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Yunding Technology Co Ltd (000409) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Yunding Technology Co Ltd ¥2.07, price ¥9.05, upside -77.1%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · CN · ISIN CNE000000L40

YT Some data Sep 23, 2026

Yunding Technology Co Ltd

000409 · SHE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥2.07 · Strongly overvalued (−77%)
!Quality 48/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −6.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 4.9% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
!Narrow moat 37/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 22 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 4 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥16.02 ¥4.29 Fair Value ¥2.07 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.29 – ¥16.02 · fair‑value band ¥1.81 – ¥2.58 · the ¥9.05 price screens above the ¥2.07 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Yunding Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the smart mining business in China. The company offers smart power and new energy products, including power production management system, photovoltaic intelligent operation and maintenance platform system, engineering project management and control system, etc.

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Yunding Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the smart mining business in China. The company offers smart power and new energy products, including power production management system, photovoltaic intelligent operation and maintenance platform system, engineering project management and control system, etc. It also provides intelligent washing and sorting systems, such as coal washing automation system integration, coal preparation plant intelligent solutions, intelligent online ash detection systems, and industrial and mining intelligent supporting equipment. In addition, the company offers smart mining products, such as intelligent software; and intelligent positioning products, such as personnel precise positioning and paratransit systems. Further, it engages in ERP implementation and operation and maintenance services, including digital innovation services, packaged software consulting and implementation, development management solutions and services, consulting, technical implementation, operations, and maintenance. Additionally, it involved in industrial internet platform business that provides Dingyun Industrial Internet Platform, an artificial intelligence (AI) application platform that offers cloud-edge collaboration, data collection, data fusion, digital intelligence collaboration, and application development; AI service platform, a one-stop model training workflow, flexible manufacturing of artificial intelligence models, process control from data annotation, model training, model release, model deployment, and business scenario application; and comprehensive management and control platform for production safety technology. Further, the company engages in coal preparation plant automation and coal gasification technology promotion business. Yunding Technology Co.,Ltd. was founded in 2016 and is based in Jinan, China.

Stock analysis

Yunding Technology Co Ltd (000409) currently trades at ¥9.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.07, implying the stock looks roughly 337.3% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥6.00 per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the ¥9.05 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥1.59, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ¥1.81 (bear) to ¥2.58 (bull), the price of ¥9.05 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Yunding Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.5B CNY in FY2025 versus 508M CNY in FY2021, a compound +31.7%/yr. Reported net income was 82.4M CNY in FY2025, compounding +47.1%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Key figures

Market cap 6.1B CNY (≈ $916M) · P/E ratio 90.5 · P/S ratio 4.88 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.1000 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin 5.4% · Return on equity 5.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 15% fair-value upside, at −77%, 000409 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥1.81 Fair Value ¥2.07 Bull ¥2.58
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0732 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥1.80 ¥1.81 ¥1.71 72
Owner Earnings ¥3.30 ¥6.00 ¥11.46 68
P/E Multiple ¥1.55 ¥2.07 ¥2.58 63
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥3.30 ¥6.00 ¥11.46 68
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.8300 ¥5.77 ¥8.09 59
Lynch FV ¥2.98 ¥4.26 ¥5.53 57
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥1.55 ¥2.07 ¥2.58 63
P/B Multiple ¥1.55 ¥2.07 ¥2.58 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.19 ¥1.59 ¥2.37 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥1.80 ¥1.81 ¥1.71 72

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 95
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 82
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 79
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 32
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 12/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+13.1%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.9%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −3.7% a year
Revenue growth 30 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+6.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.6% vs −5%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 10%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

000409 screens 337% overvalued. Compare with 3M Company →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Conglomerates · 380 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −77% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −24% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.13× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 90.5× · Priciest 25%
P/B 3.82× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 4.22× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 45.1× · Priciest 25%
PEG 0.55× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 16
PAST (return on equity)22 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)94 · sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)4 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Honeywell International Inc HON $211.85 $243.57 +15%
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Poste Italiane S.p.A PST €25.61 €7.65 −70%
Swire Pacific Limited 0019 HK$102.00 HK$28.34 −72%
SK Inc 034730 611,000 KRW 360,206 KRW −41%
PT Astra International Tbk, ASII 4,780 IDR 9,560 IDR +100%
Jardine Matheson Holdings J36 $57.30 $79.11 +38%
SGH Limited SGH A$36.69 A$42.47 +16%
Kingdom Holding 4280 13.07 SAR 12.96 SAR −1%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yunding Technology Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000409

Frequently asked questions

Is Yunding Technology Co Ltd (000409) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.07 versus a price of ¥9.05, about −77% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000409?
Our model-based fair value for Yunding Technology Co Ltd is ¥2.07 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥9.05.
What is the quality score of 000409?
Yunding Technology Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Yunding Technology Co Ltd (000409)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥2.07 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.81, optimistic scenario ¥2.58. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Yunding Technology Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥2.07, about −77% upside versus a price of ¥9.05 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.81, optimistic scenario ¥2.58. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Yunding Technology Co Ltd (000409)?
Yunding Technology Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Yunding Technology Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Yunding Technology Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.20% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Yunding Technology Co Ltd (000409)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Yunding Technology Co Ltd it is ¥2.07 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of ¥9.05. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Yunding Technology Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 000409 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥9.05, fair value ¥2.07, a gap of about −77% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 000409?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥9.05); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥2.07). For Yunding Technology Co Ltd the two are ¥6.98 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Yunding Technology Co Ltd worth?
The market values Yunding Technology Co Ltd at about 6.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is ¥9.05; our models calculate a fair value of ¥2.07 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 000409?
Our models span a range for Yunding Technology Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥1.81, base ¥2.07, optimistic ¥2.58 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price ¥9.05). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 000409?
Yunding Technology Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 90.5 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥2.07 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.5, P/B 3.8, P/S 4.2, EV/EBITDA 45.1.
What is the PEG ratio of 000409?
The PEG ratio of Yunding Technology Co Ltd is 0.55 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Yunding Technology Co Ltd (000409)?
Balance-sheet figures for Yunding Technology Co Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 5.6%, debt of 0.13 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 000409 from its 52-week high?
Yunding Technology Co Ltd trades at ¥9.05, about 31% below its 52-week high of ¥13.07 and 14% above the low of ¥7.92 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥2.07 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Yunding Technology Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, CITIC Limited, Poste Italiane S.p.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Yunding Technology Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price ¥9.05, calculated fair value ¥2.07 (−77%), Quality Score 48/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 000409 calculated?
We run Yunding Technology Co Ltd through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥2.07, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Yunding Technology Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Yunding Technology Co Ltd (000409)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥9.05. Our model-based fair value is ¥2.07, about −77% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Yunding Technology Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.58). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Yunding Technology Co Ltd (000409) come from?
Earnings per share at Yunding Technology Co Ltd grew −9.6 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −4.1 %, EBIT margin −3.9 %, tax rate +2.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −4.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Yunding Technology Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Yunding Technology Co Ltd (000409)?
The market capitalisation of Yunding Technology Co Ltd is 6.1B CNY (≈ $916M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Yunding Technology Co Ltd (000409)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Yunding Technology Co Ltd is 4.88 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Yunding Technology Co Ltd (000409)?
Earnings per share at Yunding Technology Co Ltd are ¥0.1000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 90.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Yunding Technology Co Ltd (000409)?
The dividend yield of Yunding Technology Co Ltd is 0.2% (payout 18.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Yunding Technology Co Ltd (000409)?
The net margin of Yunding Technology Co Ltd is 5.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Yunding Technology Co Ltd (000409)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Yunding Technology Co Ltd is 5.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Yunding Technology Co Ltd (000409)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Yunding Technology Co Ltd is 4.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Yunding Technology Co Ltd (000409)?
The operating margin of Yunding Technology Co Ltd is 6.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Yunding Technology Co Ltd (000409)?
Revenue at Yunding Technology Co Ltd is growing −24.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Yunding Technology Co Ltd (000409)?
Earnings per share at Yunding Technology Co Ltd are growing −37.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Yunding Technology Co Ltd (000409) generate?
The free cash flow of Yunding Technology Co Ltd is −4.1M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Yunding Technology Co Ltd (000409) hold?
Yunding Technology Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 984M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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