Yunding Technology Co (000409) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 5.9B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price +7.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 76% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.58). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.21 – ¥16.02 · fair‑value band ¥1.81 – ¥2.58 · the ¥8.75 price screens above the ¥2.07 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
Analysis
Yunding Technology Co (000409) currently trades at ¥8.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.07, implying the stock looks roughly 76.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Yunding Technology Co generated revenue of 1.5B CNY at a net margin of 4.9%. Revenue declined 24.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 984M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥1.81 (bear case) to ¥2.58 (bull case); at ¥8.75, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -76%, 000409 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥6.00) versus Asset-Based (¥1.59). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Yunding Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the smart mining business in China. The company offers smart power and new energy products, including power production management system, photovoltaic intelligent operation and maintenance platform system, engineering project management and control system, etc.
Full company description
Yunding Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the smart mining business in China. The company offers smart power and new energy products, including power production management system, photovoltaic intelligent operation and maintenance platform system, engineering project management and control system, etc. It also provides intelligent washing and sorting systems, such as coal washing automation system integration, coal preparation plant intelligent solutions, intelligent online ash detection systems, and industrial and mining intelligent supporting equipment. In addition, the company offers smart mining products, such as intelligent software; and intelligent positioning products, such as personnel precise positioning and paratransit systems. Further, it engages in ERP implementation and operation and maintenance services, including digital innovation services, packaged software consulting and implementation, development management solutions and services, consulting, technical implementation, operations, and maintenance. Additionally, it involved in industrial internet platform business that provides Dingyun Industrial Internet Platform, an artificial intelligence (AI) application platform that offers cloud-edge collaboration, data collection, data fusion, digital intelligence collaboration, and application development; AI service platform, a one-stop model training workflow, flexible manufacturing of artificial intelligence models, process control from data annotation, model training, model release, model deployment, and business scenario application; and comprehensive management and control platform for production safety technology. Further, the company engages in coal preparation plant automation and coal gasification technology promotion business. Yunding Technology Co.,Ltd. was founded in 2016 and is based in Jinan, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Yunding Technology Co reported revenue of ¥1.5B in FY2025 versus ¥508M in FY2021, a compound +31.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥82.4M in FY2025, compounding +47.1%/yr from FY2021.
000409 screens 76% overvalued. Compare with CITIC Limited →
Peer Group
Conglomerates · 370 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CITIC Limited 0267 | HK$11.28 | HK$22.56 | +100% |
| SK Inc 034730 | 580,000 KRW | 497,919 KRW | -14% |
| PT Astra International Tbk, ASII | 4,810 IDR | 9,620 IDR | +100% |
| The Siam Cement Public Company SCC | 254.00 THB | 199.40 THB | -21% |
| SRF Limited SRF | ₹2,875 | ₹1,053 | -63% |
| Empresas Copec S.A COPEC | 6,330 CLP | 10,879 CLP | +72% |
| Posco International Corporation 047050 | 50,900 KRW | 61,248 KRW | +20% |
| Tube Investments of India Limited TIINDIA | ₹2,940 | ₹559.30 | -81% |
| Doosan Corporation 000155 | 464,000 KRW | 75,620 KRW | -84% |
| Thermax Limited THERMAX | ₹4,809 | ₹1,087 | -77% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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