OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of OHTL Public Company Limited THB 342, price THB 265, upside +29.1%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 254.00 THB – 546.00 THB · fair‑value band 241.94 THB – 452.79 THB · the 265.00 THB price screens below the 341.98 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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OHTL Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the operation of hotels and restaurants in Thailand. The company operates in two segments, Hotel Operation and Food and Beverage. It is also involved in cooking school; and land and building leasing.
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OHTL Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the operation of hotels and restaurants in Thailand. The company operates in two segments, Hotel Operation and Food and Beverage. It is also involved in cooking school; and land and building leasing. The company was formerly known as The Oriental Hotel (Thailand) Public Company Limited and changed its name to OHTL Public Company Limited in November 2008. OHTL Public Company Limited was founded in 1876 and is based in Bangkok, Thailand.
Stock analysis
OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL) currently trades at 265.00 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 341.98 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 22.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 372.65 THB per share, and 12 of the 23 models we run sit above the 265.00 THB price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 124.13 THB, and 11 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 241.94 THB (bear) to 452.79 THB (bull), the price of 265.00 THB sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
OHTL Public Company Limited reported revenue of 2.5B THB in FY2025 versus 562M THB in FY2021, a compound +45.6%/yr. Reported net income was 314M THB in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 4.0B THB (≈ $120M) · P/E ratio 12.8 · P/S ratio 1.59 · EPS (TTM) 20.74 THB · Net margin 12.4% · Return on equity 11.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.9% · Operating margin 26.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at 29%, OHTL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 241.94 THBFair Value 341.98 THBBull 452.79 THB
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (15.23 THB per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.89/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.8% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in THB ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in THB: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+19.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+19.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−54% → 18%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+4.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Thailand: IMF forecast 1.2% a year to 2030, 1.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +2.9% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Lodging · 168 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Below median
Fair Value upside+29% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)11% · Top 25%
Return on assets5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)12% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)27% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth13% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.36× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Lodging median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "OHTL Public Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OHTL
Frequently asked questions
Is OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 341.98 THB versus a price of 265.00 THB, about +29% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of OHTL?
Our model-based fair value for OHTL Public Company Limited is 341.98 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 265.00 THB.
What is the quality score of OHTL?
OHTL Public Company Limited has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 341.98 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario 241.94 THB, optimistic scenario 452.79 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the OHTL Public Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 341.98 THB, about +29% upside versus a price of 265.00 THB (undervalued). Cautious scenario 241.94 THB, optimistic scenario 452.79 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL)?
OHTL Public Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.6B THB (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, OHTL Public Company Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +4.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +22.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of OHTL use?
Our models discount OHTL Public Company Limited at 13.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.12, country premium for Thailand. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For OHTL Public Company Limited that is +4.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at OHTL Public Company Limited grew +22.5 % a year. The price currently implies +4.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into OHTL Public Company Limited (+4.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.05 %: that much free cash flow OHTL Public Company Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For OHTL Public Company Limited it is 341.98 THB per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 265.00 THB. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is OHTL Public Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, OHTL trades below its calculated fair value: price 265.00 THB, fair value 341.98 THB, a gap of about +29% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OHTL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (265.00 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (341.98 THB). For OHTL Public Company Limited the two are 76.98 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is OHTL Public Company Limited worth?
The market values OHTL Public Company Limited at about 4.0B THB (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 265.00 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 341.98 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OHTL?
Our models span a range for OHTL Public Company Limited: cautious scenario 241.94 THB, base 341.98 THB, optimistic 452.79 THB per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 265.00 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of OHTL?
OHTL Public Company Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 341.98 THB is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.4, P/S 1.5, EV/EBITDA 6.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL)?
Balance-sheet figures for OHTL Public Company Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 11.0%, debt of 0.36 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OHTL from its 52-week high?
OHTL Public Company Limited trades at 265.00 THB, about 21% below its 52-week high of 334.00 THB and 4% above the low of 254.00 THB (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 341.98 THB is for.
Which stocks are comparable to OHTL Public Company Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Marriott International, Inc, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, InterContinental Hotels Group, Hyatt Hotels Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is OHTL Public Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 265.00 THB, calculated fair value 341.98 THB (+29%), Quality Score 51/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OHTL calculated?
We run OHTL Public Company Limited through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 341.98 THB, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. OHTL Public Company Limited currently trades 29 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 265.00 THB. Our model-based fair value is 341.98 THB, about +29% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with OHTL Public Company Limited right now?
Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (241.94 THB to 452.79 THB) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL) come from?
Earnings per share at OHTL Public Company Limited grew +8.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.1 %, EBIT margin +7.0 %, tax rate +0.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of OHTL Public Company Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL)?
The market capitalisation of OHTL Public Company Limited is 4.0B THB (≈ $120M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of OHTL Public Company Limited is 1.59 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL)?
Earnings per share at OHTL Public Company Limited are 20.74 THB (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL)?
The net margin of OHTL Public Company Limited is 12.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of OHTL Public Company Limited is 11.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of OHTL Public Company Limited is 3.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL)?
The operating margin of OHTL Public Company Limited is 26.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL)?
Revenue at OHTL Public Company Limited is growing +13.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL)?
Earnings per share at OHTL Public Company Limited are growing −0.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does OHTL Public Company Limited (OHTL) carry?
The net debt of OHTL Public Company Limited is 2.1B THB (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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