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PT Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · ID · Market cap 10.1T IDR

PS PT Selamat Sempurna Tbk SMSM · JK
Price1,715 IDR
Fair Value2,344 IDR
Upside+36.7%
Quality77/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 20.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/15)
Wide moat 87/100
Evidence: Medium Range 1,647 IDR – 2,904 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from 3,535 IDR to 2,344 IDR (−33.7%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +2.4% over the past month.

A strong business, screening 37% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (77/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • Our model range runs from 1,647 IDR (bear) to 2,904 IDR (bull), base 2,344 IDR. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 77/100 (high quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

2,024 IDR 829.67 IDR Fair Value 2,344 IDR Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 829.67 IDR – 2,024 IDR · fair‑value band 1,647 IDR – 2,904 IDR · the 1,715 IDR price screens below the 2,344 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

PT Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM) currently trades at 1,715 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2,344 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 36.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 77/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Selamat Sempurna Tbk generated revenue of 5.3T IDR at a net margin of 20.8%. Revenue declined 1.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 27.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 907B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 1,647 IDR (bear case) to 2,904 IDR (bull case); at 1,715 IDR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at 37%, SMSM screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 2,230 IDR 3,665 IDR 6,134 IDR 80
Residual Income 1,230 IDR 1,483 IDR 5,539 IDR 76
Rev-Margin DCF 1,345 IDR 1,953 IDR 2,701 IDR 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 2,212 IDR 3,673 IDR 6,166 IDR 38
Owner Earnings 2,622 IDR 4,377 IDR 7,372 IDR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 1,345 IDR 1,940 IDR 2,694 IDR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 2,392 IDR 3,994 IDR 5,933 IDR 41
5Y P/E Exit 2,817 IDR 4,829 IDR 7,041 IDR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 1,594 IDR 2,238 IDR 3,116 IDR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 2,315 IDR 3,736 IDR 5,763 IDR 37
10Y P/E Exit 2,598 IDR 4,345 IDR 6,668 IDR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 1,328 IDR 5,118 IDR 6,937 IDR 54
Lynch FV 1,251 IDR 1,787 IDR 2,323 IDR 50
PEG = 1.0 1,251 IDR 1,787 IDR 2,323 IDR 46
EPV 2,131 IDR 2,475 IDR 2,782 IDR 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 1,347 IDR 2,940 IDR 4,947 IDR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 1,347 IDR 2,408 IDR 3,064 IDR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 3,223 IDR 4,297 IDR 5,371 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 834.38 IDR 1,113 IDR 1,391 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 1,984 IDR 2,645 IDR 3,307 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 3,546 IDR 4,668 IDR 5,790 IDR 53
EV/EBITDA 2,711 IDR 3,556 IDR 4,400 IDR 54
EV/Revenue 957.23 IDR 1,291 IDR 1,625 IDR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 330.66 IDR 443.09 IDR 661.33 IDR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 2,230 IDR 3,665 IDR 6,134 IDR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 1,345 IDR 1,953 IDR 2,701 IDR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 1,230 IDR 1,483 IDR 5,539 IDR 76
ROIC Compounder 2,297 IDR 2,888 IDR 3,581 IDR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 2,324 IDR 3,320 IDR 4,316 IDR 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (3,736 IDR) versus Asset-Based (443.09 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 5.3T IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) -1.8%
Net margin 20.8%
Return on equity 27.4%
Free cash flow 918B IDR FY2025
P/E ratio 9.1
More key figures
Operating margin 27.4%
EPS (TTM) 191.95 IDR
EPS growth (YoY) -6.3%
Net cash 907B IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 77/100

Of which business quality 75 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 86
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 94
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 71
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 94
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 37
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Selamat Sempurna Tbk manufactures and sells tools or equipment for vehicles, heavy equipment, and other machinery in Indonesia and internationally. It operates through Filter, Radiator, Body Maker, Trading, and Others segments.

Full company description

PT Selamat Sempurna Tbk manufactures and sells tools or equipment for vehicles, heavy equipment, and other machinery in Indonesia and internationally. It operates through Filter, Radiator, Body Maker, Trading, and Others segments. The company offers radiators under the ADR brand; dump hoists and body makers of dump trucks, trailers, mixers, and tanks; rubber, plastisol, brake and fuel pipes, fuel tanks, and mufflers; and filters for automotive, commercial, heavy equipment, marine, and industrial applications under the SAKURA brand name. The company was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in North Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Selamat Sempurna Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Adrindo Intiperkasa.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Selamat Sempurna Tbk reported revenue of 5.3T IDR in FY2025 versus 4.2T IDR in FY2021, a compound +6.4%/yr. Reported net income was 1.1T IDR in FY2025, compounding +14.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 92/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
5.3T IDR
Latest YoY
+3.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+2.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+10.5%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
+9.9%
Revenue +6.4%/yr
FY21 4.2T IDR
FY22 4.9T IDR
FY23 5.1T IDR
FY24 5.2T IDR
FY25 5.3T IDR
Net income +14.2%/yr
FY21 662B IDR
FY22 848B IDR
FY23 944B IDR
FY24 1.0T IDR
FY25 1.1T IDR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Selamat Sempurna Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SMSM

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 77 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +37% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 27% · Top 25%
Return on assets 17% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 21% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 27% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 2.65× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.90× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 5.5× · Cheaper than median
PEG 9,140.97× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 82 · sector 17
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 100 · sector 26
HEALTH 99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 30

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

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Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹144.17 ₹80.63 -44%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹41,110 ₹14,004 -66%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,117 ₹441.74 -79%
Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,158 ₹426.57 -63%
Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER ₹4,135 ₹1,412 -66%
Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 73,600 KRW 196,479 KRW +167%
MRF Limited MRF ₹131,025 ₹125,849 -4%
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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2,344 IDR versus a price of 1,715 IDR, about +37% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SMSM?
Our model-based fair value for PT Selamat Sempurna Tbk is 2,344 IDR (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 1,715 IDR.
What is the quality score of SMSM?
PT Selamat Sempurna Tbk has a Quality Score of 77/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM)?
PT Selamat Sempurna Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.3T IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SMSM?
The net profit margin of PT Selamat Sempurna Tbk is about 20.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 20.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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