Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp (WAB) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp stock $291, price $278, upside +4.5%, quality 67 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $78.74 – $305.47 · fair‑value band $183.94 – $363.66 · the $278.48 price screens below the $290.92 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 2, 2026.
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Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation provides locomotives, equipment, systems, and services for the freight rail and passenger transit industries worldwide. It operates in two segments, Freight and Transit.
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It offers diesel-electric and liquid natural gas-powered locomotives; engines, electric motors, and propulsion systems; and marine and mining products.
The company also offers positive train control equipment; electronically controlled pneumatic braking products; railway electronics; signal design and engineering services; distributed locomotive power, and train cruise and remote controls; industrial/mobile Internet of Things hardware and software, edge-to-cloud, on and off-board analytics and rules, and asset performance management solutions; rail and shipper transportation management, and port visibility and optimization solutions; and network optimization solutions.
In addition, it provides freight car trucks, braking equipment, and related components; air compressors and dryers, as well as heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems; heat transfer components and systems; custom engineered burners and combustion systems; rail gear, signaling, and switch products; and turbochargers.
Further, it offers freight locomotive overhauls, modernizations, and refurbishment; locomotive and car maintenance; transit locomotive and car overhaul; unit exchange of locomotive components; long-term parts arrangements; and way equipment maintenance services.
Additionally, it provides railway and freight braking equipment and related components; brake shoes, discs, and pads; HVAC equipment; access and platform screen doors; pantographs; power converters and battery chargers; passenger information systems and closed-circuit television; signaling and railway electric relays; and doors, window assemblies, accessibility lifts, ramps, and electric charging solutions for buses.
The company was founded in 1869 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Stock analysis
Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp (WAB) currently trades at $278.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $290.92, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 4.3%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $164.01 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the $278.48 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $65.85, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $183.94 (bear) to $363.66 (bull), the price of $278.48 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp reported revenue of $11.2B in FY2025 versus $7.8B in FY2021, a compound +9.3%/yr. Reported net income was $1.2B in FY2025, compounding +20.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $47.4B Large · P/E ratio 34.6 · P/S ratio 3.88 · EPS (TTM) $8.05 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 11.2% · Return on equity 12.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 67 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at 4%, WAB screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$183.94Fair Value $290.92Bull$363.66
Price $278.48 · Upside +4.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($5.83 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, 7 officers or directors sold shares worth $9.5M and none bought.
SaleRafael SantanaPresident and CEO, Director12× since Dec 17, 2025: 89,801 shares, avg. $264.81$23.8MNov 3, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleRogerio MendoncaPresident, Equipment Group3× since Dec 4, 2025: 8,438 shares, avg. $263.68$2.2MAug 21, 2026
SaleMichael FetskoPres., Freight Components Grp.2× since Dec 12, 2025: 8,308 shares, avg. $246.04$2.0MAug 20, 2026
SaleGregory SbroccoEVP Operations2× since Feb 19, 2026: 1,904 shares, avg. $279.22$531,625Aug 17, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleSameer GaurPres., Global Freight Services3× since Feb 26, 2026: 3,232 shares, avg. $274.68$887,760Jul 24, 2026
SaleEric GebhardtChief Technology Officer7,100 shares at $299.27$2.1MJul 24, 2026
SaleDavid L DeNinnoExec VP, General Counsel, Sec.4× since Nov 12, 2025: 15,500 shares, avg. $238.09$3.7MJul 24, 2026
SaleGina TrombleyEVP Sales & Marketing4,013 shares at $241.87$970,624Mar 12, 2026
SaleNalin JainPresident, Digital Electronics7,936 shares at $264.09$2.1MFeb 25, 2026
SaleJohn A OlinExecutive Vice President & CFO11,000 shares at $263.30$2.9MFeb 24, 2026
Plus 2 more entries from the last 12 months.
Plus 8 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.86/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.9% a year
Revenue growth 32 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+27.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+26.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.25.8% vs 6.5%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 17%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+17.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+7.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +15.2% a year for the price and +4.7% for the forecasts.
AI conclusion: Moderate durable advantage from rail equipment position and operational scale is offset by equipment sales exposure to volatile infrastructure and mining cycles.
Main risk: Subsidized financing from Chinese institutions could allow CRRC to win international rail projects at lower prices and erode Wabtec's margins on equipment sales.
Bull case: By expanding its services and digital offerings on an installed base Wabtec could offset any equipment margin pressure from rivals.
Bear case: If state-supported competitors capture more mining and infrastructure contracts Wabtec might lose recurring aftermarket revenue streams in key growth regions.
Wabtec recently landed a long-term services contract worth over 700 million dollars for locomotives on a major African mining rail line. This deal builds on earlier equipment orders for the same project and highlights the push into recurring aftermarket work. Equipment sales remain tied to big infrastructure and mining cycles that can swing sharply. Will the services side deliver steadier cash flows when those cycles turn down?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Railroads · 108 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+4.5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)12.2% · Top 25%
Return on assets5.3% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)11.2% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)20.2% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)8.1% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)0.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.39× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Railroads median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)34.6× · Pricier than median
P/B4.25× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WAB
Frequently asked questions
Is Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp (WAB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $290.92 versus a price of $278.48, about +4% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of WAB?
Our model-based fair value for Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp is $290.92 (as of Nov 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $278.48.
What is the quality score of WAB?
Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp (WAB)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $290.92 (as of Nov 2, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $183.94, optimistic scenario $363.66. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $290.92, about +4% upside versus a price of $278.48 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $183.94, optimistic scenario $363.66. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp (WAB)?
Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $12.2B (latest available figure, as of Nov 2, 2026).
Does Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp pay a dividend?
Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp currently shows a dividend yield of 0.42% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 2, 2026).
What growth is priced into Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp (WAB)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp would have to grow free cash flow by +17.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.1 % per year. As of Nov 2, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of WAB use?
Our models discount Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.92, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp that is +17.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp (WAB) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp grew +8.1 % a year. The price currently implies +17.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp (WAB) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp (+17.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp (WAB)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.16 %: that much free cash flow Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp (WAB)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp it is $290.92 per share (as of Nov 2, 2026), against a price of $278.48. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 2, 2026, WAB trades below its calculated fair value: price $278.48, fair value $290.92, a gap of about +4% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of WAB?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($278.48); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($290.92). For Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp the two are $12.44 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp worth?
The market values Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp at about $47.4B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 2, 2026). Per share that is $278.48; our models calculate a fair value of $290.92 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about WAB?
Our models span a range for Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp: cautious scenario $183.94, base $290.92, optimistic $363.66 per share (as of Nov 2, 2026, price $278.48). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of WAB?
Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 34.6 (as of Nov 2, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $290.92 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2022, FY2023, FY2025 ex one-offs: 30.0. Other multiples: PEG 1.4, P/B 4.3, P/S 3.9, EV/EBITDA 18.4.
What is the PEG ratio of WAB?
The PEG ratio of Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp is 1.37 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 2, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp (WAB)?
Balance-sheet figures for Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp (as of Nov 2, 2026): return on equity 12.2%, debt of 0.39 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is WAB from its 52-week high?
Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp trades at $278.48, about 9% below its 52-week high of $305.47 and 42% above the low of $195.46 (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $290.92 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Union Pacific Corporation, CSX Corporation, Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited, Norfolk Southern Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 2, 2026: price $278.48, calculated fair value $290.92 (+4%), Quality Score 67/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of WAB calculated?
We run Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $290.92, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.5% above its aggregate fair value. Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp currently trades 4% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp (WAB)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was $278.48. Our model-based fair value is $290.92, about +4% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($183.94 to $363.66) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp (WAB) come from?
Earnings per share at Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp grew +5.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +6.9 %, EBIT margin −1.3 %, tax rate +0.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp (WAB)?
The market capitalisation of Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp is $47.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp (WAB)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp is 3.88 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp (WAB)?
Earnings per share at Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp are $8.05 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 34.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp (WAB)?
The dividend yield of Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp is 0.4% (payout 14.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp (WAB)?
The net margin of Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp is 11.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp (WAB)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp is 12.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp (WAB)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp is 6.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp (WAB)?
The operating margin of Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp is 20.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp (WAB)?
Revenue at Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp is growing +8.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp (WAB)?
Earnings per share at Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp are growing +33.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp (WAB) carry?
The net debt of Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp is $4.8B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 2, 2026