VSE Corporation (VSEC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of VSE Corporation stock $25.30, price $173, that is 85.4% below the price, quality 31 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 25 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with one Yes, for free
VSE Corporation
VSEC · USOur calculation puts a fair price 85% below what the stock costs today.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $32.40 – $243.33 · fair‑value band $14.54 – $28.54 · the $172.81 price screens above the $25.30 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 8, 2026.
Every Wednesday you see whether VSE is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Company profile
VSE Corporation engages in providing aviation aftermarket parts distribution and maintenance, repair, and overhaul services for air transportation assets for commercial and government markets.
Show moreShow less
It offers its services to global client base of commercial airlines, regional airlines, air cargo transporters, MRO integrators and providers, aviation manufacturers, corporate and private aircraft owners, and fixed-base operators.
The company was incorporated in 1959 and is headquartered in Miramar, Florida.
Stock analysis
VSE Corporation (VSEC) currently trades at $172.81, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $25.30, 85% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $57.07 per share, and 0 of the 25 models we run sit above the $172.81 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $4.27, and 25 of the 25 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $14.54 (bear) to $28.54 (bull), the price of $172.81 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
VSE Corporation reported revenue of $1.1B in FY2025 versus $751M in FY2021, a compound +10.3%/yr. Reported net income was $11.7M in FY2025, compounding +10.1%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap $5.4B Mid · P/E ratio 55.2 · P/S ratio 3.99 · EPS (TTM) $3.13 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin 5.5% · Return on equity 4.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.3% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.
The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −85%, VSEC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 25 models by family
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Insider trades
In the last 6 months, 2 officers or directors sold shares worth $5.8M and none bought.
- SaleJohn A CuomoCEO and President, Director2× since Aug 17, 2026: 19,066 shares, avg. $237.97$4.5MSep 14, 202610b5-1 plan
- SaleBenjamin E. ThomasChief Operating Officer6,500 shares at $196.82$1.3MJun 12, 2026
Plus 9 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
VSEC screens overvalued: fair value 85% below the price. Compare with General Electric Company →
Recent news
- VSE Corp (VSEC) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Record Revenue of $541 Million, 91% Growth, ...
- Earnings Beat Might Change The Case For Investing In VSE Stock (VSEC)
- VSE Corporation (NASDAQ:VSEC) delivers impressive Q3 2026
- VSE Corporation Announces Third Quarter 2026 Results
Compare VSE Corporation with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 238 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Return on equity by industry
- Quality Score by industry
- Piotroski F-Score screener with fair value
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TransDigm Group TDG | $1,197 | $1,317 | +10% | vs VSEC |
| Honeywell Aerospace Inc HONA | $152.92 | $168.21 | +10% | vs VSEC |
| Lockheed Martin Corporation LMT | $567.08 | $439.21 | −23% | vs VSEC |
| General Dynamics Corporation GD | $354.06 | $274.19 | −23% | vs VSEC |
| Thales S.A HO | €221.70 | €170.99 | −23% | vs VSEC |
| Northrop Grumman Corporation NOC | $525.01 | $382.98 | −27% | vs VSEC |
| Airbus SE AIR | €196.40 | €112.14 | −43% | vs VSEC |
| RTX Corporation RTX | $189.53 | $88.19 | −53% | vs VSEC |
| General Electric Company GE | $323.24 | $92.26 | −71% | vs VSEC |
| Howmet Aerospace Inc HWM | $205.81 | $52.65 | −74% | vs VSEC |
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Industrials stocks →
Try a ready-made strategy
Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.
Discover tools
Frequently asked questions
Is VSE Corporation (VSEC) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of VSEC?
What is the quality score of VSEC?
What is the price target for VSE Corporation (VSEC)?
What is the VSE Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
What is the revenue of VSE Corporation (VSEC)?
Does VSE Corporation pay a dividend?
How much is the dividend of VSE Corporation (VSEC) and when is the ex-dividend date?
What growth is priced into VSE Corporation (VSEC)?
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of VSEC use?
What is a reverse DCF?
How much growth has VSE Corporation (VSEC) delivered so far?
How fast is the sector of VSE Corporation (VSEC) growing?
What is the free cash flow yield of VSE Corporation (VSEC)?
What is the intrinsic value of VSE Corporation (VSEC)?
Is VSE Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
Is fair value the same as the market price of VSEC?
How much is VSE Corporation worth?
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VSEC?
What is the P/E ratio of VSEC?
What is the PEG ratio of VSEC?
How solid is the balance sheet of VSE Corporation (VSEC)?
How far is VSEC from its 52-week high?
Which stocks are comparable to VSE Corporation?
Is VSE Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
How is the fair value of VSEC calculated?
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
What is the share price of VSE Corporation (VSEC)?
What should I pay attention to with VSE Corporation right now?
Where does the earnings growth of VSE Corporation (VSEC) come from?
Key figures of VSE Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of VSE Corporation (VSEC)?
What is the P/S ratio of VSE Corporation (VSEC)?
What are the earnings per share of VSE Corporation (VSEC)?
What is the dividend yield of VSE Corporation (VSEC)?
What is the net margin of VSE Corporation (VSEC)?
What is the return on equity of VSE Corporation (VSEC)?
What is the EBIT return on assets of VSE Corporation (VSEC)?
What is the operating margin of VSE Corporation (VSEC)?
How fast is revenue growing at VSE Corporation (VSEC)?
How fast are earnings growing at VSE Corporation (VSEC)?
How much net debt does VSE Corporation (VSEC) carry?
Watch VSE Corporation in the live analysis
One click puts VSE Corporation on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 27,000+ stock screener.
Watch for free →Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.