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Yunding Technology Co (000409) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 5.9B CNY

YT Yunding Technology Co 000409 · SHE
Price¥8.75
Fair Value¥2.07
Upside-76.3%
Quality48/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 4.9% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Narrow moat 37/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥1.81 – ¥2.58 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price +7.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 76% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.58). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥16.02 ¥4.21 Fair Value ¥2.07 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.21 – ¥16.02 · fair‑value band ¥1.81 – ¥2.58 · the ¥8.75 price screens above the ¥2.07 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Yunding Technology Co (000409) currently trades at ¥8.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.07, implying the stock looks roughly 76.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Yunding Technology Co generated revenue of 1.5B CNY at a net margin of 4.9%. Revenue declined 24.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 984M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.81 (bear case) to ¥2.58 (bull case); at ¥8.75, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -76%, 000409 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥1.80 ¥1.81 ¥1.71 76
P/E Multiple ¥1.55 ¥2.07 ¥2.58 63
P/B Multiple ¥1.55 ¥2.07 ¥2.58 55
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥3.30 ¥6.00 ¥11.45 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.8300 ¥5.77 ¥8.09 54
Lynch FV ¥2.98 ¥4.26 ¥5.53 50
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥1.55 ¥2.07 ¥2.58 63
P/B Multiple ¥1.55 ¥2.07 ¥2.58 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.19 ¥1.59 ¥2.37 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥1.80 ¥1.81 ¥1.71 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥6.00) versus Asset-Based (¥1.59). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.5B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -24.2%
Net margin 4.9%
Return on equity 5.6%
Free cash flow −4.1M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 89.5
More key figures
Operating margin 6.6%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.1000
EPS growth (YoY) -37.8%
Net cash 984M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 95
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 82
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 78
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 9
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 32
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Yunding Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the smart mining business in China. The company offers smart power and new energy products, including power production management system, photovoltaic intelligent operation and maintenance platform system, engineering project management and control system, etc.

Full company description

Yunding Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the smart mining business in China. The company offers smart power and new energy products, including power production management system, photovoltaic intelligent operation and maintenance platform system, engineering project management and control system, etc. It also provides intelligent washing and sorting systems, such as coal washing automation system integration, coal preparation plant intelligent solutions, intelligent online ash detection systems, and industrial and mining intelligent supporting equipment. In addition, the company offers smart mining products, such as intelligent software; and intelligent positioning products, such as personnel precise positioning and paratransit systems. Further, it engages in ERP implementation and operation and maintenance services, including digital innovation services, packaged software consulting and implementation, development management solutions and services, consulting, technical implementation, operations, and maintenance. Additionally, it involved in industrial internet platform business that provides Dingyun Industrial Internet Platform, an artificial intelligence (AI) application platform that offers cloud-edge collaboration, data collection, data fusion, digital intelligence collaboration, and application development; AI service platform, a one-stop model training workflow, flexible manufacturing of artificial intelligence models, process control from data annotation, model training, model release, model deployment, and business scenario application; and comprehensive management and control platform for production safety technology. Further, the company engages in coal preparation plant automation and coal gasification technology promotion business. Yunding Technology Co.,Ltd. was founded in 2016 and is based in Jinan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Yunding Technology Co reported revenue of ¥1.5B in FY2025 versus ¥508M in FY2021, a compound +31.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥82.4M in FY2025, compounding +47.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 12/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.5B CNY
Latest YoY
+13.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+11.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−6.7%
Avg. growth/yr (30Y)
+9.1%
Revenue +31.7%/yr
FY21 ¥508M
FY22 ¥1.1B
FY23 ¥1.1B
FY24 ¥1.4B
FY25 ¥1.5B
Net income +47.1%/yr
FY21 ¥17.6M
FY22 ¥25.1M
FY23 ¥61.8M
FY24 ¥92.7M
FY25 ¥82.4M

000409 screens 76% overvalued. Compare with CITIC Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yunding Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000409

Peer Group

Conglomerates · 370 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −76% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth -24% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.13× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 87.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 3.69× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.08× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 43.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.55× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 21
FUTURE 0 · sector 16
PAST 22 · sector 20
HEALTH 94 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 39

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CITIC Limited 0267 HK$11.28 HK$22.56 +100%
SK Inc 034730 580,000 KRW 497,919 KRW -14%
PT Astra International Tbk, ASII 4,810 IDR 9,620 IDR +100%
The Siam Cement Public Company SCC 254.00 THB 199.40 THB -21%
SRF Limited SRF ₹2,875 ₹1,053 -63%
Empresas Copec S.A COPEC 6,330 CLP 10,879 CLP +72%
Posco International Corporation 047050 50,900 KRW 61,248 KRW +20%
Tube Investments of India Limited TIINDIA ₹2,940 ₹559.30 -81%
Doosan Corporation 000155 464,000 KRW 75,620 KRW -84%
Thermax Limited THERMAX ₹4,809 ₹1,087 -77%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Yunding Technology Co (000409) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.07 versus a price of ¥8.75, about −76% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000409?
Our model-based fair value for Yunding Technology Co is ¥2.07 (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥8.75.
What is the quality score of 000409?
Yunding Technology Co has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Yunding Technology Co (000409)?
Yunding Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 000409?
The net profit margin of Yunding Technology Co is about 4.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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