Motio Ltd (MXO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Motio Ltd A$0.05, price A$0.06, upside -19.0%, quality 73 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0150 – A$0.1450 · fair‑value band A$0.0360 – A$0.0478 · the A$0.0590 price screens above the A$0.0478 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Motio Limited operates as an audience experience and digital place-based media company in Australia.
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Motio Limited operates as an audience experience and digital place-based media company in Australia. The company operates MotioCafe to engage professionals and the metro workforce; MotionVenue, which offers licensed environments to reach consumers without fear of government or social backlash; MotioHealth, a medical practice network that offers information, communication, and entertainment in medical practice waiting rooms; and MotioPlay, a national network of indoor sports and leisure centers. It also operates Spawtz, a robust software and data infrastructure system for venues and players internationally. The company was formerly known as XTD Limited and changed its name to Motio Limited in November 2020. Motio Limited is based in Sydney, Australia.
Stock analysis
Motio Ltd (MXO) currently trades at A$0.0590, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0478, implying the stock looks roughly 23.4% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of A$0.1500 per share, and 9 of the 18 models we run sit above the A$0.0590 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at A$0.0100, and 9 of the 18 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$0.0360 (bear) to A$0.0478 (bull), the price of A$0.0590 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Motio Ltd reported revenue of A$9.4M in FY2025 versus A$2.9M in FY2021, a compound +34.3%/yr. Reported net income was A$116K in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap A$16.2M (≈ $11.4M) · P/S ratio 1.86 · Net margin 1.2% · Return on equity 16.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −13.0% · Operating margin 20.0% · Revenue (TTM) A$9.0M · Revenue growth (YoY) −8.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 20% fair-value upside, at −19%, MXO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.0360Fair Value A$0.0478Bull A$0.0478
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.91/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+30.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +22.7% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.7%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−20.9% (2019) → −27.1% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−11.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −13.7% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Advertising Agencies · 198 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score73 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−19% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)16% · Top 25%
Return on assets8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)12% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)20% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.03× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Motio Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MXO
Frequently asked questions
Is Motio Ltd (MXO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0478 versus a price of A$0.0590, about −19% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MXO?
Our model-based fair value for Motio Ltd is A$0.0478 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0590.
What is the quality score of MXO?
Motio Ltd has a Quality Score of 73/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Motio Ltd (MXO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0478 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 18 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0360, optimistic scenario A$0.0478. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Motio Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0478, about −19% upside versus a price of A$0.0590 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0360, optimistic scenario A$0.0478. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Motio Ltd (MXO)?
Motio Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$9.0M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Motio Ltd (MXO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Motio Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -11.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +28.5 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MXO use?
Our models discount Motio Ltd at 8.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.49, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Motio Ltd that is -11.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Motio Ltd (MXO) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Motio Ltd grew +28.5 % a year. The price currently implies -11.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Motio Ltd (MXO) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Motio Ltd (-11.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Motio Ltd (MXO)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 11.88 %: that much free cash flow Motio Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Motio Ltd (MXO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Motio Ltd it is A$0.0478 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.0590. It is the blended result of 18 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Motio Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, MXO trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0590, fair value A$0.0478, a gap of about −19% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MXO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0590); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0478). For Motio Ltd the two are A$0.0112 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Motio Ltd worth?
The market values Motio Ltd at about A$16.2M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0590; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0478 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MXO?
Our models span a range for Motio Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0360, base A$0.0478, optimistic A$0.0478 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$0.0590). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Motio Ltd (MXO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Motio Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 16.4%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 73/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MXO from its 52-week high?
Motio Ltd trades at A$0.0590, about 5% below its 52-week high of A$0.0620 and 37% above the low of A$0.0430 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0478 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Motio Ltd?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value AppLovin Corporation, Publicis Groupe S.A, Omnicom Group, Focus Media Information Technology Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Motio Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.0590, calculated fair value A$0.0478 (−19%), Quality Score 73/100, from 18 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MXO calculated?
We run Motio Ltd through 18 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0478, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Motio Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Motio Ltd (MXO)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.0590. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0478, about −19% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Motio Ltd right now?
A high-quality business (quality 73/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0478). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Motio Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Motio Ltd (MXO)?
The market capitalisation of Motio Ltd is A$16.2M (≈ $11.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Motio Ltd (MXO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Motio Ltd is 1.86 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Motio Ltd (MXO)?
The net margin of Motio Ltd is 1.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Motio Ltd (MXO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Motio Ltd is 16.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Motio Ltd (MXO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Motio Ltd is −13.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Motio Ltd (MXO)?
The operating margin of Motio Ltd is 20.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Motio Ltd (MXO)?
Revenue at Motio Ltd is growing −8.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +28.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net cash does Motio Ltd (MXO) hold?
Motio Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$1.3M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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