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Wolfspeed, Inc. (WOLF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Wolfspeed, Inc. stock $6.81, price $23.79, that is 71.4% below the price, quality 25 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 10 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Technology US

WI Wolfspeed, Inc. logo Thin data Nov 7, 2026

Wolfspeed, Inc.

WOLF · US
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 71% below what the stock costs today.

Highly profitable · 80.9% net margin (TTM)
Revenue last quarter 21% below a year ago.
Fair value $6.81 · Strongly overvalued
Quality 25/100
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −4.3 %/yr in USD)
High debt
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 31/100 · thin data
Negative coverage
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$73.50 $14.80 Fair Value $6.81 Sep 2025 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

13‑month range $14.80 – $73.50 · fair‑value band $5.08 – $10.16 · the $23.79 price screens above the $6.81 fair value. 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

Wolfspeed, Inc., a semiconductor company, focuses on silicon carbide and gallium nitride (GaN) technologies in Europe, Hong Kong, China, rest of Asia Pacific, the United States, and internationally.

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The company offers silicon carbide and GaN materials, including silicon carbide bare wafers, epitaxial wafers, and GaN epitaxial layers on silicon carbide wafers to manufacture products for RF, power, and other applications.

It also provides power devices, such as silicon carbide Schottky diodes, metal oxide semiconductor field effect transistors (MOSFETs), and power modules for customers and distributors to use in applications, including electric vehicles comprising charging infrastructure, server power supplies, solar inverters, uninterruptible power supplies, industrial power supplies, and other applications.

The company was formerly known as Cree, Inc. and changed its name to Wolfspeed, Inc. in October 2021. Wolfspeed, Inc. was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Durham, North Carolina.

Stock analysis

Wolfspeed, Inc. (WOLF) currently trades at $23.79, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.81, 71% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $33.01 per share, and 2 of the 10 models we run sit above the $23.79 price.

Bear case: the Growth Earnings group reads lowest at $2.09, and 8 of the 10 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $5.08 (bear) to $10.16 (bull), the price of $23.79 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Wolfspeed, Inc. reported revenue of $665M in FY2026 versus $572M in FY2022, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was $4.4M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap $1.2B Small · P/S ratio 2.02 · EPS (TTM) $−13.12 · Net margin 0.7% · Return on equity 1.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −10.2% (5-year average) · Operating margin −65.6% · Revenue (TTM) $623M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 31 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 68% below its 52-week high and 61% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −7% fair-value upside, at −71%, WOLF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely ($0.6600 to $60.99). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear $5.08 Fair Value $6.81 Bull $10.16
Price $23.79 · Downside -71.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Owner Earnings $15.25 $33.01 $57.29 71
Residual Income $9.15 $9.82 $11.01 68
Growth-Adj P/E $1.46 $2.09 $2.71 65
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $15.25 $33.01 $57.29 71
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.5700 $1.98 $2.67 62
Lynch FV $0.4600 $0.6600 $0.8600 59
PEG = 1.0 $0.4600 $0.6600 $0.8600 55
Multiples
P/E Multiple $1.75 $2.33 $2.91 63
P/S Multiple $1.06 $1.41 $1.77 58
P/B Multiple $45.74 $60.99 $76.23 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.08 $6.81 $10.16 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $9.15 $9.82 $11.01 68
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $1.46 $2.09 $2.71 65

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 25/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 12
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 26
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 67
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 35
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 34
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 1
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.

Plus 20 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 29/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−12.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.8%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −8.5% a year
Revenue growth 33 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−40.4% (2021) → −73.0% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed

WOLF screens overvalued: fair value 71% below the price. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →

Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (98 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Negative
Recent news coverage is more negative than average.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductors · 369 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 25 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −71.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 1.8% · Below median
Return on assets 0.2% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 80.9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −65.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −21.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.81× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.32× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 1.98× · Cheaper than median
PEG 2.55× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 100
PAST (return on equity)7 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)9 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 21

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
SK hynix Inc 000660 1,132,000 KRW 1,501,896 KRW +33% vs WOLF
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM $375.44 $412.98 +10% vs WOLF
NVIDIA Corporation NVDA $186.64 $198.56 +6% vs WOLF
Broadcom Inc AVGO $293.69 $300.84 +2% vs WOLF
Intel Corporation INTC $56.28 $52.14 −7% vs WOLF
Micron Technology, Inc MU $690.00 $619.48 −10% vs WOLF
Analog Devices, Inc ADI $363.56 $262.04 −28% vs WOLF
Marvell Technology, Inc MRVL $141.20 $87.64 −38% vs WOLF
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc AMD $449.04 $148.02 −67% vs WOLF
Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN $277.36 $81.25 −71% vs WOLF

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Wolfspeed, Inc.: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Wolfspeed, Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WOLF

Frequently asked questions

Is Wolfspeed, Inc. (WOLF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.81 versus a price of $23.79, about 71% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of WOLF?
Our model-based fair value for Wolfspeed, Inc. is $6.81 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $23.79.
What is the quality score of WOLF?
Wolfspeed, Inc. has a Quality Score of 25/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Wolfspeed, Inc. (WOLF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $6.81 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario $5.08, optimistic scenario $10.16. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Wolfspeed, Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $6.81, about 71% lower versus a price of $23.79 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $5.08, optimistic scenario $10.16. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Wolfspeed, Inc. (WOLF)?
Wolfspeed, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $623M (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Wolfspeed, Inc. (WOLF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Wolfspeed, Inc. it is $6.81 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of $23.79. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Wolfspeed, Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, WOLF trades above its calculated fair value: price $23.79, fair value $6.81, a gap of about −71% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of WOLF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($23.79); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($6.81). For Wolfspeed, Inc. the two are $16.98 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Wolfspeed, Inc. worth?
The market values Wolfspeed, Inc. at about $1.2B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is $23.79; our models calculate a fair value of $6.81 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about WOLF?
Our models span a range for Wolfspeed, Inc.: cautious scenario $5.08, base $6.81, optimistic $10.16 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price $23.79). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of WOLF?
The PEG ratio of Wolfspeed, Inc. is 2.55 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 7, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Wolfspeed, Inc. (WOLF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Wolfspeed, Inc. (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 1.8%, debt of 1.81 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 25/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is WOLF from its 52-week high?
Wolfspeed, Inc. trades at $23.79, about 68% below its 52-week high of $73.50 and 61% above the low of $14.80 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $6.81 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Wolfspeed, Inc.?
From the same area (Technology) we also value NVIDIA Corporation, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Broadcom Inc, Micron Technology, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Wolfspeed, Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price $23.79, calculated fair value $6.81 (−71%), Quality Score 25/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of WOLF calculated?
We run Wolfspeed, Inc. through 10 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $6.81 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Wolfspeed, Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Wolfspeed, Inc. (WOLF)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $23.79. Our model-based fair value is $6.81, about 71% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Wolfspeed, Inc. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($10.16). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (25/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($5.08 to $10.16) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Wolfspeed, Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of Wolfspeed, Inc. (WOLF)?
The market capitalisation of Wolfspeed, Inc. is $1.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Wolfspeed, Inc. (WOLF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Wolfspeed, Inc. is 2.02 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Wolfspeed, Inc. (WOLF)?
Earnings per share at Wolfspeed, Inc. are $−13.12. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Wolfspeed, Inc. (WOLF)?
The net margin of Wolfspeed, Inc. is 0.7% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Wolfspeed, Inc. (WOLF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Wolfspeed, Inc. is 1.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Wolfspeed, Inc. (WOLF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Wolfspeed, Inc. is −10.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Wolfspeed, Inc. (WOLF)?
The operating margin of Wolfspeed, Inc. is −65.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Wolfspeed, Inc. (WOLF)?
Revenue at Wolfspeed, Inc. is growing −21.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Wolfspeed, Inc. (WOLF) generate?
The free cash flow of Wolfspeed, Inc. is −$380M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Wolfspeed, Inc. (WOLF) carry?
The net debt of Wolfspeed, Inc. is $1.2B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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