is $706.92 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1,131.
What is the quality score of MPWR?
Monolithic Power Systems Inc has a Quality Score of 73/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $706.92 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $442.44, optimistic scenario $1,101. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Monolithic Power Systems Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $706.92, about 38% lower versus a price of $1,131 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $442.44, optimistic scenario $1,101. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR)?
Monolithic Power Systems Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.7B (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Monolithic Power Systems Inc pay a dividend?
Monolithic Power Systems Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 0.67% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
What growth is priced into Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Monolithic Power Systems Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +40.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +27.0 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MPWR use?
Our models discount Monolithic Power Systems Inc at 10.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.68, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Monolithic Power Systems Inc that is +40.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Monolithic Power Systems Inc grew +27.0 % a year. The price currently implies +40.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +11.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Monolithic Power Systems Inc (+40.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.20 %: that much free cash flow Monolithic Power Systems Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Monolithic Power Systems Inc it is $706.92 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of $1,131. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Monolithic Power Systems Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, MPWR trades above its calculated fair value: price $1,131, fair value $706.92, a gap of about −38% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MPWR?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1,131); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($706.92). For Monolithic Power Systems Inc the two are $424.51 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Monolithic Power Systems Inc worth?
The market values Monolithic Power Systems Inc at about $55.7B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is $1,131; our models calculate a fair value of $706.92 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MPWR?
Our models span a range for Monolithic Power Systems Inc: cautious scenario $442.44, base $706.92, optimistic $1,101 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price $1,131). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MPWR?
Monolithic Power Systems Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 62.0 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $706.92 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, 4 of the years ex one-offs: 69.8. Other multiples: PEG 0.9, P/B 15.8, P/S 14.9, EV/EBITDA 46.8.
What is the PEG ratio of MPWR?
The PEG ratio of Monolithic Power Systems Inc is 0.88 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 6, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Monolithic Power Systems Inc (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 24.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 73/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MPWR from its 52-week high?
Monolithic Power Systems Inc trades at $1,131, about 33% below its 52-week high of $1,685 and 33% above the low of $851.25 (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $706.92 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Monolithic Power Systems Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value NVIDIA Corporation, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Broadcom Inc, Micron Technology, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Monolithic Power Systems Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price $1,131, calculated fair value $706.92 (−38%), Quality Score 73/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MPWR calculated?
We run Monolithic Power Systems Inc through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $706.92, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.5% above its aggregate fair value. Monolithic Power Systems Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was $1,131. Our model-based fair value is $706.92, about 38% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Monolithic Power Systems Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1,101). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (73/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($442.44 to $1,101) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Monolithic Power Systems Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR)?
The market capitalisation of Monolithic Power Systems Inc is $55.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Monolithic Power Systems Inc is 14.9 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR)?
Earnings per share at Monolithic Power Systems Inc are $18.24 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 62.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR)?
The dividend yield of Monolithic Power Systems Inc is 0.7% (payout 41.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR)?
The net margin of Monolithic Power Systems Inc is 23.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Monolithic Power Systems Inc is 24.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Monolithic Power Systems Inc is 18.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR)?
The operating margin of Monolithic Power Systems Inc is 29.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR)?
Revenue at Monolithic Power Systems Inc is growing +63.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR)?
Earnings per share at Monolithic Power Systems Inc are growing +48.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR) hold?
Monolithic Power Systems Inc holds more cash than debt, $1.1B net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Nov 6, 2026