OHTL Public Company (OHTL) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · TH · Market cap 3.9B THB
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from 455.65 THB to 411.87 THB (−9.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −0.4% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 56% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (274.72 THB). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (274.72 THB to 549.01 THB) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 254.00 THB – 546.00 THB · fair‑value band 274.72 THB – 549.01 THB · the 264.00 THB price screens below the 411.87 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
OHTL Public Company (OHTL) currently trades at 264.00 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 411.87 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 56.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, OHTL Public Company generated revenue of 2.6B THB at a net margin of 11.9%. Revenue grew 13.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.0%. Net debt stands at 2.1B THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 274.72 THB (bear case) to 549.01 THB (bull case); at 264.00 THB, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -62% fair-value upside, at 56%, OHTL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (409.15 THB) versus Asset-Based (124.13 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
OHTL Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the operation of hotels and restaurants in Thailand. The company operates in two segments, Hotel Operation and Food and Beverage. It is also involved in cooking school; and land and building leasing.
Full company description
OHTL Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the operation of hotels and restaurants in Thailand. The company operates in two segments, Hotel Operation and Food and Beverage. It is also involved in cooking school; and land and building leasing. The company was formerly known as The Oriental Hotel (Thailand) Public Company Limited and changed its name to OHTL Public Company Limited in November 2008. OHTL Public Company Limited was founded in 1876 and is based in Bangkok, Thailand.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
OHTL Public Company reported revenue of 2.5B THB in FY2025 versus 562M THB in FY2021, a compound +45.6%/yr. Reported net income was 314M THB in FY2025.
of which total revenue +3.1 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Lodging · 168 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Lodging median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marriott International, Inc MAR | $369.05 | $135.64 | -63% |
| Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT | $328.48 | $123.67 | -62% |
| InterContinental Hotels Group IHG | $159.87 | $85.18 | -47% |
| Hyatt Hotels Corporation H | $191.00 | $47.69 | -75% |
| H World Group HTHT | $42.67 | $47.55 | +11% |
| Accor SA AC | €47.25 | €39.26 | -17% |
| The Indian Hotels Company INDHOTEL | ₹743.20 | ₹260.68 | -65% |
| Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc WH | $78.54 | $24.02 | -69% |
| Hanjin Kal, 180640 | 113,500 KRW | 36,890 KRW | -67% |
| Jabal Omar Development Company 4250 | 16.00 SAR | 11.64 SAR | -27% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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