Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Selamat Sempurna Tbk IDR 2,202, price IDR 1,695, upside +29.9%, quality 77 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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PT Selamat Sempurna Tbk manufactures and sells tools or equipment for vehicles, heavy equipment, and other machinery in Indonesia and internationally. It operates through Filter, Radiator, Body Maker, Trading, and Others segments.
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PT Selamat Sempurna Tbk manufactures and sells tools or equipment for vehicles, heavy equipment, and other machinery in Indonesia and internationally. It operates through Filter, Radiator, Body Maker, Trading, and Others segments. The company offers radiators under the ADR brand; dump hoists and body makers of dump trucks, trailers, mixers, and tanks; rubber, plastisol, brake and fuel pipes, fuel tanks, and mufflers; and filters for automotive, commercial, heavy equipment, marine, and industrial applications under the SAKURA brand name. The company was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in North Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Selamat Sempurna Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Adrindo Intiperkasa.
Stock analysis
Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM) currently trades at 1,695 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2,202 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 23.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 3,320 IDR per share, and 22 of the 26 models we run sit above the 1,695 IDR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 443.09 IDR, and 4 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 1,416 IDR (bear) to 3,213 IDR (bull), the price of 1,695 IDR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 77/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Selamat Sempurna Tbk reported revenue of 5.3T IDR in FY2025 versus 4.2T IDR in FY2021, a compound +6.4%/yr. Reported net income was 1.1T IDR in FY2025, compounding +14.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 9.8T IDR (≈ $976M) · P/E ratio 8.8 · P/S ratio 1.86 · EPS (TTM) 191.95 IDR · Dividend yield 8.0% · Net margin 21.1% · Return on equity 27.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 26.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at 30%, SMSM screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 1,416 IDRFair Value 2,202 IDRBull 3,213 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (140.41 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.92/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.7% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+22.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+14.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)8.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.14% vs 10%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.21% → 27%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+0.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −2.1% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 695 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score77 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+30% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)27% · Top 25%
Return on assets17% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)21% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)27% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)8.0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
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Is Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2,202 IDR versus a price of 1,695 IDR, about +30% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SMSM?
Our model-based fair value for Selamat Sempurna Tbk is 2,202 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1,695 IDR.
What is the quality score of SMSM?
Selamat Sempurna Tbk has a Quality Score of 77/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 2,202 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1,416 IDR, optimistic scenario 3,213 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Selamat Sempurna Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 2,202 IDR, about +30% upside versus a price of 1,695 IDR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 1,416 IDR, optimistic scenario 3,213 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM)?
Selamat Sempurna Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.3T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Selamat Sempurna Tbk pay a dividend?
Selamat Sempurna Tbk currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.98% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Selamat Sempurna Tbk would have to grow free cash flow by +0.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SMSM use?
Our models discount Selamat Sempurna Tbk at 12.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.12, country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Selamat Sempurna Tbk that is +0.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Selamat Sempurna Tbk grew +10.6 % a year. The price currently implies +0.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Selamat Sempurna Tbk (+0.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.41 %: that much free cash flow Selamat Sempurna Tbk produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Selamat Sempurna Tbk it is 2,202 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 1,695 IDR. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Selamat Sempurna Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SMSM trades below its calculated fair value: price 1,695 IDR, fair value 2,202 IDR, a gap of about +30% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SMSM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1,695 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (2,202 IDR). For Selamat Sempurna Tbk the two are 506.65 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Selamat Sempurna Tbk worth?
The market values Selamat Sempurna Tbk at about 9.8T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 1,695 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 2,202 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SMSM?
Our models span a range for Selamat Sempurna Tbk: cautious scenario 1,416 IDR, base 2,202 IDR, optimistic 3,213 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 1,695 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SMSM?
Selamat Sempurna Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 2,202 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.6, P/S 1.8, EV/EBITDA 5.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Selamat Sempurna Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 27.4%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 77/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SMSM from its 52-week high?
Selamat Sempurna Tbk trades at 1,695 IDR, about 7% below its 52-week high of 1,824 IDR and 10% above the low of 1,542 IDR (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 2,202 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Selamat Sempurna Tbk?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Selamat Sempurna Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 1,695 IDR, calculated fair value 2,202 IDR (+30%), Quality Score 77/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SMSM calculated?
We run Selamat Sempurna Tbk through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 2,202 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Selamat Sempurna Tbk currently trades 30 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 1,695 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 2,202 IDR, about +30% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Selamat Sempurna Tbk right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (77/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. A fairly wide model range (1,416 IDR to 3,213 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM) come from?
Earnings per share at Selamat Sempurna Tbk grew +10.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.2 %, EBIT margin +1.9 %, tax rate +0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Selamat Sempurna Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM)?
The market capitalisation of Selamat Sempurna Tbk is 9.8T IDR (≈ $976M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Selamat Sempurna Tbk is 1.86 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM)?
Earnings per share at Selamat Sempurna Tbk are 191.95 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM)?
The dividend yield of Selamat Sempurna Tbk is 8.0% (payout 70.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM)?
The net margin of Selamat Sempurna Tbk is 21.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Selamat Sempurna Tbk is 27.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Selamat Sempurna Tbk is 26.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM)?
The operating margin of Selamat Sempurna Tbk is 27.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM)?
Revenue at Selamat Sempurna Tbk is growing −1.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM)?
Earnings per share at Selamat Sempurna Tbk are growing −6.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM) hold?
Selamat Sempurna Tbk holds more cash than debt, 907B IDR net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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