OPC Energy Ltd (OPCE) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · Il · Market cap 29.8B ILA
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Share price −6.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 83% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (20.15 ILA). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 22.70 ILA – 141.95 ILA · fair‑value band 12.10 ILA – 20.15 ILA · the 96.59 ILA price screens above the 15.94 ILA fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
OPC Energy Ltd (OPCE) currently trades at 96.59 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 15.94 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 83.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, OPC Energy Ltd generated revenue of 1.1B ILA at a net margin of 9.6%. Revenue grew 73.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.8%. Net debt stands at 2.8B ILA. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 12.10 ILA (bear case) to 20.15 ILA (bull case); at 96.59 ILA, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -83%, OPCE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (19.42 ILA) versus Growth DCF (6.98 ILA). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
OPC Energy Ltd. engages in the development, construction, operation, generation, and supply of electricity and energy in Israel. The company operates through three segments: Israel, US Renewable Energies, and US Energy Transition. It produces and supplies electricity to private customers.
Full company description
OPC Energy Ltd. engages in the development, construction, operation, generation, and supply of electricity and energy in Israel. The company operates through three segments: Israel, US Renewable Energies, and US Energy Transition. It produces and supplies electricity to private customers. The company generates electricity from solar, wind, and water or waste. It operates the Rotem power plant with an installed capacity of 466 megawatts (MW); Hadera power plant with an installed capacity of 144 MW; Zomet power plant with an installed capacity of 396 MW; Sorek 2 plant with an installed capacity of up to 87 MW; and Gat power plant with an installed capacity of 75 MW, as well as on-site power generation facilities with an installed capacity of over 120 MW. The company was formerly known as IC Power Israel Ltd. and changed its name to OPC Energy Ltd. in July 2017. The company was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel. OPC Energy Ltd. was formerly a subsidiary of Kenon Holdings Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
OPC Energy Ltd reported revenue of 3.0B ILA in FY2025 versus 1.6B ILA in FY2021, a compound +17.5%/yr. Reported net income was 346M ILA in FY2025.
OPCE screens 83% overvalued. Compare with Constellation Energy Corporation →
Peer Group
Utilities - Independent Power Producers · 79 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Independent Power Producers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Independent Power Producers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Constellation Energy Corporation CEG | $257.57 | $89.08 | -65% |
| Vistra Corp VST | $158.86 | $47.59 | -70% |
| Adani Power Limited ADANIPOWER | ₹218.45 | ₹75.57 | -65% |
| CGN Power Co 003816 | ¥3.88 | ¥3.13 | -19% |
| NRG Energy, Inc NRG | $137.90 | $56.02 | -59% |
| Gulf Development Public Company GULF | 67.50 THB | 40.44 THB | -40% |
| Adani Energy Solutions Limited ADANIENSOL | ₹1,730 | ₹342.02 | -80% |
| Talen Energy Corporation TLN | $372.37 | $44.67 | -88% |
| Datang International Power Generation Co 601991 | ¥5.80 | ¥4.95 | -15% |
| Power Assets Holdings 0006 | HK$58.45 | HK$31.90 | -45% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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