Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Selamat Sempurna Tbk stock IDR 1,961, price IDR 1,640, upside +19.6%, quality 78 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 885.91 IDR – 2,024 IDR · fair‑value band 1,261 IDR – 2,862 IDR · the 1,640 IDR price screens below the 1,961 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
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PT Selamat Sempurna Tbk manufactures and sells tools or equipment for vehicles, heavy equipment, and other machinery in Indonesia and internationally. It operates through Filter, Radiator, Body Maker, Trading, and Others segments.
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The company offers radiators under the ADR brand; dump hoists and body makers of dump trucks, trailers, mixers, and tanks; rubber, plastisol, brake and fuel pipes, fuel tanks, and mufflers; and filters for automotive, commercial, heavy equipment, marine, and industrial applications under the SAKURA brand name.
The company was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in North Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Selamat Sempurna Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Adrindo Intiperkasa.
Stock analysis
Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM) currently trades at 1,640 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,961 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 16% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 3,320 IDR per share, and 20 of the 26 models we run sit above the 1,640 IDR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 411.36 IDR, and 6 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 1,261 IDR (bear) to 2,862 IDR (bull), the price of 1,640 IDR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 78/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Selamat Sempurna Tbk reported revenue of 5.3T IDR in FY2025 versus 4.2T IDR in FY2021, a compound +6.4%/yr. Reported net income was 1.1T IDR in FY2025, compounding +14.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 9.4T IDR (≈ $525M) Small · P/E ratio 8.2 · P/S ratio 1.74 · EPS (TTM) 200.24 IDR · Dividend yield 4.9% · Net margin 21.1% · Return on equity 28.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 26.9% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 88 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at 20%, SMSM screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear1,261 IDRFair Value 1,961 IDRBull2,862 IDR
Price 1,640 IDR · Upside +19.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (103.11 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF1,661 IDR2,410 IDR3,433 IDR80
Growth DCF1,651 IDR2,328 IDR3,204 IDR79
Owner Earnings913.78 IDR1,285 IDR1,793 IDR77
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF1,661 IDR2,410 IDR3,433 IDR80
Owner Earnings913.78 IDR1,285 IDR1,793 IDR77
5Y Revenue Exit1,225 IDR1,737 IDR2,383 IDR73
5Y EBITDA Exit2,122 IDR3,493 IDR5,148 IDR74
5Y P/E Exit2,486 IDR4,206 IDR6,093 IDR70
10Y Revenue Exit1,372 IDR1,862 IDR2,522 IDR67
10Y EBITDA Exit1,902 IDR2,957 IDR4,450 IDR68
10Y P/E Exit2,109 IDR3,401 IDR5,110 IDR63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd1,328 IDR5,118 IDR6,937 IDR64
Lynch FV1,251 IDR1,787 IDR2,323 IDR61
PEG = 1.01,251 IDR1,787 IDR2,323 IDR57
EPV1,629 IDR1,811 IDR1,960 IDR74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM1,013 IDR1,738 IDR2,297 IDR68
DDM Multi-Stage1,013 IDR1,628 IDR1,865 IDR67
Multiples
P/E Multiple3,223 IDR4,297 IDR5,371 IDR63
P/S Multiple834.38 IDR1,113 IDR1,391 IDR58
P/B Multiple1,756 IDR2,341 IDR2,926 IDR55
EV/EBIT3,525 IDR4,647 IDR5,769 IDR66
EV/EBITDA2,690 IDR3,535 IDR4,379 IDR67
EV/Revenue936.27 IDR1,270 IDR1,604 IDR54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)271.50 IDR411.36 IDR514.20 IDR54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF1,651 IDR2,328 IDR3,204 IDR79
Rev-Margin DCF1,225 IDR1,750 IDR2,395 IDR73
Economic Profit
Residual Income952.83 IDR1,188 IDR1,809 IDR75
ROIC Compounder1,728 IDR2,037 IDR2,364 IDR72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E2,324 IDR3,320 IDR4,316 IDR67
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical peak year.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.92/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.7% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+19.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+14.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.14.3% vs 10.2%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.21% → 27%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−0.2%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −2.8% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 655 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score78 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+19.6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)28.8% · Top 25%
Return on assets21.8% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)21.1% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)27.9% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)8.9% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)4.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)8.2× · Cheapest 25%
P/B2.48× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)1.74× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)10.3× · Cheaper than median
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Is Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,961 IDR versus a price of 1,640 IDR, about +20% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SMSM?
Our model-based fair value for Selamat Sempurna Tbk is 1,961 IDR (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1,640 IDR.
What is the quality score of SMSM?
Selamat Sempurna Tbk has a Quality Score of 78/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1,961 IDR (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1,261 IDR, optimistic scenario 2,862 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Selamat Sempurna Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1,961 IDR, about +20% upside versus a price of 1,640 IDR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 1,261 IDR, optimistic scenario 2,862 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM)?
Selamat Sempurna Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.4T IDR (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does Selamat Sempurna Tbk pay a dividend?
Selamat Sempurna Tbk currently shows a dividend yield of 4.88% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Selamat Sempurna Tbk pays a dividend of 80.00 IDR per share a year, a dividend yield of 4.9%. The last ex-dividend date was Aug 7, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2005. The payout ratio is 40.0% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 1.99 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Selamat Sempurna Tbk would have to grow free cash flow by -0.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.6 % per year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SMSM use?
Our models discount Selamat Sempurna Tbk at 12.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.08, country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Selamat Sempurna Tbk that is -0.2 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (12.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Selamat Sempurna Tbk grew +10.6 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -0.2 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Selamat Sempurna Tbk (-0.2 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.73 %: that much free cash flow Selamat Sempurna Tbk produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Selamat Sempurna Tbk it is 1,961 IDR per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of 1,640 IDR. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Selamat Sempurna Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, SMSM trades below its calculated fair value: price 1,640 IDR, fair value 1,961 IDR, a gap of about +20% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SMSM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1,640 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1,961 IDR). For Selamat Sempurna Tbk the two are 320.97 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Selamat Sempurna Tbk worth?
The market values Selamat Sempurna Tbk at about 9.4T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is 1,640 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 1,961 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SMSM?
Our models span a range for Selamat Sempurna Tbk: cautious scenario 1,261 IDR, base 1,961 IDR, optimistic 2,862 IDR per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price 1,640 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SMSM?
Selamat Sempurna Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.2 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1,961 IDR is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2025 ex one-offs: 12.3. Other multiples: P/B 2.5, P/S 1.7, EV/EBITDA 4.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Selamat Sempurna Tbk (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 28.8%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 78/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SMSM from its 52-week high?
Selamat Sempurna Tbk trades at 1,640 IDR, about 10% below its 52-week high of 1,820 IDR and 13% above the low of 1,455 IDR (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1,961 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Selamat Sempurna Tbk?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Selamat Sempurna Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price 1,640 IDR, calculated fair value 1,961 IDR (+20%), Quality Score 78/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SMSM calculated?
We run Selamat Sempurna Tbk through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 1,961 IDR builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Selamat Sempurna Tbk currently trades 16% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 1,640 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 1,961 IDR, about +20% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Selamat Sempurna Tbk right now?
A fairly wide model range (1,261 IDR to 2,862 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM) come from?
Earnings per share at Selamat Sempurna Tbk grew +10.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.2 %, EBIT margin +1.9 %, tax rate +0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Selamat Sempurna Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM)?
The market capitalisation of Selamat Sempurna Tbk is 9.4T IDR (≈ $525M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Selamat Sempurna Tbk is 1.74 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM)?
Earnings per share at Selamat Sempurna Tbk are 200.24 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM)?
The dividend yield of Selamat Sempurna Tbk is 4.9% (payout 40.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM)?
The net margin of Selamat Sempurna Tbk is 21.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Selamat Sempurna Tbk is 28.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Selamat Sempurna Tbk is 26.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM)?
The operating margin of Selamat Sempurna Tbk is 27.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM)?
Revenue at Selamat Sempurna Tbk is growing +8.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM)?
Earnings per share at Selamat Sempurna Tbk are growing +13.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM) hold?
Selamat Sempurna Tbk holds more cash than debt, 907B IDR net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Nov 7, 2026