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OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of OHTL Public Company Limited stock THB 342, price THB 280, upside +22.1%, quality 51 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 23 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Cyclical TH · ISIN TH0115A10Z05

OP OHTL Public Company Limited logo Some data Nov 8, 2026

OHTL Public Company Limited

OHTL · BK
Undervalued, but in a downtrend

The stock costs 18% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value 341.98 THB · Undervalued
Solidly profitable · 13.2% net margin (TTM)
Low debt
Generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/13)
Revenue last quarter +32% vs. a year ago.
Quality 51/100
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +22.5 %/yr in THB)
Moderate moat 50/100 · thin data
Some data
⚠ Small free float
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

546.00 THB 254.00 THB Fair Value 341.98 THB Feb 2019 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 254.00 THB – 546.00 THB · fair‑value band 241.94 THB – 452.79 THB · the 280.00 THB price screens below the 341.98 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

OHTL Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the operation of hotels and restaurants in Thailand. The company operates in two segments, Hotel Operation and Food and Beverage. It is also involved in cooking school; and land and building leasing.

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The company was formerly known as The Oriental Hotel (Thailand) Public Company Limited and changed its name to OHTL Public Company Limited in November 2008. OHTL Public Company Limited was founded in 1876 and is based in Bangkok, Thailand.

Stock analysis

OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL) currently trades at 280.00 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 341.98 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 18% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 434.49 THB per share, and 12 of the 23 models we run sit above the 280.00 THB price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 123.99 THB, and 11 of the 23 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: 241.94 THB (bear) to 452.79 THB (bull), the price of 280.00 THB sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

OHTL Public Company Limited reported revenue of 2.5B THB in FY2025 versus 562M THB in FY2021, a compound +45.6%/yr. Reported net income was 314M THB in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 4.2B THB (≈ $126M) Micro · P/E ratio 11.6 · P/S ratio 1.50 · EPS (TTM) 24.19 THB · Net margin 13.2% · Return on equity 12.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.9% (5-year average) · Operating margin 8.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 22%, OHTL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 241.94 THB Fair Value 341.98 THB Bull 452.79 THB
Price 280.00 THB · Upside +22.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (20.74 THB per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF 237.88 THB 318.06 THB 409.52 THB 82
Growth DCF 240.24 THB 312.08 THB 390.36 THB 80
Owner Earnings 191.00 THB 257.45 THB 333.24 THB 78
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 237.88 THB 318.06 THB 409.52 THB 82
Owner Earnings 191.00 THB 257.45 THB 333.24 THB 78
5Y Revenue Exit 161.27 THB 227.14 THB 305.05 THB 73
5Y EBITDA Exit 312.18 THB 496.22 THB 701.50 THB 75
5Y P/E Exit 251.20 THB 387.49 THB 522.62 THB 71
10Y Revenue Exit 192.12 THB 251.52 THB 320.42 THB 68
10Y EBITDA Exit 273.80 THB 403.33 THB 561.63 THB 68
10Y P/E Exit 241.94 THB 341.98 THB 452.79 THB 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 141.29 THB 342.12 THB 442.07 THB 65
PEG = 1.0 60.65 THB 86.64 THB 112.63 THB 57
EPV 140.30 THB 160.51 THB 176.77 THB 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple 342.83 THB 457.10 THB 571.38 THB 63
P/S Multiple 150.36 THB 200.47 THB 250.59 THB 58
P/B Multiple 524.14 THB 698.85 THB 873.56 THB 55
EV/EBIT 274.72 THB 411.87 THB 549.01 THB 65
EV/EBITDA 336.65 THB 494.43 THB 652.22 THB 66
EV/Revenue 3.63 THB 63.77 THB 123.91 THB 46
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 92.53 THB 123.99 THB 185.06 THB 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 240.24 THB 312.08 THB 390.36 THB 80
Rev-Margin DCF 161.27 THB 232.79 THB 311.99 THB 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income 150.87 THB 163.20 THB 184.34 THB 71
ROIC Compounder 140.30 THB 160.51 THB 176.77 THB 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 260.86 THB 372.65 THB 484.45 THB 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 41
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 21
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 79
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 40
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 43
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 65
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 38
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 25
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 94/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.8% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.4%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in THB ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in THB: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+19.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+19.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−54% → 18%

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+5.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Thailand: IMF forecast 1.2% a year to 2030, 1.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +3.7% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Lodging · 157 stocks

Beats the industry median on 9/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside +24.4% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 12.9% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5.1% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months) 13.2% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months) 8.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 32.0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.36× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Lodging median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 11.6× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 1.48× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 1.50× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 8.6× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 6.0× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)66 · sector 25
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 31
PAST (return on equity)51 · sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)82 · sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 33

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Atour Lifestyle Holdings ATAT $35.91 $58.29 +62% vs OHTL
H World Group 1179 HK$39.58 HK$50.55 +28% vs OHTL
Jabal Omar Development Company 4250 15.42 SAR 17.95 SAR +16% vs OHTL
Accor SA AC €50.00 €41.40 −17% vs OHTL
Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT $370.45 $271.08 −27% vs OHTL
Choice Hotels International, Inc CHH $118.91 $75.26 −37% vs OHTL
The Indian Hotels Company INDHOTEL ₹888.00 ₹502.32 −43% vs OHTL
Hyatt Hotels Corporation H $184.32 $86.67 −53% vs OHTL
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc WH $77.35 $29.61 −62% vs OHTL
Marriott International, Inc MAR $416.47 $151.21 −64% vs OHTL

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OHTL Public Company Limited: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "OHTL Public Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OHTL

Frequently asked questions

Is OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 341.98 THB versus a price of 280.00 THB, about +22% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of OHTL?
Our model-based fair value for OHTL Public Company Limited is 341.98 THB (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 280.00 THB.
What is the quality score of OHTL?
OHTL Public Company Limited has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 341.98 THB (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario 241.94 THB, optimistic scenario 452.79 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the OHTL Public Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 341.98 THB, about +22% upside versus a price of 280.00 THB (undervalued). Cautious scenario 241.94 THB, optimistic scenario 452.79 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL)?
OHTL Public Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.8B THB (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
What growth is priced into OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, OHTL Public Company Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +5.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +22.5 % per year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of OHTL use?
Our models discount OHTL Public Company Limited at 13.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.12, country premium for Thailand. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For OHTL Public Company Limited that is +5.0 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (13.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at OHTL Public Company Limited grew +22.5 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +5.0 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into OHTL Public Company Limited (+5.0 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 11.40 %: that much free cash flow OHTL Public Company Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For OHTL Public Company Limited it is 341.98 THB per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of 280.00 THB. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is OHTL Public Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, OHTL trades below its calculated fair value: price 280.00 THB, fair value 341.98 THB, a gap of about +22% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OHTL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (280.00 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (341.98 THB). For OHTL Public Company Limited the two are 61.98 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is OHTL Public Company Limited worth?
The market values OHTL Public Company Limited at about 4.2B THB (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is 280.00 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 341.98 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OHTL?
Our models span a range for OHTL Public Company Limited: cautious scenario 241.94 THB, base 341.98 THB, optimistic 452.79 THB per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price 280.00 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of OHTL?
OHTL Public Company Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.6 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 341.98 THB is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 7 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 27.9. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, P/S 1.5, EV/EBITDA 6.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL)?
Balance-sheet figures for OHTL Public Company Limited (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 12.9%, debt of 0.36 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OHTL from its 52-week high?
OHTL Public Company Limited trades at 280.00 THB, about 15% below its 52-week high of 330.00 THB and 10% above the low of 254.00 THB (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 341.98 THB is for.
Which stocks are comparable to OHTL Public Company Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Marriott International, Inc, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Hyatt Hotels Corporation, H World Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is OHTL Public Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price 280.00 THB, calculated fair value 341.98 THB (+22%), Quality Score 51/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OHTL calculated?
We run OHTL Public Company Limited through 23 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 341.98 THB builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. OHTL Public Company Limited currently trades 18% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was 280.00 THB. Our model-based fair value is 341.98 THB, about +22% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with OHTL Public Company Limited right now?
Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (241.94 THB to 452.79 THB) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL) come from?
Earnings per share at OHTL Public Company Limited grew +8.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.1 %, EBIT margin +7.0 %, tax rate +0.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of OHTL Public Company Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL)?
The market capitalisation of OHTL Public Company Limited is 4.2B THB (≈ $126M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of OHTL Public Company Limited is 1.50 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL)?
Earnings per share at OHTL Public Company Limited are 24.19 THB (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL)?
The net margin of OHTL Public Company Limited is 13.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of OHTL Public Company Limited is 12.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of OHTL Public Company Limited is 3.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL)?
The operating margin of OHTL Public Company Limited is 8.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL)?
Revenue at OHTL Public Company Limited is growing +32.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL)?
Earnings per share at OHTL Public Company Limited are growing −0.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL) carry?
The net debt of OHTL Public Company Limited is 2.1B THB (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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