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SIFCO Industries Inc (SIF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of SIFCO Industries Inc stock $3.80, price $16.77, that is 77.3% below the price, quality 56 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 5 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials US

SI SIFCO Industries Inc logo Some data Nov 8, 2026

SIFCO Industries Inc

SIF · US
Solid, but very expensive

Our calculation puts a fair price 77% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Generates free cash flow over the last twelve months
Positive coverage
Revenue last quarter +18% vs. a year ago.
Quality 56/100
Thin margins · 4.0% net margin (TTM)
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Some data
Fair value $3.80 · Strongly overvalued
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −5.7 %/yr in USD)
Narrow moat 31/100 · thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$28.23 $2.16 Fair Value $3.80 Jul 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.16 – $28.23 · fair‑value band $3.00 – $5.17 · the $16.77 price screens above the $3.80 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

SIFCO Industries, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells forgings and machined components primarily for the aerospace and energy, and defense and commercial space markets in the United States and internationally.

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The company's processes and services include forging, heat-treating, chemical processing, and machining.

It also offers original equipment manufacturer (OEM) and aftermarket components for aircraft and industrial gas turbine engines; steam turbine blades; structural airframe components; aircraft landing gear components; aircraft wheels and brakes; rotating components for helicopters; and commercial/industrial products.

In addition, the company provides heat-treatment, surface-treatment, non-destructive testing, and select machining and sub-assembly of forged components. SIFCO Industries, Inc. was founded in 1913 and is headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio.

Stock analysis

SIFCO Industries Inc (SIF) currently trades at $16.77, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.80, 77% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $7.35 per share, and 0 of the 5 models we run sit above the $16.77 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $3.58, and 5 of the 5 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $3.00 (bear) to $5.17 (bull), the price of $16.77 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

SIFCO Industries Inc reported revenue of $84.8M in FY2025 versus $99.6M in FY2021, a compound −3.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$718K in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $103M Micro · P/E ratio 27.5 · P/S ratio 1.04 · EPS (TTM) $0.6100 · Net margin 4.0% · Return on equity 10.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −5.9% (5-year average) · Operating margin 1.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 31 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 211% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −77%, SIF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely ($0.0600 to $7.35). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear $3.00 Fair Value $3.80 Bull $5.17
Price $16.77 · Downside -77.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.6100 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Owner Earnings $3.00 $3.80 $5.17 78
EPV $0.0500 $0.0600 $0.0700 74
ROIC Compounder $0.0500 $0.0600 $0.0700 72
All 5 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $3.00 $3.80 $5.17 78
Earnings-Based
EPV $0.0500 $0.0600 $0.0700 74
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $4.64 $7.35 $10.06 66
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.67 $3.58 $5.34 54
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $0.0500 $0.0600 $0.0700 72

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 30
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 86
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 10
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 53
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 41
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 46
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 75
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 70
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 20/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.5% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.7% (2020) → 0.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

SIF screens overvalued: fair value 77% below the price. Compare with General Electric Company →

Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (26 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 238 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside −77.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 10.1% · Below median
Return on assets −1.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) 4.0% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 1.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 18.3% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.07× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 27.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.80× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 1.04× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 11.2× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.64× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)92 · sector 65
PAST (return on equity)40 · sector 41
HEALTH (low debt)97 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 19

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
TransDigm Group TDG $1,197 $1,317 +10% vs SIF
Honeywell Aerospace Inc HONA $152.92 $168.21 +10% vs SIF
Lockheed Martin Corporation LMT $567.08 $439.21 −23% vs SIF
General Dynamics Corporation GD $354.06 $274.19 −23% vs SIF
Thales S.A HO €221.70 €170.99 −23% vs SIF
Northrop Grumman Corporation NOC $525.01 $382.98 −27% vs SIF
Airbus SE AIR €196.40 €112.14 −43% vs SIF
RTX Corporation RTX $189.53 $88.19 −53% vs SIF
General Electric Company GE $323.24 $92.26 −71% vs SIF
Howmet Aerospace Inc HWM $205.81 $52.65 −74% vs SIF

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SIFCO Industries Inc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SIFCO Industries Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SIF

Frequently asked questions

Is SIFCO Industries Inc (SIF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.80 versus a price of $16.77, about 77% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SIF?
Our model-based fair value for SIFCO Industries Inc is $3.80 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $16.77.
What is the quality score of SIF?
SIFCO Industries Inc has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SIFCO Industries Inc (SIF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.80 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 5 valuation models. Cautious scenario $3.00, optimistic scenario $5.17. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SIFCO Industries Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.80, about 77% lower versus a price of $16.77 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $3.00, optimistic scenario $5.17. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SIFCO Industries Inc (SIF)?
SIFCO Industries Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $99.4M (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of SIFCO Industries Inc (SIF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SIFCO Industries Inc it is $3.80 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of $16.77. It is the blended result of 5 valuation models in 5 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is SIFCO Industries Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, SIF trades above its calculated fair value: price $16.77, fair value $3.80, a gap of about −77% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SIF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($16.77); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.80). For SIFCO Industries Inc the two are $12.97 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SIFCO Industries Inc worth?
The market values SIFCO Industries Inc at about $103M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is $16.77; our models calculate a fair value of $3.80 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SIF?
Our models span a range for SIFCO Industries Inc: cautious scenario $3.00, base $3.80, optimistic $5.17 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price $16.77). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SIF?
SIFCO Industries Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 27.5 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $3.80 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.6, P/B 2.8, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 11.2.
What is the PEG ratio of SIF?
The PEG ratio of SIFCO Industries Inc is 1.64 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 8, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of SIFCO Industries Inc (SIF)?
Balance-sheet figures for SIFCO Industries Inc (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 10.1%, debt of 0.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SIF from its 52-week high?
SIFCO Industries Inc trades at $16.77, about 41% below its 52-week high of $28.23 and 211% above the low of $5.40 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.80 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SIFCO Industries Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Lockheed Martin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SIFCO Industries Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price $16.77, calculated fair value $3.80 (−77%), Quality Score 56/100, from 5 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SIF calculated?
We run SIFCO Industries Inc through 5 models from 5 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $3.80 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. SIFCO Industries Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SIFCO Industries Inc (SIF)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $16.77. Our model-based fair value is $3.80, about 77% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SIFCO Industries Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($5.17). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of SIFCO Industries Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of SIFCO Industries Inc (SIF)?
The market capitalisation of SIFCO Industries Inc is $103M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SIFCO Industries Inc (SIF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SIFCO Industries Inc is 1.04 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SIFCO Industries Inc (SIF)?
Earnings per share at SIFCO Industries Inc are $0.6100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 27.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of SIFCO Industries Inc (SIF)?
The net margin of SIFCO Industries Inc is 4.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SIFCO Industries Inc (SIF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SIFCO Industries Inc is 10.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SIFCO Industries Inc (SIF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SIFCO Industries Inc is −5.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SIFCO Industries Inc (SIF)?
The operating margin of SIFCO Industries Inc is 1.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SIFCO Industries Inc (SIF)?
Revenue at SIFCO Industries Inc is growing +18.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SIFCO Industries Inc (SIF)?
Earnings per share at SIFCO Industries Inc are growing +278% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does SIFCO Industries Inc (SIF) generate?
The free cash flow of SIFCO Industries Inc is −$555K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does SIFCO Industries Inc (SIF) carry?
The net debt of SIFCO Industries Inc is $21.8M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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