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Wolfspeed, Inc (WOLF) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $1.8B

WI Wolfspeed, Inc logo Wolfspeed, Inc WOLF · US
Price$32.87
Fair Value$33.30
Upside+1.3%
Quality6/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -72.9% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 8/100
Evidence: Low Range $24.98 – $41.63 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jun 23, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 48 days ago

Share price −8.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (10 months)

$73.50 $14.80 Fair Value $33.30 Sep 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jun 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

10‑month range $14.80 – $73.50 · fair‑value band $24.98 – $41.63 · the $32.87 price screens below the $33.30 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Jun 23, 2026.

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Analysis

Wolfspeed, Inc (WOLF) currently trades at $32.87, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $33.30, implying the stock looks roughly 1.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 6/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Wolfspeed, Inc generated revenue of $712M at a net margin of -72.9%. Revenue declined 19.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -84.2%. Net debt stands at $6.1B. Fundamentals as of Jun 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $24.98 (bear case) to $41.63 (bull case); at $32.87, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high and 308% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at 1%, WOLF screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $712M
Revenue growth (YoY) -19.0%
Net margin -72.9%
Return on equity -84.2%
Free cash flow −$2.0B FY2025
Operating margin -72.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-13.28
Net debt $6.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jun 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 6/100

Of which business quality 8 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 11
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 8
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 58
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 61
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 12
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Wolfspeed, Inc., a semiconductor company, focuses on silicon carbide and gallium nitride (GaN) technologies in Europe, Hong Kong, China, rest of Asia Pacific, the United States, and internationally.

Full company description

Wolfspeed, Inc., a semiconductor company, focuses on silicon carbide and gallium nitride (GaN) technologies in Europe, Hong Kong, China, rest of Asia Pacific, the United States, and internationally. The company offers silicon carbide and GaN materials, including silicon carbide bare wafers, epitaxial wafers, and GaN epitaxial layers on silicon carbide wafers to manufacture products for RF, power, and other applications. It also provides power devices, such as silicon carbide Schottky diodes, metal oxide semiconductor field effect transistors (MOSFETs), and power modules for customers and distributors to use in applications, including electric vehicles comprising charging infrastructure, server power supplies, solar inverters, uninterruptible power supplies, industrial power supplies, and other applications. The company was formerly known as Cree, Inc. and changed its name to Wolfspeed, Inc. in October 2021. Wolfspeed, Inc. was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Durham, North Carolina.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Wolfspeed, Inc reported revenue of $758M in FY2025 versus $526M in FY2021, a compound +9.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.6B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 23/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$758M
Latest YoY
−6.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+9.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+10.0%
Avg. growth/yr (32Y)
+16.1%
Revenue +9.6%/yr
FY21 $526M
FY22 $572M
FY23 $759M
FY24 $807M
FY25 $758M
Net income
FY21 −$524M
FY22 −$201M
FY23 −$330M
FY24 −$864M
FY25 −$1.6B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Wolfspeed, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WOLF

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Semiconductors · 319 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 6 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +1% · Top 25%
Return on assets -5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -73% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -72% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -19% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 2.57× · Cheaper than median
PEG 2.55× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 35 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 60
PAST 0 · sector 24
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 22

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NVIDIA Corporation NVDA $211.80 $96.91 -54%
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM $398.37 $207.49 -48%
Broadcom Inc 1AVGO €367.75 €121.25 -67%
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Advanced Micro Devices, Inc 1AMD €425.20 €56.33 -87%
Intel Corporation INTC C$68.40 C$9.82 -86%
Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN $311.46 $59.75 -81%
MediaTek Inc 2454 3,740 TWD 1,163 TWD -69%
SK Square Co 402340 1,212,000 KRW 868,000 KRW -28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Wolfspeed, Inc (WOLF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jun 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $33.30 versus a price of $32.87, about +1% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of WOLF?
Our model-based fair value for Wolfspeed, Inc is $33.30 (as of Jun 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $32.87.
What is the quality score of WOLF?
Wolfspeed, Inc has a Quality Score of 6/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Wolfspeed, Inc (WOLF)?
Wolfspeed, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $712M (latest available figure, as of Jun 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of WOLF?
The net profit margin of Wolfspeed, Inc is about -72.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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