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Quadient SA (QDT) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Quadient SA stock €21.95, price €14.74, upside +48.9%, quality 45 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 12 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Technology FR · ISIN FR0000120560

QS Quadient SA logo Some data Nov 6, 2026

Quadient SA

QDT · PA
Speculative

The stock costs 33% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value €21.95 · Undervalued (33%)
Generates free cash flow
5.1% dividend yield · Cash covered
Quality 45/100
Moderate debt
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Some data
Profit last quarter 59% below a year ago.
Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.1 %/yr in EUR)
Loss-making · -7.8% net margin (TTM)
Narrow moat 26/100 · thin data
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Price vs Fair Value

€21.04 €10.72 Fair Value €21.95 Sep 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €10.72 – €21.04 · fair‑value band €9.87 – €39.79 · the €14.74 price screens below the €21.95 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.

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Company profile

Quadient S.A. provides digital, mail, and lockers for customers through digital and physical channels in North America, Austria, Benelux, France, Germany, Ireland, Italy, Switzerland, and the United Kingdom, and internationally.

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It provides open network infrastructure, as well as sells and rents lockers.

The company also offers Inspire Evolve, a SaaS customer communication management; Inspire Flex, an enterprise customer communication management; Inspire iForms, enterprise forms automation software; Inspire Journey, a customer journey mapping software; Impress automate, for document preparation; and Impress Distribute, automated document delivery solutions.

In addition, it supplies software, equipment, and services for managing incoming and outgoing mails; and provides a hardware and software platform that facilitates invoicing and customer communications, multichannel mail processing, last-mile parcel delivery, and the consolidation of their returns.

Further, the company operates a pick-up, drop-off solution that offers businesses and people who need to manage their deliveries and returns; and postage meters and mailing systems, folder inserters, mail openers, digital printers and addressing, parcel shipping and tracking solutions, smart mailing software, and ink and supplies, as well as offers small business mailing and shipping, mail automation, production mail, and healthcare solutions.

Additionally, it provides invoice automation, purchase orders, expenses, and payments; and credit management, invoice delivery, collections workflows, dispute management, customer payments, cash application, and analytics and AI. It serves the financial services, healthcare, logistics, higher education, insurance, and retail industries, as well as service provider industries.

The company was formerly known as Neopost S.A. and changed its name to Quadient S.A. in September 2019. Quadient S.A. was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in Bagneux, France.

Stock analysis

Quadient SA (QDT) currently trades at €14.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €21.95, implying the stock looks roughly 33% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €64.41 per share, and 8 of the 12 models we run sit above the €14.74 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €11.30, and 4 of the 12 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: €9.87 (bear) to €39.79 (bull), the price of €14.74 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.

Quadient SA reported revenue of €1.0B in FY2026 versus €1.0B in FY2022, a compound +0.3%/yr. Reported net income was −€67.0M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap €507M Small · P/E ex one-offs 8.2 · P/S ratio 0.50 · EPS (TTM) €−2.03 · Dividend yield 5.1% · Net margin −7.8% · Return on equity −7.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.0% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 26 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 49%, QDT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €9.87 Fair Value €21.95 Bull €39.79
Price €14.74 · Upside +48.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF €3.94 €8.94 €17.59 75
Growth DCF €4.44 €9.18 €16.73 75
EPV €8.32 €11.30 €13.76 74
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €3.94 €8.94 €17.59 75
5Y Revenue Exit €9.87 €21.95 €39.79 69
5Y EBITDA Exit €33.93 €63.14 €102.36 73
10Y Revenue Exit €6.36 €14.86 €24.26 64
10Y EBITDA Exit €20.10 €38.15 €58.28 67
Earnings-Based
EPV €8.32 €11.30 €13.76 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT €43.31 €64.41 €85.52 65
EV/EBITDA €65.14 €93.53 €121.91 67
EV/Revenue €12.00 €25.72 €39.44 51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €4.44 €9.18 €16.73 75
Rev-Margin DCF €9.87 €22.45 €37.97 69
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder €8.32 €11.30 €13.76 72

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 19
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 27
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 31
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 88
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 61
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 57
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 50
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 75
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 23/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.1%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −1.4% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
13.1% (2021) → 11.6% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+18.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+1.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +15.9% a year for the price and −1.0% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2027 (sales)−5.3%
Forecast 2028 (sales)+3.0%
Projected 2029 (sales)+2.9%
Projected 2030 (sales)+2.8%
Projected 2031 (sales)+2.7%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 630 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 45 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +48.9% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −2.8% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) −7.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 13.8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −3.7% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 5.1% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.64× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.52× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (12 months) 0.50× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 11.0× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 6.3× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 2.20× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)99 · sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 40
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)68 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 29

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Adobe Inc ADBE $239.30 $463.72 +94% vs QDT
Salesforce, Inc CRM $213.65 $342.73 +60% vs QDT
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $68.59 $101.28 +48% vs QDT
Intuit Inc INTU $341.50 $459.14 +34% vs QDT
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $101.97 $112.60 +10% vs QDT
SAP SE SAP €210.75 €173.59 −18% vs QDT
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $319.92 $225.48 −30% vs QDT
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $303.35 $150.40 −50% vs QDT
Shopify Inc SHOP $148.91 $64.96 −56% vs QDT
Snowflake Inc SNOW $275.88 $73.81 −73% vs QDT

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Quadient SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/QDT

Frequently asked questions

Is Quadient SA (QDT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €21.95 versus a price of €14.74, about +49% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of QDT?
Our model-based fair value for Quadient SA is €21.95 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €14.74.
What is the quality score of QDT?
Quadient SA has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Quadient SA (QDT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €21.95 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario €9.87, optimistic scenario €39.79. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Quadient SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €21.95, about +49% upside versus a price of €14.74 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €9.87, optimistic scenario €39.79. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Quadient SA (QDT)?
Quadient SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.0B (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Quadient SA pay a dividend?
Quadient SA currently shows a dividend yield of 5.09% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Quadient SA (QDT) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Quadient SA pays a dividend of €0.75 per share a year, a dividend yield of 5.1%. The last ex-dividend date was Aug 4, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2003. Free cash flow covers the dividend 1.80 times. Our assessment: Cash covered. The dividend is fully funded by free cash flow. The payout ratio on earnings is not available for this company.
What growth is priced into Quadient SA (QDT)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Quadient SA would have to grow free cash flow by +18.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +0.1 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of QDT use?
Our models discount Quadient SA at 11.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.93, country premium for France. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Quadient SA that is +18.5 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Quadient SA (QDT) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Quadient SA grew +0.1 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +18.5 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Quadient SA (QDT) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +11.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Quadient SA (+18.5 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Quadient SA (QDT)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.07 %: that much free cash flow Quadient SA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Quadient SA (QDT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Quadient SA it is €21.95 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of €14.74. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models in 5 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit).
Is Quadient SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, QDT trades below its calculated fair value: price €14.74, fair value €21.95, a gap of about +49% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of QDT?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€14.74); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€21.95). For Quadient SA the two are €7.21 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Quadient SA worth?
The market values Quadient SA at about €507M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is €14.74; our models calculate a fair value of €21.95 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about QDT?
Our models span a range for Quadient SA: cautious scenario €9.87, base €21.95, optimistic €39.79 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price €14.74). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of QDT?
The PEG ratio of Quadient SA is 2.20 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 6, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Quadient SA (QDT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Quadient SA (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity −7.0%, debt of 0.64 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is QDT from its 52-week high?
Quadient SA trades at €14.74, about 12% below its 52-week high of €16.74 and 37% above the low of €10.78 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €21.95 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Quadient SA?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Salesforce, Inc, Shopify Inc, ServiceNow, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Quadient SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price €14.74, calculated fair value €21.95 (+49%), Quality Score 45/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of QDT calculated?
We run Quadient SA through 12 models from 5 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of €21.95 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Quadient SA currently trades 33% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Quadient SA (QDT)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was €14.74. Our model-based fair value is €21.95, about +49% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Quadient SA right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (45/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The model range is unusually wide (€9.87 to €39.79). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Where does the earnings growth of Quadient SA (QDT) come from?
Earnings per share at Quadient SA grew −6.0 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +0.6 %, EBIT margin −4.4 %, tax rate +0.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Quadient SA

How large is the market capitalisation of Quadient SA (QDT)?
The market capitalisation of Quadient SA is €507M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Quadient SA (QDT) excluding one-off items?
Excluding one-off items, the price-to-earnings ratio of Quadient SA is 8.2 (fiscal year 2026, the reported result was a loss, median at FY-end 9.8 (10 FY)).
What is the P/S ratio of Quadient SA (QDT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Quadient SA is 0.50 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Quadient SA (QDT)?
Earnings per share at Quadient SA are €−2.03. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Quadient SA (QDT)?
The dividend yield of Quadient SA is 5.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Quadient SA (QDT)?
The net margin of Quadient SA is −7.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Quadient SA (QDT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Quadient SA is −7.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Quadient SA (QDT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Quadient SA is 5.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Quadient SA (QDT)?
The operating margin of Quadient SA is 13.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Quadient SA (QDT)?
Revenue at Quadient SA is growing −3.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Quadient SA (QDT)?
Earnings per share at Quadient SA are growing −58.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Quadient SA (QDT) carry?
The net debt of Quadient SA is €682M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 14.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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