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Beibu Gulf Port Co (000582) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 29.3B CNY

BG Beibu Gulf Port Co 000582 · SHE
Price¥12.52
Fair Value¥8.19
Upside-34.6%
Quality36/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 13.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.43% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/15)
Moderate moat 48/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥6.04 – ¥10.83 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price +14.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 35% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥10.83). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥14.91 ¥6.31 Fair Value ¥8.19 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥6.31 – ¥14.91 · fair‑value band ¥6.04 – ¥10.83 · the ¥12.52 price screens above the ¥8.19 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Beibu Gulf Port Co (000582) currently trades at ¥12.52, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.19, implying the stock looks roughly 34.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Beibu Gulf Port Co generated revenue of 7.7B CNY at a net margin of 13.9%. Revenue grew 5.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.8%. Net debt stands at 6.5B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥6.04 (bear case) to ¥10.83 (bull case); at ¥12.52, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 57% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 67% fair-value upside, at -35%, 000582 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥1.94 ¥5.53 80
Residual Income ¥5.88 ¥6.00 ¥5.89 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.46 ¥5.01 ¥10.16 74
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥0.0500 ¥1.55 ¥5.56 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥1.46 ¥5.04 ¥10.87 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥7.42 ¥18.31 ¥34.91 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥3.11 ¥9.04 ¥16.56 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥0.8700 ¥4.44 ¥9.96 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥5.16 ¥15.12 ¥33.37 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥2.17 ¥7.40 ¥16.27 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.80 ¥18.02 ¥25.20 54
Lynch FV ¥5.23 ¥7.46 ¥9.70 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥5.23 ¥7.46 ¥9.70 46
EPV ¥3.52 ¥4.43 ¥5.22 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥6.50 ¥8.66 ¥10.83 63
P/S Multiple ¥4.54 ¥6.05 ¥7.56 58
P/B Multiple ¥5.26 ¥7.01 ¥8.76 55
EV/EBIT ¥6.72 ¥9.60 ¥12.48 53
EV/EBITDA ¥10.87 ¥15.13 ¥19.39 54
EV/Revenue ¥1.91 ¥3.54 ¥5.17 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.79 ¥5.07 ¥7.57 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥1.94 ¥5.53 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.46 ¥5.01 ¥10.16 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥5.88 ¥6.00 ¥5.89 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.52 ¥4.43 ¥5.22 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥7.38 ¥10.54 ¥13.70 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥10.54) versus Growth DCF (¥1.94). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 7.7B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.0%
Net margin 13.9%
Return on equity 5.8%
Free cash flow 329M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 26.5
More key figures
Operating margin 21.5%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.4400
Dividend yield 1.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +13.3%
Net debt 6.5B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 58
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 32
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 78
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 78
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 20
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Beibu Gulf Port Co., Ltd. provides port loading, unloading, storage, and related supporting services for containers, metal ores, and other cargoes in China.

Full company description

Beibu Gulf Port Co., Ltd. provides port loading, unloading, storage, and related supporting services for containers, metal ores, and other cargoes in China. It offers berthing, loading and unloading services for shipping companies; container storage services for shipping companies and cargo owners; container lifting services for trucking companies; and container deconsolidation, consolidation, and repair services. The company also provides loading, unloading, and storage of bulk cargo within the port area; tugboat and other services; cargo and container tallying for shipping routes; container loading and unloading tallying; and cargo information consultation. In addition, it offers international shipping agency, ocean and land-sea combined transport international cargo transportation agency, and customs declaration and inspection agency services; and port supporting services, such as power supply and water supply in the port area. The company was formerly known as Beibuwan port Co., ltd. Beibu Gulf Port Co., Ltd. was founded in 1988 and is based in Nanning, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Beibu Gulf Port Co reported revenue of ¥7.6B in FY2025 versus ¥5.9B in FY2021, a compound +6.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.0B in FY2025, compounding +0.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 59/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
7.6B CNY
Latest YoY
+8.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+6.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.3%
Avg. growth/yr (33Y)
+19.5%
Revenue +6.5%/yr
FY21 ¥5.9B
FY22 ¥6.4B
FY23 ¥6.9B
FY24 ¥7.0B
FY25 ¥7.6B
Net income +0.4%/yr
FY21 ¥1.0B
FY22 ¥1.0B
FY23 ¥1.1B
FY24 ¥1.2B
FY25 ¥1.0B

000582 screens 35% overvalued. Compare with Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Beibu Gulf Port Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000582

Peer Group

Marine Shipping · 231 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −35% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 14% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 22% · Above median
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.4% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.43× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 26.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.54× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.81× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 13.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 3.58× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 29
FUTURE 25 · sector 18
PAST 23 · sector 27
HEALTH 78 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 29 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS ₹1,828 ₹1,041 -43%
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA kr 16,520 kr 3,033 -82%
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 ¥13.98 ¥40.37 +189%
Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 ¥5.17 ¥6.57 +27%
HMM Co 011200 20,050 KRW 33,855 KRW +69%
Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 ¥3.35 ¥5.58 +67%
Qingdao Port International Co 601298 ¥8.88 ¥15.97 +80%
JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA ₹330.05 ₹126.31 -62%
Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 80.70 TWD 212.79 TWD +164%
Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA WAWI kr 137.70 kr 50.56 -63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Beibu Gulf Port Co (000582) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥8.19 versus a price of ¥12.52, about −35% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000582?
Our model-based fair value for Beibu Gulf Port Co is ¥8.19 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥12.52.
What is the quality score of 000582?
Beibu Gulf Port Co has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Beibu Gulf Port Co (000582)?
Beibu Gulf Port Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 000582?
The net profit margin of Beibu Gulf Port Co is about 13.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 13.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Beibu Gulf Port Co pay a dividend?
Beibu Gulf Port Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.43% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 21, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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