Motio Limited (MXO) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · AU · Market cap A$16.8M
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from A$0.0296 to A$0.0302 (+2.0%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −9.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 37% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 73/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0302). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0150 – A$0.1450 · the A$0.0480 price screens above the A$0.0302 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Motio Limited (MXO) currently trades at A$0.0480, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0302, implying the stock looks roughly 37.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Motio Limited generated revenue of A$9.0M at a net margin of 11.9%. Revenue declined 8.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$1.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -1% fair-value upside, at -37%, MXO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (A$0.1200) versus Earnings-Based (A$0.0100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 75 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Motio Limited operates as an audience experience and digital place-based media company in Australia. The company operates MotioCafe to engage professionals and the metro workforce; MotionVenue, which offers licensed environments to reach consumers without fear of government or social backlash; MotioHealth, a medical practice network that offers information, …
Full company description
Motio Limited operates as an audience experience and digital place-based media company in Australia. The company operates MotioCafe to engage professionals and the metro workforce; MotionVenue, which offers licensed environments to reach consumers without fear of government or social backlash; MotioHealth, a medical practice network that offers information, communication, and entertainment in medical practice waiting rooms; and MotioPlay, a national network of indoor sports and leisure centers. It also operates Spawtz, a robust software and data infrastructure system for venues and players internationally. The company was formerly known as XTD Limited and changed its name to Motio Limited in November 2020. Motio Limited is based in Sydney, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Motio Limited reported revenue of A$9.4M in FY2025 versus A$2.9M in FY2021, a compound +34.3%/yr. Reported net income was A$116K in FY2025.
MXO screens 37% overvalued. Compare with AppLovin Corporation →
Peer Group
Advertising Agencies · 199 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 20/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Advertising Agencies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| AppLovin Corporation APP | $506.98 | $181.37 | -64% |
| Publicis Groupe S.A PUB | €87.16 | €146.36 | +68% |
| Omnicom Group OMC | $80.75 | $99.84 | +24% |
| Focus Media Information Technology Co 002027 | ¥5.00 | ¥4.08 | -18% |
| The Trade Desk, Inc TTD | $19.37 | $20.76 | +7% |
| BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group 300058 | ¥13.81 | ¥1.50 | -89% |
| JCDecaux SE DEC | €21.28 | €20.99 | -1% |
| WPP plc WPP | $18.13 | $18.56 | +2% |
| Easy Click Worldwide Network Technology Co 301171 | ¥28.85 | ¥5.62 | -81% |
| Mobvista Inc 1860 | HK$11.15 | HK$6.43 | -42% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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