OPC Energy Ltd (OPCE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of OPC Energy Ltd stock ILS 65.99, price ILS 85.71, that is 23.0% below the price, quality 36 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 20 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 21.62 ILS – 135.20 ILS · fair‑value band 51.12 ILS – 85.79 ILS · the 85.71 ILS price screens above the 65.99 ILS fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 1, 2026.
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OPC Energy Ltd. engages in the development, construction, operation, generation, and supply of electricity and energy in Israel. The company operates through three segments: Israel, US Renewable Energies, and US Energy Transition. It produces and supplies electricity to private customers.
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The company generates electricity from solar, wind, and water or waste.
It operates the Rotem power plant with an installed capacity of 466 megawatts (MW); Hadera power plant with an installed capacity of 144 MW; Zomet power plant with an installed capacity of 396 MW; Sorek 2 plant with an installed capacity of up to 87 MW; and Gat power plant with an installed capacity of 75 MW, as well as on-site power generation facilities with an installed capacity of over 120 MW. The company was formerly known as IC Power Israel Ltd. and changed its name to OPC Energy Ltd. in July 2017.
The company was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel. OPC Energy Ltd. was formerly a subsidiary of Kenon Holdings Ltd.
Stock analysis
OPC Energy Ltd (OPCE) currently trades at 85.71 ILS, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 65.99 ILS, 23% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 18.33 ILS per share, and 0 of the 20 models we run sit above the 85.71 ILS price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 11.92 ILS, and 20 of the 20 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 51.12 ILS (bear) to 85.79 ILS (bull), the price of 85.71 ILS sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
OPC Energy Ltd reported revenue of 3.0B ILS in FY2025 versus 1.6B ILS in FY2021, a compound +17.5%/yr. Reported net income was 346M ILS in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 27.0B ILS Mid · P/E ratio 73.9 · P/S ratio 8.52 · EPS (TTM) 1.16 ILS · Net margin 11.5% · Return on equity 6.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.9% · Operating margin 13.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −48% fair-value upside, at −23%, OPCE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (2.46 ILS to 36.00 ILS). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear51.12 ILSFair Value 65.99 ILSBull85.79 ILS
Price 85.71 ILS · Downside -23.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.9852 ILS per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF14.35 ILS27.74 ILS48.61 ILS76
Growth DCF14.20 ILS26.39 ILS44.55 ILS75
5Y EBITDA Exit5.44 ILS10.77 ILS16.98 ILS72
All 20 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF14.35 ILS27.74 ILS48.61 ILS76
Owner Earnings6.99 ILS15.47 ILS28.69 ILS71
5Y Revenue Exit3.19 ILS6.21 ILS9.74 ILS70
5Y EBITDA Exit5.44 ILS10.77 ILS16.98 ILS72
5Y P/E Exit10.22 ILS20.40 ILS31.66 ILS68
10Y Revenue Exit7.05 ILS11.11 ILS16.29 ILS65
10Y EBITDA Exit8.55 ILS14.24 ILS21.92 ILS66
10Y P/E Exit11.54 ILS20.87 ILS33.36 ILS61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd7.58 ILS32.59 ILS44.53 ILS64
Lynch FV8.35 ILS11.92 ILS15.50 ILS61
PEG = 1.08.35 ILS11.92 ILS15.50 ILS57
Multiples
P/E Multiple15.06 ILS20.08 ILS25.09 ILS63
P/S Multiple13.74 ILS18.32 ILS22.90 ILS57
P/B Multiple27.00 ILS36.00 ILS45.00 ILS55
EV/EBITDA0.1600 ILS2.46 ILS4.77 ILS57
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)10.00 ILS13.40 ILS20.00 ILS53
Growth DCF
Growth DCF14.20 ILS26.39 ILS44.55 ILS75
Rev-Margin DCF3.19 ILS6.49 ILS10.73 ILS69
Economic Profit
Residual Income15.59 ILS15.65 ILS16.53 ILS71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E12.83 ILS18.33 ILS23.83 ILS67
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a year distorted by one-off effects.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.0% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
−9.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−9.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.6.2% vs 1.6%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 4%
2025 sits 89% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+27.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Israel: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +25.1% a year for the price.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (26 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
AI conclusion: The business gains from consolidating full ownership of large-scale US gas plants in PJM with lower-cost refinancing, yet remains constrained by high leverage above equity and only modest returns without a clear moat.
Main risk: Ongoing regulatory hurdles in the PJM market after FERC rejected the data center framework could limit capacity and reduce generation revenues for the gas-fired assets.
OPC Energy is consolidating ownership of its large US gas-fired plants, as shown by the recent refinancing that cuts borrowing costs and unlocks a distribution. At the same time the company is exiting smaller distributed generation assets in Israel. Will the synergies from full control of scale assets in the PJM market more than compensate for any reduced exposure to the Israeli market?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Independent Power Producers · 77 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−23.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)6.3% · Below median
Return on assets3.1% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)12.0% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)13.5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)94.4% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.81× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Independent Power Producers median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "OPC Energy Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OPCE
Frequently asked questions
Is OPC Energy Ltd (OPCE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 65.99 ILS versus a price of 85.71 ILS, about 23% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OPCE?
Our model-based fair value for OPC Energy Ltd is 65.99 ILS (as of Nov 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 85.71 ILS.
What is the quality score of OPCE?
OPC Energy Ltd has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for OPC Energy Ltd (OPCE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 65.99 ILS (as of Nov 1, 2026) from 20 valuation models. Cautious scenario 51.12 ILS, optimistic scenario 85.79 ILS. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the OPC Energy Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 65.99 ILS, about 23% lower versus a price of 85.71 ILS (overvalued). Cautious scenario 51.12 ILS, optimistic scenario 85.79 ILS. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of OPC Energy Ltd (OPCE)?
OPC Energy Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.3B ILS (latest available figure, as of Nov 1, 2026).
What growth is priced into OPC Energy Ltd (OPCE)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, OPC Energy Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +27.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +17.8 % per year. As of Nov 1, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of OPCE use?
Our models discount OPC Energy Ltd at 10.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.25, country premium for Israel. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For OPC Energy Ltd that is +27.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has OPC Energy Ltd (OPCE) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at OPC Energy Ltd grew +17.8 % a year. The price currently implies +27.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of OPC Energy Ltd (OPCE) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into OPC Energy Ltd (+27.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of OPC Energy Ltd (OPCE)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.26 %: that much free cash flow OPC Energy Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of OPC Energy Ltd (OPCE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For OPC Energy Ltd it is 65.99 ILS per share (as of Nov 1, 2026), against a price of 85.71 ILS. It is the blended result of 20 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is OPC Energy Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 1, 2026, OPCE trades above its calculated fair value: price 85.71 ILS, fair value 65.99 ILS, a gap of about −23% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OPCE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (85.71 ILS); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (65.99 ILS). For OPC Energy Ltd the two are 19.72 ILS per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is OPC Energy Ltd worth?
The market values OPC Energy Ltd at about 27.0B ILS (market capitalisation, as of Nov 1, 2026). Per share that is 85.71 ILS; our models calculate a fair value of 65.99 ILS per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OPCE?
Our models span a range for OPC Energy Ltd: cautious scenario 51.12 ILS, base 65.99 ILS, optimistic 85.79 ILS per share (as of Nov 1, 2026, price 85.71 ILS). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of OPCE?
OPC Energy Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 73.9 (as of Nov 1, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 65.99 ILS is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.3, P/S 8.5, EV/EBITDA 67.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of OPC Energy Ltd (OPCE)?
Balance-sheet figures for OPC Energy Ltd (as of Nov 1, 2026): return on equity 6.3%, debt of 0.81 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OPCE from its 52-week high?
OPC Energy Ltd trades at 85.71 ILS, about 37% below its 52-week high of 135.20 ILS and 42% above the low of 60.48 ILS (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 65.99 ILS is for.
Which stocks are comparable to OPC Energy Ltd?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value Constellation Energy Corporation, Vistra Corp, Adani Power Limited, CGN Power Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is OPC Energy Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 1, 2026: price 85.71 ILS, calculated fair value 65.99 ILS (−23%), Quality Score 36/100, from 20 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OPCE calculated?
We run OPC Energy Ltd through 20 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 65.99 ILS, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.6% above its aggregate fair value. OPC Energy Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of OPC Energy Ltd (OPCE)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was 85.71 ILS. Our model-based fair value is 65.99 ILS, about 23% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with OPC Energy Ltd right now?
Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of OPC Energy Ltd (OPCE) come from?
Earnings per share at OPC Energy Ltd grew −3.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −1.6 %, EBIT margin −4.0 %, tax rate −1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +3.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of OPC Energy Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of OPC Energy Ltd (OPCE)?
The market capitalisation of OPC Energy Ltd is 27.0B ILS. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of OPC Energy Ltd (OPCE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of OPC Energy Ltd is 8.52 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of OPC Energy Ltd (OPCE)?
Earnings per share at OPC Energy Ltd are 1.16 ILS (price ÷ EPS = P/E 73.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of OPC Energy Ltd (OPCE)?
The net margin of OPC Energy Ltd is 11.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of OPC Energy Ltd (OPCE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of OPC Energy Ltd is 6.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of OPC Energy Ltd (OPCE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of OPC Energy Ltd is 2.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of OPC Energy Ltd (OPCE)?
The operating margin of OPC Energy Ltd is 13.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at OPC Energy Ltd (OPCE)?
Revenue at OPC Energy Ltd is growing +94.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at OPC Energy Ltd (OPCE)?
Earnings per share at OPC Energy Ltd are growing +742% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does OPC Energy Ltd (OPCE) carry?
The net debt of OPC Energy Ltd is 2.8B ILS (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Nov 1, 2026