Motio Ltd (MXO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Motio Ltd stock A$0.09, price A$0.06, upside +53.0%, quality 56 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0150 – A$0.1450 · fair‑value band A$0.0612 – A$0.1632 · the A$0.0600 price screens below the A$0.0918 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.
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Motio Limited operates as an audience experience and digital place-based media company in Australia.
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The company operates MotioCafe to engage professionals and the metro workforce; MotionVenue, which offers licensed environments to reach consumers without fear of government or social backlash; MotioHealth, a medical practice network that offers information, communication, and entertainment in medical practice waiting rooms; and MotioPlay, a national network of indoor sports and leisure centers.
It also operates Spawtz, a robust software and data infrastructure system for venues and players internationally. The company was formerly known as XTD Limited and changed its name to Motio Limited in November 2020. Motio Limited is based in Sydney, Australia.
Stock analysis
Motio Ltd (MXO) currently trades at A$0.0600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0918, implying the stock looks roughly 35% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of A$0.3200 per share, and 21 of the 24 models we run sit above the A$0.0600 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$0.0100, and 3 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$0.0612 (bear) to A$0.1632 (bull), the price of A$0.0600 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Motio Ltd reported revenue of A$9.2M in FY2026 versus A$4.4M in FY2022, a compound +20.2%/yr. Reported net income was A$2.2M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap A$20.2M (≈ $13.9M) Micro · P/E ratio 6.0 · P/S ratio 1.43 · EPS (TTM) A$0.0100 · Net margin 23.9% · Return on equity 31.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.1% (5-year average) · Operating margin 16.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 78 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 53%, MXO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
BearA$0.0612Fair Value A$0.0918BullA$0.1632
Price A$0.0600 · Upside +53.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 4 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0036 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPVA$0.0600A$0.0600A$0.070074
FCF DCFA$0.0800A$0.1300A$0.280073
Growth DCFA$0.0800A$0.1600A$0.290072
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCFA$0.0800A$0.1300A$0.280073
Owner EarningsA$0.0700A$0.1400A$0.320068
5Y Revenue ExitA$0.0700A$0.1100A$0.200068
5Y EBITDA ExitA$0.0800A$0.1400A$0.250070
5Y P/E ExitA$0.1200A$0.2600A$0.460065
10Y Revenue ExitA$0.0700A$0.1400A$0.190064
10Y EBITDA ExitA$0.0800A$0.1800A$0.340062
10Y P/E ExitA$0.1100A$0.2600A$0.500058
Earnings-Based
Graham-DoddA$0.0500A$0.3200A$0.460061
Lynch FVA$0.1700A$0.2400A$0.310059
PEG = 1.0A$0.1700A$0.2400A$0.310055
EPVA$0.0600A$0.0600A$0.070074
Multiples
P/E MultipleA$0.1100A$0.1500A$0.190063
P/S MultipleA$0.0800A$0.1000A$0.130058
P/B MultipleA$0.0400A$0.0500A$0.070054
EV/EBITA$0.0700A$0.0900A$0.110066
EV/EBITDAA$0.0800A$0.1000A$0.120067
EV/RevenueA$0.0600A$0.0800A$0.090054
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)A$0.0100A$0.0100A$0.020052
Growth DCF
Growth DCFA$0.0800A$0.1600A$0.290072
Rev-Margin DCFA$0.0700A$0.1200A$0.230067
Economic Profit
Residual IncomeA$0.0500A$0.0700A$0.150063
ROIC CompounderA$0.0700A$0.1200A$0.160068
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/EA$0.2200A$0.3200A$0.410065
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.85/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.2%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.3% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−78.0% (2021) → 17.0% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−0.3%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −3.2% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Advertising Agencies · 170 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score56 · Above median
Fair Value upside+53.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)31.0% · Top 25%
Return on assets20.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)23.9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)16.8% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)6.6% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)6.0× · Cheapest 25%
P/B1.52× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)1.51× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)11.4× · Pricier than median
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Motio Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MXO
Frequently asked questions
Is Motio Ltd (MXO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0918 versus a price of A$0.0600, about +53% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MXO?
Our model-based fair value for Motio Ltd is A$0.0918 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0600.
What is the quality score of MXO?
Motio Ltd has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Motio Ltd (MXO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0918 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0612, optimistic scenario A$0.1632. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Motio Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0918, about +53% upside versus a price of A$0.0600 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0612, optimistic scenario A$0.1632. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Motio Ltd (MXO)?
Motio Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$9.2M (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
What growth is priced into Motio Ltd (MXO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Motio Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -0.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +26.2 % per year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MXO use?
Our models discount Motio Ltd at 8.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.40, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Motio Ltd that is -0.3 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (8.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Motio Ltd (MXO) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Motio Ltd grew +26.2 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -0.3 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Motio Ltd (MXO) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Motio Ltd (-0.3 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Motio Ltd (MXO)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.02 %: that much free cash flow Motio Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Motio Ltd (MXO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Motio Ltd it is A$0.0918 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of A$0.0600. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Motio Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, MXO trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.0600, fair value A$0.0918, a gap of about +53% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MXO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0600); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0918). For Motio Ltd the two are A$0.0318 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Motio Ltd worth?
The market values Motio Ltd at about A$20.2M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0600; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0918 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MXO?
Our models span a range for Motio Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0612, base A$0.0918, optimistic A$0.1632 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price A$0.0600). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MXO?
Motio Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.0 (as of Nov 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$0.0918 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, P/S 1.5, EV/EBITDA 4.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Motio Ltd (MXO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Motio Ltd (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity 31.0%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MXO from its 52-week high?
Motio Ltd trades at A$0.0600, about 2% below its 52-week high of A$0.0610 and 40% above the low of A$0.0430 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0918 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Motio Ltd?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value AppLovin Corporation, Publicis Groupe S.A, Omnicom Group, Focus Media Information Technology Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Motio Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price A$0.0600, calculated fair value A$0.0918 (+53%), Quality Score 56/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MXO calculated?
We run Motio Ltd through 24 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$0.0918 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Motio Ltd currently trades 35% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Motio Ltd (MXO)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was A$0.0600. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0918, about +53% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Motio Ltd right now?
The model range is unusually wide (A$0.0612 to A$0.1632). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Motio Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Motio Ltd (MXO)?
The market capitalisation of Motio Ltd is A$20.2M (≈ $13.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Motio Ltd (MXO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Motio Ltd is 1.43 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Motio Ltd (MXO)?
Earnings per share at Motio Ltd are A$0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Motio Ltd (MXO)?
The net margin of Motio Ltd is 23.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Motio Ltd (MXO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Motio Ltd is 31.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Motio Ltd (MXO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Motio Ltd is −6.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Motio Ltd (MXO)?
The operating margin of Motio Ltd is 16.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Motio Ltd (MXO)?
Revenue at Motio Ltd is growing +6.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Motio Ltd (MXO)?
Earnings per share at Motio Ltd are growing +258% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Motio Ltd (MXO) hold?
Motio Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$3.8M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Nov 4, 2026