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Yunding Technology Co Ltd (000409) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Yunding Technology Co Ltd stock ¥2.07, price ¥8.37, that is 75.3% below the price, quality 47 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 9 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

9 models, one by oneBear ¥1.68 to bull ¥2.59 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 47/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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Industrials CN · ISIN CNE000000L40

Some data Nov 6, 2026

Yunding Technology Co Ltd

000409 · SHE

Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 75% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt

Revenue last quarter +20% vs. a year ago.

Quality 47/100

Mixed Growth (revenue 5y −6.7 %/yr in CNY)

Thin margins · 5.1% net margin (TTM)

Some data

Fair value ¥2.07 · Strongly overvalued (−75.3%)

Negative free cash flow

Trails peers (5/14)

Narrow moat 34/100

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.52 – ¥16.02 · fair‑value band ¥1.68 – ¥2.59 · the ¥8.37 price screens above the ¥2.07 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 6, 2026.

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Company profile

Yunding Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the smart mining business in China. The company offers smart power and new energy products, including power production management system, photovoltaic intelligent operation and maintenance platform system, engineering project management and control system, etc.

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It also provides intelligent washing and sorting systems, such as coal washing automation system integration, coal preparation plant intelligent solutions, intelligent online ash detection systems, and industrial and mining intelligent supporting equipment.

In addition, the company offers smart mining products, such as intelligent software; and intelligent positioning products, such as personnel precise positioning and paratransit systems.

Further, it engages in ERP implementation and operation and maintenance services, including digital innovation services, packaged software consulting and implementation, development management solutions and services, consulting, technical implementation, operations, and maintenance.

Additionally, it involved in industrial internet platform business that provides Dingyun Industrial Internet Platform, an artificial intelligence (AI) application platform that offers cloud-edge collaboration, data collection, data fusion, digital intelligence collaboration, and application development; AI service platform, a one-stop model training workflow, flexible manufacturing of artificial intelligence models, process control from data annotation, model training, model release, model deployment, and business scenario application; and comprehensive management and control platform for production safety technology.

Further, the company engages in coal preparation plant automation and coal gasification technology promotion business. Yunding Technology Co.,Ltd. was founded in 2016 and is based in Jinan, China.

Stock analysis

Yunding Technology Co Ltd (000409) currently trades at ¥8.37, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.07, 75% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥5.02 per share, and 0 of the 9 models we run sit above the ¥8.37 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ¥1.71, and 9 of the 9 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ¥1.68 (bear) to ¥2.59 (bull), the price of ¥8.37 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2017: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2017.

Yunding Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.5B CNY in FY2025 versus 508M CNY in FY2021, a compound +31.7%/yr. Reported net income was 82.4M CNY in FY2025, compounding +47.1%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Key figures

Market cap 5.7B CNY (≈ $851M) Small · P/E ratio 76.1 · P/S ratio 5.39 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.1100 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin 5.1% · Return on equity 5.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.5% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 34 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −75%, 000409 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.1700 to ¥6.18). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.

Bear ¥1.68 Fair Value ¥2.07 Bull ¥2.59

Price ¥8.37 · Downside -75.3%

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0940 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Best data coverage

Residual Income ¥1.73 ¥1.71 ¥1.79 72

Owner Earnings ¥1.68 ¥2.68 ¥4.59 69

Gordon GGM ¥0.1000 ¥0.1900 ¥0.2700 63

All 9 models by family

DCF Models

Owner Earnings ¥1.68 ¥2.68 ¥4.59 69

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd ¥0.8300 ¥5.77 ¥8.10 59

Lynch FV ¥2.98 ¥4.26 ¥5.54 57

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM ¥0.1000 ¥0.1900 ¥0.2700 63

DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.1000 ¥0.1700 ¥0.2100 63

Multiples

P/E Multiple ¥1.55 ¥2.07 ¥2.59 63

P/B Multiple ¥4.64 ¥6.18 ¥7.73 55

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) ¥1.23 ¥1.86 ¥2.33 54

Economic Profit

Residual Income ¥1.73 ¥1.71 ¥1.79 72

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 31

How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital

Quality Growth 46

Are margins and returns getting better?

Cashflow 8

Do the profits arrive as real cash?

Financial strength 95

Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble

Investment 82

Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?

Low Volatility 77

How calm the share price moves, does not count

Price momentum 21

Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count

Near the 52-week high 6

Distance to the 52-week high, does not count

New shares 32

Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100

Spin-off in 2017: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2017.

Revenue growth 1 year

+13.1%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+11.9%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−6.7%

Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+0.8%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.

+6.5%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year+6.3%

Dividend (yield on the price)0.2%

Per share before 2017divided by the spin-off factor 1.0809

Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.6.3% vs −4.4%, picking up

Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 10%

Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

000409 screens overvalued: fair value 75% below the price. Compare with 3M Company →

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Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Conglomerates · 305 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures

Overall it trails its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 47 · Below median

Fair Value upside −75.3% · Bottom 25%

Profitability

Return on equity (12 months) 5.3% · Below median

Return on assets 3.9% · Above median

Net margin (12 months) 7.1% · Above median

Operating margin (12 months) −1.6% · Bottom 25%

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 19.6% · Above median

Dividend yield (12 months) 0.2% · Bottom 25%

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.13× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 76.1× · Priciest 25%

P/B 3.53× · Priciest 25%

P/S (12 months) 5.39× · Priciest 25%

EV/EBITDA 68.6× · Priciest 25%

PEG 0.55× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 51

FUTURE (revenue growth)98 · sector 38

PAST (return on equity)21 · sector 29

HEALTH (low debt)94 · sector 89

DIVIDEND (yield)4 · sector 46

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value	Compare
PT Astra International Tbk, ASII	5,000 IDR	9,860 IDR	+97%	vs 000409
SK Inc 034730	445,000 KRW	632,391 KRW	+42%	vs 000409
Honeywell International Inc HON	$220.05	$245.42	+12%	vs 000409
Kingdom Holding 4280	12.16 SAR	13.40 SAR	+10%	vs 000409
Jardine Matheson Holdings J36	$60.84	$66.74	+10%	vs 000409
SGH Limited SGH	A$42.46	A$34.87	−18%	vs 000409
Keppel Ltd BN4	9.45 SGD	3.87 SGD	−59%	vs 000409
3M Company MMM	$185.15	$73.02	−61%	vs 000409
Swire Pacific Limited 0019	HK$112.20	HK$27.75	−75%	vs 000409
Doosan Corporation 000150	638,000 KRW	95,752 KRW	−85%	vs 000409

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yunding Technology Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000409

Frequently asked questions

Is Yunding Technology Co Ltd (000409) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.07 versus a price of ¥8.37, about 75% lower (overvalued).

What is the fair value of 000409?

Our model-based fair value for Yunding Technology Co Ltd is ¥2.07 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥8.37.

What is the quality score of 000409?

Yunding Technology Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Yunding Technology Co Ltd (000409)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥2.07 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.68, optimistic scenario ¥2.59. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Yunding Technology Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at ¥2.07, about 75% lower versus a price of ¥8.37 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.68, optimistic scenario ¥2.59. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Yunding Technology Co Ltd (000409)?

Yunding Technology Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).

Does Yunding Technology Co Ltd pay a dividend?

Yunding Technology Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.21% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).

How much is the dividend of Yunding Technology Co Ltd (000409)?

Yunding Technology Co Ltd has a dividend yield of 0.2%.

What is the intrinsic value of Yunding Technology Co Ltd (000409)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Yunding Technology Co Ltd it is ¥2.07 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of ¥8.37. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).

Is Yunding Technology Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Nov 6, 2026, 000409 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥8.37, fair value ¥2.07, a gap of about −75% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of 000409?

No. The price is what the market pays today (¥8.37); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥2.07). For Yunding Technology Co Ltd the two are ¥6.30 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Yunding Technology Co Ltd worth?

The market values Yunding Technology Co Ltd at about 5.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is ¥8.37; our models calculate a fair value of ¥2.07 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 000409?

Our models span a range for Yunding Technology Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥1.68, base ¥2.07, optimistic ¥2.59 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price ¥8.37). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of 000409?

Yunding Technology Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 76.1 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥2.07 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 7 fiscal years (2018 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2025 ex one-offs: 93.4. Other multiples: PEG 0.5, P/B 3.5, P/S 5.4, EV/EBITDA 68.6.

What is the PEG ratio of 000409?

The PEG ratio of Yunding Technology Co Ltd is 0.55 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 6, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.

How solid is the balance sheet of Yunding Technology Co Ltd (000409)?

Balance-sheet figures for Yunding Technology Co Ltd (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 5.3%, debt of 0.13 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is 000409 from its 52-week high?

Yunding Technology Co Ltd trades at ¥8.37, about 36% below its 52-week high of ¥13.07 and 6% above the low of ¥7.92 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥2.07 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Yunding Technology Co Ltd?

From the same area (Industrials) we also value 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, Swire Pacific Limited, SGH Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Yunding Technology Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price ¥8.37, calculated fair value ¥2.07 (−75%), Quality Score 47/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of 000409 calculated?

We run Yunding Technology Co Ltd through 9 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥2.07 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Yunding Technology Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Yunding Technology Co Ltd (000409)?

The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥8.37. Our model-based fair value is ¥2.07, about 75% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Yunding Technology Co Ltd right now?

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.59). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (47/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Where does the earnings growth of Yunding Technology Co Ltd (000409) come from?

Earnings per share at Yunding Technology Co Ltd grew −9.6 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −4.1 %, EBIT margin −3.9 %, tax rate +2.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −4.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Yunding Technology Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Yunding Technology Co Ltd (000409)?

The market capitalisation of Yunding Technology Co Ltd is 5.7B CNY (≈ $851M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Yunding Technology Co Ltd (000409)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Yunding Technology Co Ltd is 5.39 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Yunding Technology Co Ltd (000409)?

Earnings per share at Yunding Technology Co Ltd are ¥0.1100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 76.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the dividend yield of Yunding Technology Co Ltd (000409)?

The dividend yield of Yunding Technology Co Ltd is 0.2% (payout 16.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of Yunding Technology Co Ltd (000409)?

The net margin of Yunding Technology Co Ltd is 5.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Yunding Technology Co Ltd (000409)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Yunding Technology Co Ltd is 5.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Yunding Technology Co Ltd (000409)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Yunding Technology Co Ltd is 4.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Yunding Technology Co Ltd (000409)?

The operating margin of Yunding Technology Co Ltd is −1.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Yunding Technology Co Ltd (000409)?

Revenue at Yunding Technology Co Ltd is growing +19.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Yunding Technology Co Ltd (000409)?

Earnings per share at Yunding Technology Co Ltd are growing −35.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much free cash flow does Yunding Technology Co Ltd (000409) generate?

The free cash flow of Yunding Technology Co Ltd is −4.1M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net cash does Yunding Technology Co Ltd (000409) hold?

Yunding Technology Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 984M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.

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