Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Monolithic Power Systems Inc is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $300.48 – $1,687 · fair‑value band $442.60 – $1,063 · the $1,278 price screens above the $629.68 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 17, 2026.
Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. provides semiconductor-based power electronics solutions in China, Taiwan, South Korea, Southeast Asia, Europe, the United States, Japan, and internationally.
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Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. provides semiconductor-based power electronics solutions in China, Taiwan, South Korea, Southeast Asia, Europe, the United States, Japan, and internationally. The company offers direct current (DC) to DC solutions to convert and control voltages within a range of electronic systems, such as cloud-based and on-premises CPU servers and workstations, AI systems, memory, storage solutions, notebooks, infotainment, power sources, home appliances, network infrastructure, and satellite communications. It also provides alternating current (AC) to DC; driver metal-oxide-semiconductor field-effect transistors; power management integrated circuits (ICs); and current limit switch and lighting control products. The company serves storage and computing, enterprise data, automotive, communications, consumer, and industrial end markets through third-party distributors and value-added resellers. Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is based in West Palm Beach, Florida.
Stock analysis
Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR) currently trades at $1,278, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $629.68, implying the stock looks roughly 102.9% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $441.49 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the $1,278 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $93.32, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $442.60 (bear) to $1,063 (bull), the price of $1,278 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Monolithic Power Systems Inc reported revenue of $2.8B in FY2025 versus $1.2B in FY2021, a compound +23.3%/yr. Reported net income was $616M in FY2025, compounding +26.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $67.6B · P/E ratio 85.9 · P/S ratio 19.0 · EPS (TTM) $14.87 · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin 22.1% · Return on equity 19.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 18.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 58 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 92% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −64% fair-value upside, at −51%, MPWR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely ($48.16 to $600.81). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear $442.60Fair Value $629.68Bull $1,063
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($5.35 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+26.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.0%
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+38.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+31.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+31.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.30% vs 31%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.19% → 26%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+41.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+21.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
Compare Monolithic Power Systems Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductors · 327 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score74 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−75% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)20% · Top 25%
Return on assets12% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)23% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)30% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth26% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.5% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)85.9× · Pricier than median
P/B19.15× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)22.87× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF101.5× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA77.6× · Priciest 25%
PEG1.70× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 63
PAST (return on equity)78· sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)10· sector 18
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Monolithic Power Systems Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MPWR
Frequently asked questions
Is Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $629.68 versus a price of $1,278, about −51% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MPWR?
Our model-based fair value for Monolithic Power Systems Inc is $629.68 (as of Sep 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1,278.
What is the quality score of MPWR?
Monolithic Power Systems Inc has a Quality Score of 74/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $629.68 (as of Sep 17, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $442.60, optimistic scenario $1,063. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Monolithic Power Systems Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $629.68, about −51% upside versus a price of $1,278 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $442.60, optimistic scenario $1,063. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR)?
Monolithic Power Systems Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 17, 2026).
Does Monolithic Power Systems Inc pay a dividend?
Monolithic Power Systems Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.52% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 17, 2026).
What growth is priced into Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Monolithic Power Systems Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +41.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +27.0 % per year. As of Sep 17, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MPWR use?
Our models discount Monolithic Power Systems Inc at 10.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.71, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Monolithic Power Systems Inc that is +41.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Monolithic Power Systems Inc grew +27.0 % a year. The price currently implies +41.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Monolithic Power Systems Inc (+41.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.13 %: that much free cash flow Monolithic Power Systems Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Monolithic Power Systems Inc it is $629.68 per share (as of Sep 17, 2026), against a price of $1,278. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Monolithic Power Systems Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 17, 2026, MPWR trades above its calculated fair value: price $1,278, fair value $629.68, a gap of about −51% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MPWR?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1,278); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($629.68). For Monolithic Power Systems Inc the two are $648.00 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Monolithic Power Systems Inc worth?
The market values Monolithic Power Systems Inc at about $67.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 17, 2026). Per share that is $1,278; our models calculate a fair value of $629.68 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MPWR?
Our models span a range for Monolithic Power Systems Inc: cautious scenario $442.60, base $629.68, optimistic $1,063 per share (as of Sep 17, 2026, price $1,278). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MPWR?
Monolithic Power Systems Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 85.9 (as of Sep 17, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $629.68 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.7, P/B 19.2, P/S 22.9, EV/EBITDA 77.6.
What is the PEG ratio of MPWR?
The PEG ratio of Monolithic Power Systems Inc is 1.70 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 17, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Monolithic Power Systems Inc (as of Sep 17, 2026): return on equity 19.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 74/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MPWR from its 52-week high?
Monolithic Power Systems Inc trades at $1,278, about 25% below its 52-week high of $1,714 and 92% above the low of $664.95 (as of Sep 17, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $629.68 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Monolithic Power Systems Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value NVIDIA Corporation, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Broadcom Inc, SK hynix Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Monolithic Power Systems Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 17, 2026: price $1,278, calculated fair value $629.68 (−51%), Quality Score 74/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MPWR calculated?
We run Monolithic Power Systems Inc through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $629.68, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Monolithic Power Systems Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR)?
The closing price on Sep 21, 2026 was $1,278. Our model-based fair value is $629.68, about −51% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Monolithic Power Systems Inc right now?
A high-quality business (quality 74/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1,063). The favourable scenario is already priced in. A fairly wide model range ($442.60 to $1,063) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Monolithic Power Systems Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR)?
The market capitalisation of Monolithic Power Systems Inc is $67.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Monolithic Power Systems Inc is 19.0 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR)?
Earnings per share at Monolithic Power Systems Inc are $14.87 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 85.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR)?
The dividend yield of Monolithic Power Systems Inc is 0.5% (payout 44.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR)?
The net margin of Monolithic Power Systems Inc is 22.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Monolithic Power Systems Inc is 19.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Monolithic Power Systems Inc is 18.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR)?
The operating margin of Monolithic Power Systems Inc is 30.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR)?
Revenue at Monolithic Power Systems Inc is growing +26.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR)?
Earnings per share at Monolithic Power Systems Inc are growing +39.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR) hold?
Monolithic Power Systems Inc holds more cash than debt, $1.1B net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Sep 17, 2026