SIFCO Industries, Inc (SIF) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $128M

A solid business, but screening 91% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.56). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
• Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.16 – $28.23 · fair‑value band $2.02 – $3.56 · the $28.09 price screens above the $2.59 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

SIFCO Industries, Inc (SIF) currently trades at $28.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.59, implying the stock looks roughly 90.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, SIFCO Industries, Inc generated revenue of $95.3M at a net margin of 7.8%. Revenue grew 39.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.7%. Net debt stands at $21.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $2.02 (bear case) to $3.56 (bull case); at $28.09, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -91%, SIF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($31.60) versus Earnings-Based ($0.3453). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

SIFCO Industries, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells forgings and machined components primarily for the aerospace and energy, and defense and commercial space markets in the United States and internationally. The company's processes and services include forging, heat-treating, chemical processing, and machining.

Full company description

SIFCO Industries, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells forgings and machined components primarily for the aerospace and energy, and defense and commercial space markets in the United States and internationally. The company's processes and services include forging, heat-treating, chemical processing, and machining. It also offers original equipment manufacturer (OEM) and aftermarket components for aircraft and industrial gas turbine engines; steam turbine blades; structural airframe components; aircraft landing gear components; aircraft wheels and brakes; rotating components for helicopters; and commercial/industrial products. In addition, the company provides heat-treatment, surface-treatment, non-destructive testing, and select machining and sub-assembly of forged components. SIFCO Industries, Inc. was founded in 1913 and is headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

SIFCO Industries, Inc reported revenue of $84.8M in FY2025 versus $99.6M in FY2021, a compound −3.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$718K in FY2025.

SIF screens 91% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →

Peer Group

Aerospace & Defense · 226 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.